1/ City of #Toronto Covid-19 variants of concern. 7 day average of cases screened for spike mutation plus confirmed variants of concern as a portion of overall cases, by episode date. #COVID19Ontario
2/ The chart above is the best representation of the status of VOC that I can produce with public data. It comes from Toronto's Covid Status of Cases page. They have a chart showing screened and confirmed voc cases by episode date. I combine this with cases by episode date...
3/ from their public covid case dataset. It is important to use episode date because the cases announced as screened + for spike mutation, and confirmed as voc on a given day, are not necessarily (in fact rarely) cases from the same day. From watching these numbers closely...
4/ for the last several weeks I have noticed that voc #s announced today result in changes to daily counts going back weeks, even months in the case of voc confirmed by genomic screening. So it's the only way to get a true picture of voc growth and proportion of overall cases.
5/ Ontario has a similar chart but I can't read the numbers to compare them with overall case numbers.
6/6 ON also has a very good chart that shows voc as a % of cases for the province as reported. Problem is as I said earlier voc reported are not for the current day. (last 2 charts are from the ON daily epidemiological summaries)
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1/ Covid-19 disproportionately affects the elderly, right?
A large majority of deaths are in LTC and other elderly, right?
So, you'd expect that 2020 would show a greater % of overall deaths in older age groups, right?
But that's not what we've seen... #COVID19Ontario
2/ The proportion of deaths in Ontario up to August is THE SAME as it usually is. Check out the chart. There was a larger difference between '16-'17 than '19-'20. Does that make any sense?
The next chart shows why... #COVID19Ontario
3/ Deaths in the elderly surged over normal levels during the peak of the first wave. And then, proceeded to drop below normal levels in the Summer. Could one say that those elderly who died, simply died several weeks earlier than they would have without Covid? #COVID19Ontario