Over a decade, the creators of the RCP scenarios warned against using RCP8.5 as a "reference" scenario for the other RCPs (figure left)
This advice was ignored, with at least 5,800 papers doing exactly that (figure right)
So too do various reports of the IPCC & USNCA
This advice was ignored, with at least 5,800 papers doing exactly that (figure right)
So too do various reports of the IPCC & USNCA
There is of course no problem using RCP8.5 in research
However, we should all be clear that it has no relation to the planet that we live on, Earth, past, present or future
I propose we rename RCP8.5 as Tatooine so that it is abundantly clear that it is a fictional world
However, we should all be clear that it has no relation to the planet that we live on, Earth, past, present or future
I propose we rename RCP8.5 as Tatooine so that it is abundantly clear that it is a fictional world
In fact, it is not just RCP8.5 that is problematic
Key aspects of the real world (Earth) are rapidly departing from the imagined worlds of the RCP/SSP universe
Consider coal consumption, for instance
Key aspects of the real world (Earth) are rapidly departing from the imagined worlds of the RCP/SSP universe
Consider coal consumption, for instance
Pop quiz!
What is the proper response to outdated scenarios in climate research?😎
What is the proper response to outdated scenarios in climate research?😎
Read more:
rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-unstoppa…
Read wayyyyy more: sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-unstoppa…
Read wayyyyy more: sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
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