We are tracking Portugal’s continued progress now down to almost 1/20 of peak.

Over the most recent week Portugal reported 6,500 cases, down from 10,500 the week before, a 38% decline. ImageImageImage
Almost all regions are going down well and consistently across regions. ImageImage
The Azores are under 10 per day.

It would help if they report separately imported, quarantined and community transmission cases. A recent slight increase is otherwise unexplained.

They are very close to reaching the goal of ZeroCovid! Image
Madeira, on the other hand, has leveled at around 80 new cases per day and is not declining.

The good news: with cases this low, getting to zero can be done extremely quickly by taking stronger action. Image
Many European countries are showing signs of a new ‘wave’, due in part to arrival of new variants.

Portugal is doing the right thing by keeping their lockdown going. Strong action can prevent variants from taking over and enable a green zone exit. Image

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More from @yaneerbaryam

6 Mar
@libresdecovid, the Spanish grassroots campaign for #ZeroCovid, has launched the #ZeroCovidChallenge.

Record a 20-30 second video saying why ZeroCovid is necessary and should be implemented in your community.

Here are the first videos:

1/

Read 7 tweets
3 Mar
Despite being hit very hard throughout all of 2020, the 7-day averages for both daily cases and daily deaths reach new highs in Brazil.
Finland imposes a state of emergency order, allowing government officials to impose new restrictions to slow the spread of new variants.

They are currently averaging 560 cases and 2 deaths per day.

reuters.com/article/us-hea…
Sweden’s response continues to be a failure among Scandinavian countries despite abandoning the herd immunity strategy.

New evidence points to intentional hiding of earlier deaths in school age children with 68% increase in excess mortality.

sciencemag.org/news/2021/03/c…
Read 6 tweets
2 Mar
Significant progress is being made in Spain.

They are now averaging 8,000 cases per day (almost ⅕ of peak) and 290 deaths per day (~⅓ of peak). Well done! ImageImage
This progress is fairly uniform across regions. Valenciana, La Rioja, and Extremadura are improving rapidly. ImageImageImage
As new ‘waves’ are beginning in much of the world, now is the time to double down on containment efforts.

Read 4 tweets
1 Mar
Democratic leaders criticize Biden administration's "outmoded" guidance COVID-19 spread

"A group of House Democratic leaders are questioning the the Biden administration's guidance on aerosol transmission which they say relies on "outmoded" science.

1/

cbsnews.com/news/covid-19-…
"In a letter to White House COVID response chief Jeff Zients, CDC Director Rochelle Walensky and acting Labor secretary Al Stewart, four House committee chairs say they have "serious questions" about adequacy of CDC's guidance on workplace protection from aerosol transmission

2/
"For the last two weeks, scientists, experts and unions have been prodding the administration to be more specific about guidance on exposure to small aerosol particles that carry COVID-19, which they say the CDC's official guidelines downplay.

3/
Read 5 tweets
1 Mar
Good news! Portugal is reporting remarkable progress. Yesterday they reported 1,071 cases and 33 deaths, both ~1/10 of their peak.

It's time to think about an Exit strategy to avoid future waves and allow the country to return to normalcy as soon as possible: Green Zones. ImageImage
Nearly every major region in Portugal has significant reductions in cases. None of the mainland regions are ready to open up as a whole, but if they can be subdivided into smaller regions, the path to reopening can be accelerated. ImageImage
The Azores archipelago is close to ZeroCovid.

Madeira, the other Portugese archipelago, is the one region in which cases are not declining rapidly recently. Portugal airlifted patients there a month ago when hospitals were overflowing. Image
Read 9 tweets
28 Feb
How did India go from 90,000 cases per day to just over 10,000?

Answer is compelling

The big picture: Three things are important to stop the pandemic: Travel restrictions (International), travel restrictions (domestic), and strong local lockdowns where there are outbreaks

1/
It is time to recognize the scientific basis of India's success and give it its due. With the number of new cases in India leveling recently, the urgency is great to complete the elimination process so that a new surge does not occur.

2/ ImageImageImageImage
Should India join countries in Asia and Oceania in elimination, 50% of the world would become COVID free, and provide an example for emulation that is surely unexpected by western observers.

3/ Image
Read 27 tweets

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