Other interesting ones (based on current prices) that I'm still learning about $NCNO $FROG $FUBO $SKLZ
Here are few of my quick personal guidelines for Volatility (as a net long-term buyer of good businesses with decades left)
✔️Once you get Ben Graham's Mr. Market analogy into your head, Volatility will stop surprising/bothering you.
✔️ You can't predict it, but knowing that it'll show up sometime, you can make your Portfolio resilient enough to withstand any short-term shocks.
✔️ Liquidity in great Co's + Volatility induced low prices : That's not something to complain about.
✔️ If you have a Watchlist (& attractive opportunities from you holdings) ready along with some cash (existing or selling weaker Co's), you can slowly start taking advantage of it.
✔️ I usually buy smaller positions in new Co's or add to existing Co's during these times, knowing that these or the overall Market could continue going down.
✔️ It's not about timing, buying/selling a lot at once, it's slowly deploying cash whenever opportunities arise.
✔️ Tune out the noise. Just like a Pilot's skill is tested during turbulent times, an Investor's skill is tested/rewarded based on your actions during high volatility. Think/act long-term.
As for $AFRM, it's a small starter position to have SITG and learn more about the "Buy Now Pay Later" space.
Overall, I see BNPL gaining traction with Millennials and younger generations. I like Affirm's mission, Mgmt's strength in Finance/Technology, ongoing partnerships etc.
Of course there'll be lot of competition in this space from $PYPL, $SQ, Klarna and incumbents.
Also it's not an easy Business model to understand, Merchant fees vs Lending income, Bank Partner & other relationships, Funding costs and charge-off trends...
and how this all changes during weak economic periods & hyper competition.
At the same time, it's fun and challenging to learn more about emerging trends (especially being invested in $V $MA $SQ).
Disc : None of the securities and process discussed here are recommendations, but you already knew that.😀
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Lot of great points on the importance of having a strategy, process, discipline, patience, self-reliance, awareness of risk, biases/emotions, learning from mistakes & more.
Very important for investors (especially individual investors picking their own stocks) to figure out what your edge is, that will enable you for LT success in the Market.
W/o getting into too much details, below are some methods I recommend to improve chances of success.
1⃣ Informational edge : Most of the raw information is freely available to everyone, but if you can filter out the noise (media/stock predictions, random opinions), & focus only on the reliable sources (Co produced docs, analysis by investors you respect..) you can have an edge.
My $ROKU 📺story⬇️and some lessons in the thread below.
It's not often that I get add so many times at attractive prices in such a short amount of time, but that Mr. Market can be extra generous sometimes and you got to oblige.
Few general lessons (not recs)⬇️
✔️ Don't get stuck on your initial (not fully informed) opinions
✔️ Consider facts , updates from reliable sources and analyze with fresh eyes
✔️ When you have a good enough thesis, start a small position (don't wait for perfect entry points).
Ten quick reasons why I❤️$TWLO & plan to hold for a long time to come.
1⃣ Primary service (CPaaS) is a critical & growing component of Digital Transformation. Being able to effectively reach Customers in whatever channel they prefer is a must.
2⃣ Highest mindshare and best in class for CPaaS.
3⃣ Plenty of organic growth left.
4⃣ Usage based Revenue model in exploding use-cases is great.
5⃣ ~140 DBNE, one of the best in SaaS
6⃣ Great top line growth for few more years, and margins trending in the right direction.
7⃣ Huge base of Customer count, with no concentration risk.
8⃣ Smart acquisitions, not empire building. SendGrid and Segment are all great additions.