Ontario update.

#covid19ontario #COVID19 #covid19Canada

Ontario Fall/Winter season: May be able to declare a peak when average week-over-week growth reaches zero.
Ontario covid-19 cases, hospitalizations, deaths, and testing.
Ontario covid-19 cases, deaths, and testing.
Weekly all-cause deaths and deaths with/from Covid-19 in Ontario, including % of deaths attributed to Covid-19. (Subject to reporting delay for all-cause deaths.)
Note: Covid-19 is often not a wholly distinct and separate cause of death as there are other medical conditions involved in many cases.

There are also cases in which it is not even a cause of death, but the individual had tested positive sometime prior to their death.
Ontario total weekly deaths Jan 2010-Oct 2020.
Covid-19 deaths per million by age cohort and for long-term care residents.
The 80+ age cohort accounts for 52% of all-cause deaths in Ontario and 68% of deaths from or with Covid-19, but only 4% of the population.
Daily hospitalizations and cumulative case hospitalization rate (cumulative reported hospitalizations divided by cumulative cases.)
The number of hospitalizations linked to covid-19 in Ontario relative to historical benchmark levels for influenza and pneumonia.
A note on hospitalization data: This may include those who have had a positive test result after being hospitalized for a different reason.
Ontario - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line). (Daily reported deaths divided by average daily cases over prior 28 days.)
The silver lining of mass PCR testing: a falling CFR.

Ontario – Cumulative case fatality rate (CFR). The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line). (Cumulative reported deaths divided by cumulative cases.)
Ontario – Case survival rates (= 100% - case fatality rate) by age.

(True survival rates based on IFR should be significantly higher.)

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More from @Milhouse_Van_Ho

5 Mar
Mise à jour du Québec

#covid19Qc #covid19canada #COVID19

Automne / hiver au Québec : On peut être en mesure de déclarer un pic quand croissance moyenne d'une semaine à l'autre s'approche de zéro.
Nombre total de cas et de décès liés à Covid-19 au Québec.
Nombre total de cas, de décès, et d’hospitalisations en cours liés à Covid-19 au Québec.
Read 8 tweets
4 Mar
Toronto's Medical Officer of Health @epdevilla is married to Dr. Richard Choi, who has collected money from Big Pharma including Pfizer and AstraZeneca.

This is a huge conflict of interest, with potential benefit from prolonged lockdowns.

@JohnTory @fordnation @celliottability ImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
3 Mar
City of Toronto cases, hospitalizations, deaths.

#covid19 #covid19toronto #covid19ontario
City of Toronto - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line).
Greater Toronto cases, hospitalizations, deaths.
Read 5 tweets
2 Mar
The number of deaths from all causes in 2019 vs. number of deaths from or with Covid-19 in 2020-21.
The average age of a death by or with covid-19 is higher than life expectancy.

Deaths among those over 80 account for 69% of deaths by/with covid-19, but only 51% of all deaths (all causes) in 2019.
If you are under 70, your risk of dying after being infected with SARS-CoV-2 is lower than your annual risk of death.

If you are over 70, your risk of dying after being infected is slightly higher than your annual risk of death.
Read 17 tweets

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