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Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
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13 Mar, 10 tweets, 8 min read
COVID-19 in Switzerland. Week to 13.03.2021—cases, R up again

Govt limited easing Mar 1

Per 100K pop, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—6601 & 177
● in hospital—278 & 5
● deaths—109 & 1.2

R(e): up—1.08
Vaccinations: 1.0m (369K 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/10 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases with data and chartScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations with datScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths with data and charScreenshot of box on Reproductive number Re (lag in calculat
And for the past fortnight, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna mRNA vaccinations ongoing. Pfizer supply delayed. Still waiting for approval: AstraZeneca, Curevac and Novavax. Switzerland has ordered over 30m doses for 8m people

2/10 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases (past fortnight) wiScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations (past foScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths (past fortnight) wScreenshot of Reproductive number since 28.09.2020
Vaccination data and virus variants

(Chart: past 28 days)

“Fully” = receiving second dose (where required)

Slow
Delivered: 1.2m=13.8% (from 976K) (up-tick). Administered: 884K=10.2% (from 651K). Fully: 300K (from 221K)

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

3/10 Screenshot of vaccinations data and graphics, past 28 daysScreenshot of list of variants and numbers identifiedScreenshot of graph of estimated proportion of relevant vari
By canton: lab-confirmed cases in the past fortnight per 100K population—Flat. Similar pattern to a week ago worst in French-speaking west. Dark end of scale down from 275 to 270.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

4/10 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
By canton: lab-confirmed hospitalisation in the past fortnight per 100K population—Again similar pattern to last week. Numbers up slightly. Dark end of scale unchanged, 15.82.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

5/10 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
By canton: deaths (which lag case numbers) tell yet another story—Numbers down slightly. Pattern similar to last week. Dark end of scale *extended* from 5.7 to 7.3.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

6/10 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
Hospital capacity and occupancy: all patients and COVID-19 in ICU

Data from over 150 hospitals/clinics (Glarus and Appenzell Innerrhoden have no IC units)

All: Overall: better, patchy

COVID-19: improving, mixed pattern

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/hosp-capaci…

7/10 Map of occupancy rates: all patientsMap of occupancy rates: COVID-19 patientsChart of COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 occupancy since March 202
R(e) estimates: national over time, cantons latest.

Creeping up. Improving in west + Bern. In east mainly >1

Estimate: 1.08 nationally (from 1.014)

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/repro/val

Note: Swiss schools have stayed open during lockdown

8/10 Chart of reproductive number over timeMap of reproductive number by canton
Vaccination

Slow
Delivered: 1.2m (14% from 11%) (flat)
Administered: 1.0m (14% from 10%)
Fully vaccinated: 369K (4.3% from 3.5%)

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
Fully vaccinated people: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

9/10 Map of administered vaccines per 100 population by cantonMap of fully vaccinated people per 100 population by canton
Latest: After slowing, then stagnating, the new daily infections are rising again

On Mar 12 the government warned there were signs that this could be the start of a third wave

Consultations begin on a second re-opening phase, possibly from Mar 22

swissinfo.ch/eng/covid-19_c…

10/10

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More from @CoppetainPU

Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
10 Mar
What’s happening with the EU’s (and UK’s) tariff-quota commitments in the WTO?

We now have one set of data to look at

REMINDERS:

1. This is part of the Brexit process in the WTO:
—new commitments for the UK
—amended EU commitments

Explanation: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2018/09/12/hap…

1/9
2. Tariff quotas = low/zero import duty inside the quotas + much higher duty outside

3. Pre-Bexit: a single set of EU28 tariff quotas (because of the customs union) legally binding in the WTO.

Post-Brexit: separate UK and EU27 quotas

Explanation: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2018/09/12/hap…

2/9
4. UK and EU want EU27+UK quotas = EU28 quotas

5. Other countries objected. Requires negotiation with both the UK and the EU (under GATT Art.28)

See: wto.org/english/news_e…

3/9
Read 11 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
7 Mar
Final results of today's 3 national votes in Switzerland:

1. Ban on face-coverings/burqas—for 1.43m v 1.36m = 51.2% v 48.8%

This vote needed a cantonal majority and got it: 18 v 5

swissinfo.ch/eng/vote-resul…

1/4 Image
2. Electronic-ID by private companies overwhelmingly against—1.78m v 0.99m = 64.4% v 35.6%

