How unrealistic are the scenarios underpinning the US "social cost of carbon" estimates?
Very
Figure below compares average cumulative CO2 emissions to 2300 assumed in US SCC scenarios with hypothetical net-zero scenarios for 2100 and 2200
Read more: rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-biden-ad…
Very
Figure below compares average cumulative CO2 emissions to 2300 assumed in US SCC scenarios with hypothetical net-zero scenarios for 2100 and 2200
Read more: rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-biden-ad…
Interesting/Odd
Research highlighted by US gov't to serve as basis for new SCC estimates all comes from just one group -- the Climate Impacts Lab
Left panel - IWG figure
Right panel - Original
Research highlighted by US gov't to serve as basis for new SCC estimates all comes from just one group -- the Climate Impacts Lab
Left panel - IWG figure
Right panel - Original
It is interesting and odd because the Climate Impact Lab is a spin-off of a Steyer-Bloomberg-Paulson funded effort that really launched RCP8.5 into a more prominent position in science and policy
Details--> forbes.com/sites/rogerpie…
Details--> forbes.com/sites/rogerpie…
The story of the SCC is just a small part of a larger story about the unstoppable momentum of outdated science
rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-unstoppa…
rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-unstoppa…
If you would like a more granular and technical history of the story of implausible scenarios, please see this paper -->doi.org/10.1016/j.erss…
Email or DM for a copy if you don't have access
Email or DM for a copy if you don't have access
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