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Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
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6 Mar, 9 tweets, 8 min read
COVID-19 in Switzerland. Week to 06.03.2021—cases, R up slightly

Govt limited easing Mar 1

Per 100K pop, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—6504 & 164
● in hospital—275 & 5
● deaths—108 & 1.2

R(e): up—1.04
Vaccinations: 885K (301K 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/9 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases with data and chartScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations with datScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths with data and charScreenshot of box on Reproductive number Re (lag in calculat
And for the past fortnight, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna mRNA vaccinations ongoing. Pfizer supply delayed. Still waiting for approval: AstraZeneca, Curevac and Novavax. Switzerland has ordered over 30m doses for 8m people

2/9 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases (past fortnight) wiScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations (past foScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths (past fortnight) wScreenshot of Reproductive number since 28.09.2020
Vaccination data and virus variants

(Chart: past 28 days)

“Fully” = receiving second dose (where required)

Slow
Delivered: 1.2m=13.8% (from 976K) (up-tick). Administered: 884K=10.2% (from 651K). Fully: 300K (from 221K)

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

3/9 Screenshot of vaccinations data and graphics, past 28 daysScreenshot of list of variants and numbers identifiedScreenshot of graph of estimated proportion of relevant vari
By canton: lab-confirmed cases in the past fortnight per 100K population—Improvements. Similar pattern to a week ago worst in French-speaking west. Dark end of scale down from 328 to 275.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

4/9 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
By canton: lab-confirmed hospitalisation in the past fortnight per 100K population—Again similar pattern to last week. Numbers up slightly. Dark end of scale *extended* from 13 to 16.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

5/9 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
By canton: deaths (which lag case numbers) tell yet another story—Numbers continue down. Pattern similar to last week. Dark end of scale down to 5.3 from 5.7.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

6/9 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
Hospital capacity & occupancy: all patients and COVID-19 in ICU

Data from over 150 hospitals/clinics (Glarus and Appenzell Innerrhoden have no IC units)

All: Overall, slightly worse, particilarly dark-shaded cantons
COVID-19: improving, mixed

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/hosp-capaci…

7/9 Map of occupancy rates: all patientsMap of occupancy rates: COVID-19 patientsChart of COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 occupancy since March 202
R(e) estimates: national over time, cantons latest.

Creeping up. >1 in most of country (previously just west)
Estimate: 1.04 nationally (from 1.01)

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/repro/val

Note: Swiss schools have stayed open during lockdown

8/9 Chart of reproductive number over timeMap of reproductive number by canton
Vaccination

Slow
Delivered: 1.2m (14% from 11%) (some delays)
Administered: 885K (10.24% from 8.7%)
Fully vaccinated: 300K (3.5% from 2.6%)

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
Fully vaccinated people: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

9/9 Map of administered vaccines per 100 population by cantonMap of administered vaccines per 100 population by canton

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Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
27 Feb
COVID-19 in Switzerland. Week to 27.02.2021—Creeping down except R

Limited easing Mar 1

Per 100K population, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—6419 & 160
● in hospital—271 & 5
● deaths—107 & 1.7

R(e): up—1.01
Vaccinations: 751K (221K 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/9 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases with data and chartScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases with data and chartScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths with data and charScreenshot of box on Reproductive number Re (lag in calculat
And for the past fortnight, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna mRNA vaccinations ongoing. Pfizer supply delayed. Still waiting for approval: AstraZeneca, Curevac and Novavax. Switzerland has ordered over 30m doses for 8m people

2/9 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases (past fortnight) wiScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations (past foScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths (past fortnight) wScreenshot of Reproductive number since 28.09.2020
Vaccination data and virus variants

(Here, set for past 28 days)

“Fully” = receiving second dose (where required)

Slow
Delivered: 976=10.8% (from 847) (some delays). Administered: 651K=8.7% (from 613). Fully: 221K

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

3/9 Screenshot of vaccinations data and graphics, past 28 daysScreenshot of list of variants and numbers identifiedScreenshot of graph of estimated proportion of relevant vari
Read 9 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
3 Feb
@DavidKleimann Hmm. Yes and no, I’d say.