Clean sweep of the cantons, although a majority not needed

swissinfo.ch/eng/vote-resul…

2/4 Image
3. EFTA-Indonesia free trade agreement (objection because of palm oil) approved—1.41m v 1.32m = 51.6% v 48.4%

Cantons against are all French-speaking except Fribourg (bilingual) and Basel City. Cantonal majority not needed.

swissinfo.ch/eng/vote-resul…

3/4 Image
Read 4 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
7 Mar
First voting day of the year in Switzerland. Three national issues:

1. Face coverings aka Burqas
2. e-Identity by private sector
3. Free trade agreement with Indonesia

There may be other issues in the cantons or locally

swissinfo.ch/eng/what-s-on-…

1/4
1. Face coverings aka Burqas

Latest: too close to call

swissinfo.ch/eng/swiss--bur…

2/4
2. e-Identity by the private sector

Explanation: swissinfo.ch/eng/digital-id…

3/4
Read 5 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
7 Mar
As always, a useful post from @xAlan_Matthews

On two points I beg to differ. Alan is not alone in believing agreement is possible on “public stockholding” and special safeguard mechanism by the year-end ministerial conference. …

1/5
None other than new WTO head @NOIweala also said it in last week’s General Council: “On Agriculture, let us identify a few things we can deliver such as PSH [“public stockholding”], SSM [special safeguard mechanism] …”

Who am I go disagree?

wto.org/english/news_e…

2/5
1. “Stockholding” is really about buying at govt-subsidised prices, ie domestic support

India does it for rice and wheat, major Indian exports

Movement is unlikely until India recognises the possible impact on world markets. Otherwise, no deal

See: tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2020/08/24/rhe…

3/5
Read 5 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
6 Mar
COVID-19 in Switzerland. Week to 06.03.2021—cases, R up slightly

Govt limited easing Mar 1

Per 100K pop, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—6504 & 164
● in hospital—275 & 5
● deaths—108 & 1.2

R(e): up—1.04
Vaccinations: 885K (301K 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/9 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases with data and chartScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations with datScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths with data and charScreenshot of box on Reproductive number Re (lag in calculat
And for the past fortnight, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna mRNA vaccinations ongoing. Pfizer supply delayed. Still waiting for approval: AstraZeneca, Curevac and Novavax. Switzerland has ordered over 30m doses for 8m people

2/9 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases (past fortnight) wiScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations (past foScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths (past fortnight) wScreenshot of Reproductive number since 28.09.2020
Vaccination data and virus variants

(Chart: past 28 days)

“Fully” = receiving second dose (where required)

Slow
Delivered: 1.2m=13.8% (from 976K) (up-tick). Administered: 884K=10.2% (from 651K). Fully: 300K (from 221K)

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

3/9 Screenshot of vaccinations data and graphics, past 28 daysScreenshot of list of variants and numbers identifiedScreenshot of graph of estimated proportion of relevant vari
Read 9 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
27 Feb
COVID-19 in Switzerland. Week to 27.02.2021—Creeping down except R

Limited easing Mar 1

Per 100K population, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—6419 & 160
● in hospital—271 & 5
● deaths—107 & 1.7

R(e): up—1.01
Vaccinations: 751K (221K 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/9 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases with data and chartScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases with data and chartScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths with data and charScreenshot of box on Reproductive number Re (lag in calculat
And for the past fortnight, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna mRNA vaccinations ongoing. Pfizer supply delayed. Still waiting for approval: AstraZeneca, Curevac and Novavax. Switzerland has ordered over 30m doses for 8m people

2/9 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases (past fortnight) wiScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations (past foScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths (past fortnight) wScreenshot of Reproductive number since 28.09.2020
Vaccination data and virus variants

(Here, set for past 28 days)

“Fully” = receiving second dose (where required)

Slow
Delivered: 976=10.8% (from 847) (some delays). Administered: 651K=8.7% (from 613). Fully: 221K

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

3/9 Screenshot of vaccinations data and graphics, past 28 daysScreenshot of list of variants and numbers identifiedScreenshot of graph of estimated proportion of relevant vari
Read 9 tweets

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