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25 Feb, 9 tweets, 3 min read
South American Rainforests will suffer from a totally new climate of unprecedented heat from 2028 onwards with staggering consequences for all life on Earth.
This 2013 study projects years of 'climate departure' on our current high emissions path:

La Paz Bolivia & Paramaribo Suriname 2028
Georgetown Guyana 2029
Bogotá Colombia 2033
Quito Ecuador & Caracas Venezuela 2034
Lima Peru 2038
Brasilia Brazil 2047
nature.com/articles/natur…
'Tropical forests are guardians against runaway climate change, but their ability to remove CO2 from the atmosphere is wearing down.' The Amazon, which accounts for +50% of the world’s rainforest cover, 'is on the verge of turning into a carbon source.'news.mongabay.com/2021/01/amazon…
Earth's Rainforests may already be beyond the threshold for unstoppable self-collapse.
⬇️
salon.com/2018/04/09/tro…

‘The tipping point is here, it is now,’ top Amazon scientists warn.
⬇️
news.mongabay.com/2019/12/the-ti…
The Amazon appears to be heading for collapse this century because there is no sign of an end to deforestation, and global warming will hit catastrophic 2 - 3°C or even more within decades.

Scientists have been warning about this for many years.
sciencealert.com/new-report-pre…
'Deforestation and rampant resource use is likely to trigger the 'irreversible collapse' of human civilization unless we rapidly change course.'vice.com/en/article/akz…
This disturbing study doesn't even factor in all the likely/possible damage from fires and drought in a world of +2C global warming (likely by 2038-2052 according to climate scientists).

ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/news/20…
"If we mess up with the Amazon, carbon dioxide emissions will increase so massively that everyone will suffer".

2005: 100 year drought!
2009: massive floods
2010: 100 year drought!
2012: massive floods
2014: massive floods
2015-16: 100 year drought!

nationalgeographic.com/environment/ar…
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Ben See Profile picture
25 Feb
African, Southeast Asian, and South American Rainforests are now approaching, at, or beyond the point of collapse, and will suffer from a totally new climate of unprecedented heat from 2025, 2027, and 2028 onwards with staggering consequences for all life on Earth.

[THREADS] 👇
Corporations and governments are driving the destruction of Earth's tropical forests.

Only immediate emergency system change would give us any reasonable chance of stopping the annihilation of the world’s forests.
Read 6 tweets
Ben See Profile picture
24 Feb
Are there any real plans for an immediate and drastic reduction of greenhouse gas emissions by shifting to a decarbonised energy production, sustainable use of land & ocean, and climate-friendly urban & regional planning?

No.

Quite the opposite, in fact.
carbonbrief.org/guest-post-the…
'Slavery to economic growth' needs to be 'taken out of the equation'.
The UN says we are heading for a horrific 3.2°C hell on Earth by 2100, even with full implementation of the Paris climate agreement, but it is against 'the sensible, “science-backed” approach' of de-growth: a 'controlled curb on rich people’s consumption'. vox.com/22291568/clima…
Read 6 tweets
Ben See Profile picture
23 Feb
Southeast Asia's Rainforests will suffer from a totally new climate of unprecedented heat from 2027 onwards with staggering consequences for all life on Earth.
This study projects years of 'climate departure' (today's high emissions path).

Southeast Asia:
Manokwari, Indonesia 2020
Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei 2027
Singapore 2028
Jakarta, Indonesia & Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia 2029
Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea 2033

nature.com/articles/natur…
Southeast Asia:

-among the world’s major deforestation hotspots (bulk of deforestation in tropical humid & low-land forests)

-habitat destruction among highest & most severe in terms of biodiversity loss

-deforestation rate comparable to C. & S. America
nature.com/articles/s4146…
Read 13 tweets
Ben See Profile picture
22 Feb
Earth 2038:

1. a massive decline in the viability of food crops critical for human survival

2. regions becoming uninhabitable due to unsurvivable humid heat waves

3. cities & island nations wrecked by sea level rise, subsidence, and megastorms

Is this likely?

[THREAD] ⬇️
This is a world of +2°C global warming.

New climate models suggest +2°C will likely occur by 2029 - 2047 using a 1750 baseline (or 2034 - 2052 using a 19th century baseline as explained here: carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-…).

The IPCC says agriculture will be at high risk at 2°C.
At 2C parts of SW Asia including well-populated regions of the Persian Gulf& Yemen 'may become literally uninhabitable without permanent air conditioning

Some researchers predict a massive decline in the viability of food crops critical for human survival'e360.yale.edu/features/what_…
Read 7 tweets
Ben See Profile picture
21 Feb
'Emergency System Change NOW.'

Why?

1. Land degradation will hit 79% by 2025
2. Antarctica risks collapse from 2030
3. Arctic sea ice will go by 2035
4. Coral reefs dead by 2040
5. Rainforests dying by 2045
6. 50% species will risk extinction: 2050

Give us screaming headlines.
People in the Global South are dying now.

We need a new economy for ecological/climate justice.

* urbanization and industrial for-profit agriculture are killing the ecosystems needed for survival

* terrifying 2°C of global warming by 2038-2043 is likely
More than three quarters of the Earth’s land areas 'have lost some or most of their functions, undermining the well-being of the 3.2 billion people that rely on them to produce food crops, provide clean water, control flooding and more.'vice.com/en/article/ne9…
Read 10 tweets
Ben See Profile picture
18 Feb
Abrupt climate change and ecosystem collapse will be so severe by 2043 (give or take nine years) that it will be difficult for humans to live.

[THREAD]
2°C of global warming 'will likely be exceeded between 2034 and 2052' making it "hard for everyone to live" as an 'abrupt collapse' of tropical ocean ecosystems & forests (by 2030/2050) occurs.

1.washingtonpost.com/climate-soluti…

2.carbonbrief.org/deep-emissions…

3.carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-…
'Global warming is about to tear big holes into Earth’s delicate web of life..

At the current rate of warming, abrupt exposure events in tropical oceans will begin before 2030 and spread to tropical forests and higher latitudes by 2050.'
insideclimatenews.org/news/08042020/…
Read 5 tweets

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