YES: The text (latest December 2008) does include broad cuts for overall trade-distorting domestic support (OTDS), further disciplines if more distorting (AMS), and different treatment for developed v developing countries

docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…

1/6
@DavidKleimann And NO:

1. Fixed end date (2030)
2, Target for worldwide trade-distorting support entitlements: cut by half
3. How the variations are achieved within the target is left open

4. … continued …

docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…

2/6
@DavidKleimann NO continued:

4. Broad reference to “all forms” of trade/production-distorting support. So, no distinction between “AMS” entitlements (usually big, eg US, EU, Japan etc) and “de minimis” (“smaller”, for everyone, but now big for India, China).

docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…

3/6
Read 7 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
1 Feb
When I tweeted this #CPTPP thread ⬇️ , some people saw it as another UK govt fantasy, an impossibly complex task

That’s an interpretation. Not mine.

The UK-EU agreement and various UK continuity agreements show that deals can be struck quickly. Quality is another matter

1/13
My purpose was to paint a picture.

"A deal" tells us nothing. No two trade agreements are the same.

This ⬇️ is what the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (#CPTPP) looks like.

With some questions …



2/13
1. Would the UK joining #CPTPP be beneficial? Yes, but the benefits would be limited—distance does matter, even with services, and CPTPP is thin on services.

international.gc.ca/trade-commerce…

So would it be worth the effort?

It might make negotiating with some countries simpler …

3/13 ImageImageImage
Read 13 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
31 Jan
The UK is starting talks to join the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (#CPTPP)

One way of finding out what it is: look at the text.

Here goes.

It doesn’t have a Secretariat so the text is published by each govt. Google “CPTPP text”

1/13
New Zealand is a good place to start. It has the text by chapter, 30 of them: mfat.govt.nz/en/trade/free-…

(Canada has summaries by chapter: international.gc.ca/trade-commerce…)

#CPTPP

2/13
“Wow! 30 chapters. Better start reading”

“Hang on. There’s more.”

mfat.govt.nz/en/trade/free-…

#CPTPP

3/13
Read 14 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
30 Jan
COVID-19 in Switzerland. Week to 30.01.2021—High but creeping down

Semi-lockdown: to end-Feb

Per 100K population, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—6030 & 263
● in hospital—250 & 9
● deaths—100 & 6

R(e): up slightly—0.86
NEW: Vaccinations: 262K

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/8 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases with data and chartScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations with datScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths with data and charScreenshot of box on Reproductive number Re (lag in calculat
And for the past fortnight, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna mRNA vaccinations ongoing. Pfizer supply delayed. Still waiting for approval: AstraZenenca, Janssen-Cilag (J&J). Switzerland has ordered 15.8m doses for 8m people

2/8 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases (past fortnight) wiScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations (past foScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths (past fortnight) wScreenshot of Reproductive number since 28.09.2020
By canton: lab-confirmed cases in the past fortnight per 100K population—Picture very similar to last week. Scale for dark blue down from 500 to 430, so slight improvement. Jura, Valais, Nidwalden and Glarus still worst

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

3/8 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
Read 8 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn Profile picture
4 Jan
JANUARY 4, 2021

The first day back at work at the WTO.

What’s happened to the UK’s commitments (“schedules”) on goods (tariffs, tariff quotas, farm support) and services in the WTO now that the Brexit transition is over, and the UK no longer applies the EU’s commitments?

1/12
NEW UK DOCUMENT

The UK has circulated a new document outlining the latest situation with the commitments on goods and services, various agreements, applied tariffs and preferences (GSP, UK-EU deal), WTO dispute settlement, trade remedies, laws

docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…

2/12 Image
GOODS
Tariffs, tariff quotas, farm support

The UK is now applying the commitments it proposed in 2018 with amendments in May and Dec 2020 (correcting errors) even though they have not been agreed.

5 rounds of talks. Some agreement, or “close” to

docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…

3/12 ImageImage
Read 12 tweets

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