Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #FinTwit

Most recents (11)

Chicago Fed @ChicagoFed conference papers dropped. Going to be a long day.…
@ChicagoFed First up, review of current #monpol framework (…)

Key conclusion: @federalreserve should guide rate cuts soon and more aggressively since guidance policy has a bigger effect on economy today.
@ChicagoFed @federalreserve Second paper on the agenda (as mentioned by @jeannasmialek…) titled "Maximum Employment"

Key takeaway: u-rate doesn't measure labor market tightness; recommend a new metric. Basically this is the Fed's LMCI come again (actually, come around a third time).
Read 25 tweets
1/Great first day of presentations and meeting new people at @TheCapitalCamp. As an example, I met Jace Pando (@pandocole) who just got out of HS last year, but instead of going right to colleage headed to Kenya to work on projects to help improve the country.
2/ He's next heading to Hungary to do similar work. He found out about @TheCapitalCamp right here on #FinTwit. I think this is one of the best features of @Twitter, as I also got to see lots of friends that I met here first. It's things like this that I think show
3/ off the best potential for our #FinTwit community.

Well done @patrick_oshag and @BrentBeshore and the great team that made this happen!
Read 4 tweets
Hi #fintwit 😎 We are approaching a watershed moment in markets. Final deflationary phase of Kondratiev's winter is about to play out. Huge implications for #EUR, #Gold, #SP500, #DXY etc. I have some new interesting followers - hence something extra in this week's #HZupdates
#Kondratiev's winter is a period where #Velocity of Money drops which creates a disinflationary economic environment, where growth is subdued due to #debt levels. Since ~2000 we have been in this winter - and are still to see a range of "major economic events" unfold #HZupdates
In fact, we have never left the #Financial #Crisis. We have only been bouncing in the great "Financial and Sovereign Debt Crisis" of this #Kondratiev's winter. This can be observed from the #Deflation Gauges #Copper, #XAU, AUD, EUR. We are about to see wave C develop #HZupdates
Read 21 tweets
Sunday night #FinTwit has spoken. The good news is that by releasing the results of this simulation, I'll surely motivate people who don't like quants to change their votes, thus influencing the outcome. But that way, everyone can still have fun.
Thursday, March 21 @ RLS Wealth Management Pavilion
(1) @Wu_Tang_Finance vs.
(4) @BagholderQuotes
Projected winner (89% probability) @Wu_Tang_Finance
Saturday, March 23 @ StockTwits Stadium
(2) @RampCapitalLLC vs.
(3) @RudyHavenstein
Projected winner (98% probability) @RampCapitalLLC
Read 9 tweets
If twitter had been around in the 40's and 50's...

Think I am getting the hang of it.....

Waiting to see this posted somewhere...

Read 29 tweets
Good morning to all 😀Interesting weeks/months ahead of us as my deflationary scenario plays out. Will have massive consequences for currencies, gold, equities etc. I keep my subscribers updated closely on Daily/Weekly updates. But for now - stay tuned for some #HZupdates 👍
"#Deflation" or "#Disinflation" have been my call for a long time. We are not out of Kondratiev's winter yet. We haven't seen the all events which unfold during K's winter. Still to come Pension Funds Crisis, Currency Crisis, Run from Paper Money ...and War #HZupdates
And "#Deflation" outlook is clear in the charts imo. I look primarily to #AUDUSD and #Copper for guidance. Observe this chart of #Copper. Major ABC pattern. Length of C can be set by the irregular pattern indicating low in Copper below 2008-levels = deflation in 2019 #HZupdates
Read 19 tweets
1/ Economics is, after all, a social science, and as such is beholden to the unintended consequences brought about by the actions of the observer as much as by those of the subject being observed. Imagine if we designated responsibility for...
2/ ...precipitation and cloud cover to executives at “The Weather Channel?” Even if this new politburo had the best of intentions, would you feel comfortable ceding control of the weather to a group of 12, unelected, and highly fallible, human beings? We don't think so. And if...
3/ believe the weather system is not a fair comparison to the system of money and credit, we would beg to differ. The weather, as well as the economy, are both chaotic systems. They are dynamic. They are organic. They are not well-oiled machines to be...
Read 5 tweets
Hi all 😀It has been a good year! 2019 will be difficult for world economy. A lot of fall outs ahead from disinflationary environment. Get ready for last #HZupdates from the old year 👍
As I laid out at the beginning of 2018, we have seen a rally in #DXY. The USD rally is not over yet. I expect the rally to continuing into 2019 - reaching min. 107 before the rally is over, This will have deflationary consequences across various markets #HZupdates
#EURUSD topped early 2018 and has dropped to a low of 1.121 by Nov. But - this is not the end of this major Bear market for Euro. LT-target remains 0.91 likely to be reached by Q2/Q3 2019 #HZupdates
Read 16 tweets
Last week in markets was truly exciting! Some important signals were provided - which sets us up for some truly great trades 😀Before all leaves FinTwit to relax and enjoy during Christmas - I will provide you with some #HZupdates. Stay tuned! 👍
#EURUSD has been showing a lot of weakness. The LT-perspective is same as it has been for a very long time. Target of ~0.91 to be reached some time during 2019. Coming decline will bring about massive capitulation #HZupdates
#EURUSD - I have had 2 scenarios for how price will develop coming days/weeks. This scenario seems to hold most credibility. We could see small bounce next week - but soon EURUSD will crash in a strong wave lower. Great opportunity to go short is closing in #HZupdates
Read 16 tweets
1/To all my friends on #FinTwit, I kid around a lot on here because life should always have room for laughter, but I've just seen something that reminded me we all need to be absolutely serious, sober and realistic when evaluating investment opportunities, especially those
2/ that stray from basic long-only, non-leveraged strategies. I know so many talented investors in non-conventional strategies, and am not at all opposed to them, but please, please do your homework thoroughly before investing your money with *any* outside manager,
3/ my firm included. There are serious risks involved with any risk assets, and you've really got to do a deep vetting of any firm you're thinking about giving your hard earned money. If you don't feel qualified to do it on your own, by all means hire a qualified advisor to do
Read 4 tweets
Good morning from #Copenhagen, #Denmark 😀Another exciting week in the market. Hope you are up for some #HZupdates. We are imo getting closer to an inflection point where things will start to develop fast. Stay tuned! 👍
😀 I would like to see how many #FinTwit users read my #HZupdates on a weekly basis. Will you please answer by a simply "yes" or "no" to the question: I read #HZupdates every weekend. Thanks! 👍
#SP500 I think we pot. have a full count for US #equities. I see a test of the lower trendline (yellow mark) as a given. How successful that test turns out will give us a lot of info. #HZupdates
Read 11 tweets

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