For the first time since the beginning of the pandemic, Denmark now have the fewest cases of the Nordic countries below 1/x
Denmark is testing the most 2/x
and Denmark have the lowest test positive percentage, meaning DK is most likely identifying more cases, than the other countries
Example:
if you test 50.000 and find 308 cases
if you instead tested 100.000 you would find 500 cases
and 150.000 test would find 664 cases 3/x
This is explained in more details here.
Basically, you do not adjust in a 1:1 fashion, but use the test ratio difference 100.000/50.000=2 and apply the power of 0.7 to the ratio.
2^0.7=1.62
1.5^0.7=1.32 4/x ssi.dk/-/media/ssi-fi…
More discussions in the subject here, in respect to the use of ^0.7 5/x
Sweden also acknowledged a third wave
Recommended that crowds at shops be limited to 500 ppl, adding to a string of new restrictions in recent week, such as limited opening hours for bars, cafes & restaurants and stricter rules for wearing face masks 8/x reuters.com/article/health…
Ireland: Highest level of restrictions to continue
Portugal: New lockdown under way
Belgium: Lockdown continues
Spain: Curfew and other measures to continue
Czech: Tighter lockdown
Germany: Lockdown extended, some schools open
10/x
France: New lockdown on the Riviera
Italy: Curfew from 22-5, travel between Italy's 20 regions is banned, & mask-wearing is mandatory in public, both indoors and outdoors, across the nation. High school students allowed to return
Netherlands: Some easing of lockdown measures
11/x
Det bliver ved med at komme rigtig gode nyheder ud omkring vaccinerne - det lover godt for fremtiden
Effekten der er observeret i de kliniske studier er nu blevet bekræftet efter udrulningen i mange lande. Især data fra Israel, England, Scotland og Danmark ser imponerende ud 1/x
Flere datapunkter tyder nu på at Astra-Zeneca/Oxford er ligeså god eller bedre end Pfizer/BioNTech og Moderna på flere parametre. economist.com/graphic-detail… 2/x
I de kliniske studier blev der kun målt på (1) hvorvidt man så et fald i antal smittede med symptomer. Der lå effekten mellem 60-95%. 3/x
-Restriction on restaurants (max 4)
-high schools closed
-Restrictions on shops
-Masks recommended in public transportation
-Border control to Denmark
-No alcohol after 8pm
-Restrictions on gatherings (max 8)
Compilation on recent assessments from various sources using different models to provide an early estimates on relative and current reproductive number & transmissibility of the new B.1.1.7 Variant of Concern
1/x
@Peter_R_Hansen B.1.1.7 relative reproductive number ≈ 1.43 times larger. (generation time 4.7) thus 43% more infectious
Estimation for 1 day = 1.08 [CI 1.07-1.09] (8% pr day)
The overall sensitivity and specificity of the antigen test were 69.7% and 99.5%, the positive and negative predictive values were 87.0% and 98.5%. Ct values were significantly higher among individuals with false negative antigen tests compared to true pos medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Results very much in line with what was shared here 5th November.
Antigen quick tests have the benefit of speed, which is very important contact tracing and isolation and can help keep society more open and well as and easy way to protect the elderly