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The COVID Tracking Project

@COVID19Tracking

27 Feb

Our daily update is published. States reported 1.8M tests, 74k cases, 51,116 currently hospitalized, and 2,137 COVID-19 deaths.

Many data-watchers are understandably concerned about the recent uptick in national reported cases. A closer look at the national figures shows simultaneous wobbles in tests, cases, and deaths—a clue that this is likely a reporting issue, not a turnaround.

Current hospitalizations—always our most stable metric during reporting disruptions—are also continuing to drop.

Read 7 tweets

The COVID Tracking Project

@COVID19Tracking

25 Feb

@CDCgov

As we wind down data compilation, we want to help everyone understand how to find and use federal COVID-19 numbers. Today, we’re going over @CDCgov death data.

covidtracking.com/analysis-updat…

Death counts can be confusing. We've previously detailed some of our research on the different ways fatalities are counted on state dashboards:

covidtracking.com/analysis-updat…

The federal government publishes two different datasets: the CDC's COVID Data Tracker, and the NCHS's provisional COVID-19 death counts. The key to understanding them is knowing the source of each.

Read 4 tweets

The COVID Tracking Project

@COVID19Tracking

24 Feb

As we wind down data compilation, we want to help everyone understand how to find and use federal COVID-19 numbers. Today, we’re going over CDC case data. covidtracking.com/analysis-updat…

@CDCgov

The @CDCgov publishes aggregate and line-level case data. Aggregate data includes total numbers of cases by jurisdiction and totals for confirmed and probable cases where available. Line-level includes a de-identified line for each case with detailed demographic data.

The CDC aggregate case data is extremely similar to the state-reported data we have been capturing.

Read 5 tweets

The COVID Tracking Project

@COVID19Tracking

24 Feb

Our daily update is published. States reported 1.2M tests, 68k cases, 55,058 currently hospitalized, and 2,196 deaths.

Nationally, hospitalizations are still falling, albeit at a slower pace in recent days.

Texas reported relatively high numbers for new cases and deaths today, likely due in part to backlog clearing following the recent winter storms.

Read 4 tweets

The COVID Tracking Project

@COVID19Tracking

22 Feb

Since vaccinations began in late 2020, we expected them to show up first in our Long-Term-Care data. And it finally has. We’ve seen signs over the last few weeks that vaccines, along with a broader decrease in community spread, are having a rapid, positive impact in LTCs.

Deaths in LTCs have fallen drastically. After adjusting for backlogs, our weekly deaths figure has declined ~70% since Jan 7. LTCs previously accounted for at least 35% of total deaths, yet last week their share was cut to 16%, the lowest ever recorded in our dataset.

Since their peak just before Christmas, new cases in long-term-care facilities have fallen by 87%, with the bulk of the drop occurring in the last three weeks. New cases last week were the lowest ever recorded in our dataset, which dates back to May 28.