Thread by @anonfmresident

Good Morning @Ableg new day same old #shandemic report. Here it is for 2021-3-16 beginning with Monster
@AdrianaLaGrange mismanagement of Schools, Shandemic actual's profiteering and concluding with the growing mutant threat.

For Schools (Change) @SOSAlberta
Schools with/had COVID cases 1247 (+2)
Last 2 weeks 287 (+13)
One case or Pre-Alert 96 84 (+12)
Alert (2-4) 107 (-2)
Tier 1 Outbreak (4-9) 54 (+2)
Lagrange Lvl Outbreak (10+) 29 (+1)
Closed 23
Active cases 1160 (+54)
Transmissions 205 (+11)

No good news the only (-) is alerts and only because they were not contained and escalated to outbreaks. Monster Lagrange's Comprehensive plan is following the same trajectory as the robust one and barring vaccinations for children will result in another shutdown.

As it stands now 23 schools have had to shut down since the Jan reset. Infection rates are at 32% of the worst Dec levls among 5-19 year olds and trending upwards. Current conditions are very similar to midish November, approximate rates and graph slope.

Looking now at the general numbers for the province we have (change)
139,143 Total cases
355 new cases (-9)
1,952 Deaths (+3)
4,776 Active cases (-35)
260 In hospital (-4)
44 In intensive care (+2)

On the surface good news with several (-). However daily changes are small enough to be statistically irrelevant giving few trends in either direction.
Week
Avg daily cases 354 (flat)
Deaths 4.3/day (+ slight)
Active cases 4470 ---> 4476
Hospital 263 ----> 260
ICU 37 ---> 44

The most active trend is the new variants most notably B.1.1.7 (UK variant).
B.1.1.7 has increased by 61 cases to break 1k and is at 1,028
B.1.351 (South African variant) saw one new case and is at 17.
The Brazilian variant (now designated P.1 has 2 cases
Total 1,047

There is a definite upwards trend with the new variants with a doubling time of two weeks rapidly consolidating

2021-03-2 508 cases -----> 1047 currently
IF the trend continues
>2k by April
>10K by May.