Weekly French vaccination thread.
Good news/bad news.
The good news includes the fact that France administered 1,500,000 shots in 7 days to Thursday, including 1,170,000 1st doses. This is +200,000 shots a day on average, after an av. 76,000 in 1st 10 weeks of the roll-out
1/12
Other good news (for me anyway), I received a 1st AstraZeneca jab at my doc's surgery in Calvados yesterday. Slight fever today but no real sickness. The process took 40 minutes: a thorough Q and A with a locum doctor, a jab by a nurse and 15 mins wait before I could leave.
2/12
Other good news (for everyone), the EU and France have approved a fourth type of vaccine – Janssen or Johnson and Johnson – which will be available from next month. This is a one-shot only vaccine and easy to store. It should be offered through GP’s and pharmacies. 3/12
Bad news: AstraZeneca announced today that it was (again) cutting supplies to France and EU countries this month and in the next quarter. AZ blamed the fact that “non-EU countries” (ie mostly the USA) were blocking exports of vaccines. 4/12
In US case, this is pure dog-in-manger. USA has still not approved the AZ vaccine. And then the UK press accuses the EU of “vaccine nationalism”… The EU (despite much publicised Italian block on sales to Oz) has exported millions of Pfizer doses to UK and other countries. 5/12
How significant a problem the AZ supply cuts will prove is unclear. Overall, France is going faster (72% of doses used, compared to 50% end Jan) BUT it has so far used only 1.1m of the 2m AZ doses received from the EU supply programme. Plenty still in the fridge then… 6/12
Talking of catching up, the French media, long supine with some honourable exceptions, has begun to investigate/attack the French vax programme, just as it starts to take off. See cover of Le Point below with Macron riding a snail. Nothing very new in their coverage. 7/12
The acceleration in the past week is partly thanks to a big effort last weekend in which firefighters and others were involved. Over 200,000 shots last Sat! 100,000 on Sun! The same today. The aim is to use up the AZ backlog, caused by the resistance of health/care workers.
8/12
Doctors, meanwhile, are complaining they aren't getting enough doses. After some Dr’s leaders said it should all be done in vaxodromes, others now say they should have been involved from start. All the same France hit 280,000 shots on Thurs – a record 9/12
Vax figures as of Thurs night:
1st doses since Dec 27: 4,569,849.
2nd doses 2,152,230.
In last 7 days, the daily av. of 1st doses was 168, 225.
To hit target of 10m first jabs by mid-April, France needs to give 152,777 a day. Pharmacies joining in from Mon. So doable. 10/12
And some good news to finish with…
The vaccination of Ehpad (care home patients) has now reached 87.4% (1st jabs) and 66.3% (2nd jabs) Those figures put into perspective the polls showing only around 60% of French adults want to be vaxxed. 11/12
And, whatever the justified criticism of other aspects of the rollout, the Ehpad campaign has been an extraordinary success.
Care home deaths are down from 100 a day in November to 20 a day now.
(See chart by the excellent @nicolasberrod)
12/12
13/12
Useful update here. there were 330,000 jabs given yesterday...a new, new record.
At this rate, the 10m first jabs by mid-April should easily be possible. After that it' s tougher...target is 20m by mid May.

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More from @john_lichfield

27 Feb
UPDATE thread on France’s anti-Covid vax programme.
Overall, it’s still frustratingly slow. The AstraZeneca roll-out has been very poor – largely because of rejection of the AZ jab by health workers. BUT that may soon change… 1/10
The government is planning belatedly an “AZ-is-wonderful” P.R. campaign based on Scots findings that the vax is 90% effective and fine for old people. As a result, the Fr. health supervisory board may soon recommend that Fr. lifts its ban on AZ for the over 65’s. 2/10
That would be a game-changer, with 6m AstraZeneca doses due to arrive in France in the coming month and over 9m in April. But Macron and his government must carry a large part of the blame for what they now call primly AZ’s “image deficit” in France. 3/10
Read 10 tweets
25 Feb
The French PM Jean Castex will give a press conference in a few mins on what he plans to do about the dozen or so départements (counties) where Covid variants are surging. Weekend lockdowns have already been imposed in the Nice area and Dunkirk. Paris area next? Not yet it seems
It seems the French PM will probably announce “consultations” with local governments in the départements concerned – a broad stripe to Paris from the Pas de Calais, plus Moselle in Lorraine. Weekend lockdowns and other new restrictions may follow
Health situation is deteriorating, Castex says. Over 30,000 cases nationwide yesterday for the first time since November. British variant is now half the cases in France - creating a new epidemic because more contagious than the original.
Read 14 tweets
24 Feb
French Covid thread.
It’s getting complicated. Parts of France are doing fairly well. A dozen départements – in the north, the Paris area, Lorraine and the Nice area – are suffering sharp spikes in cases. Dunkirk has been placed under weekend lockdown today, following Nice 1/11
Covid variants (mostly the UK one) are responsible for this surge. To know which 13 départements are worst affected - a daily average of more than 250 cases per 100,000 – look at this map from the wonderful Covidtracker site @GuillaumeRozier. 2/11
Image
The most stricken areas are Dunkirk with 900 cases per 100,000, four times the national average, and the Alpes Maritime department around Nice. Both are going into weekend lockdown for at least 2 weekends from Friday. The PM Jean Castex will announce other measures tomorrow. 3/11
Read 12 tweets
20 Feb
How is the French anti-Covid vaccination programme going? Better overall but there are still many failings and mysteries. By last Wednesday France had received, according to official figures, 570,000 doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine but had used 67,256 of them – 11.7%. 1/10
Olivier Véran, health minister, said 12 days ago, that France would offer AZ to all health/care workers/ambulance crews/ home helps by next Monday. Jean Castex, PM, said 1,000,000 AZ jabs would be given this month.
After just over 2 weeks, Fr. had reached… 67,000 AZ jabs. 2/10
What’s going on? Anecdotal evidence suggests that there is considerable resistance to AZ in France, even among health workers, following reports of unpleasant after-effects and poor performance against some Covid variants. Officially, no info is forthcoming. 3/10
Read 10 tweets
13 Feb
French vaccines – booster thread.
In my last big French vax thread 2 weeks ago, I asked why the French programme was so slow. I’m pleased to say things have improved (a little) since then. 1/10
Here is an interesting fact. France, as of yesterday, has given more 2nd injections than Britain – 617,715 Fr to 570,094 UK. In other words France (though rightly criticised) has now fully vaccinated more people against Covid than Britain (which has been rightly praised). 2/10
This is explained, of course, by the fact that the UK is delaying all 2nd jabs for up to 12 weeks. In terms of first injections, the UK (with same population but started 3 weeks earlier) has vaxxed over 14m people. France now stands at 2.83m. 3/10
Read 10 tweets
11 Feb
French Covid thread. Depending on your viewpoint, the figures for the last week are “encouraging” (the government) or “misleadingly stable” (epidemiologists). Average daily cases and deaths fell for the first time in many weeks. But the “UK variant” continues to spread fast. 1/12
Ministers say the stats justify Prsdt Macron’s gamble 2 weeks ago in refusing a 3rd Fr. lockdown. Epidemiologists say the faster-moving UK and other variants will soon dominate – and cases/deaths will explode. The mutations are now 39% of cases in Paris area/ 21% nationwide. 2/12
The government admits that lockdown may still be necessary but they hope to avoid one. If it does happen - in March say - they believe Macron will given credit for preserving limited freedoms for as long as possible rather than blamed for risking lives. Maybe. Maybe not. 3/12
Read 13 tweets

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