Just heard @JaiveerShergill on an LSE Students Union panel discussion on the informal sector and the pandemic. He and @priyankac19 had some very interesting observations to make, @NalinSKohli was his usual prickly defend-BJP-at-all-costs self. A few points:
@JaiveerShergill made the useful point that even in the so called formal sector the vast majority of workers DO NOT enjoy the most important things of being in the formal sector, a contract, employment benefits, and a pension/providend fund.
@NalinSKohli beat the drum for JAM - janDhan, aadhaar and Mobile, with which the #Modi Govt, he claimed, helped 420 million beneficiaries (fact check, anyone?) He was challenged about how demonetisation had destroyed the MSME and informal sectors.
His defence of Demonetisation was the most bizarre I've heard yet. If it was such a disaster, as people claimed, how come Mr Modi won UP in 2017, a year after the disaster? There that election win proved it , acc to him.
@Jaiveershergill pricked that bubble when he said Mr. Kohli could have it both ways, one, claim that an election win vindicates past mistakes and then say what did they do in 70 years. Well, they won all those elections then didnt they.
Typo correction. Mr Kohl;i could NOT have it both ways
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Next time some #Bhakt dolt asks you. What did they do for 70 years? refer them to this, by Dhruva Jaishankar (his father is the Ext Affairs Minister) from Oct 2017. brookings.edu/opinions/india… let me attach a few choice extracts in this thread
"Indeed, most Indian cultural diffusion to overseas audiences—from yoga to Bollywood—has occurred without the involvement of the Indian government,"
"...the establishment of the Indian Institutes of Technology, which formed the backbone of India’s software boom in the 1990s, and the Green Revolution in the 1960s that helped make the country agriculturally self-sufficient."
The last time something simikar happened was during the Indian famine before World War 2. Scores of Millions in India starved while grain was exported to Britain.
Let me build on that. @ShashiTharoor in #IngloriousEmpire page 160 writes:
"..by the time it ended, nearly 4 million people in Bengal had starved to death in the 1943 famine. Nothing can excuse the odious behaviour of Winston Churchill, who deliberately ordered...
the diversion of food from starving Indian civilians to well-supplied British soldiers and even to top up European stockpiles in Greece and elsewhere. 'the starvation of anyway underfed Bengalis is less serious' than that of 'sturdy Greeks', he wrote.
A tweet thread
Subj: Another #WhatsApp#propaganda Lie from the #Bhakt brigade
Picked this up on a family group WhatsApp message. Apparently, the Prime Minister has now matriculated to being a Roll-On-Roll-Off ferry operator!
So what's the truth?
Read On.
Pic 1 is the map of the South Gujarat coastline, Pic to is a zoomed in map of the Gulf of Khambhat. Both Bharuch Road and Bhavnagar are somewhat inland, so the Ferry actually runs between Ghogha and Dahej.
A Thread
Subject: #India's Union Govt Accounts
Headline: Dramatic IMPROVEMENT between the December and January position.
How?: Not as they would have you believe but by a standard accounting trick.
Read on to know more.
Hint: A ratio has a Numerator AND a Denominator.
At the end of Q3 of FY 2020-21, the Union Govt accounts reported the following: Of course the Jan 2021 numbers are for 10 months of the FY, while the Dec 2020 numbers are for 9 months of the FY. Even so, it's great improvement. Or is it?
Data Source: cga.gov.in/index.aspx
The clue is in the change in the denominator. In Dec it was the Budget estimate, i.e the numbers estimated in the 2020-21 budget way back in March 2020. In Jan it is the REVISED estimate. So take Total receipts. They were 11.2 trllion as at Dec2020 (= 49.9% of what wa
I am delighted beyond imaginable that #DishaRavi has been granted bail. But I find a few aspects of the Court's order both inexplicable and worrying.
Let me explain,
First, @NDTV reports that the Judge said, "...it cannot be presumed by resorting to surmises or conjectures that she also supported the secessionist tendencies or the violence caused on 26.01.2021.."
Q. What evidence did the Judge have to label the violence as "secessionist".
If the Judge was relying on the police charge that the violence was by #Khalistani agents then he should have been careful to qualify it as "allegedly secessionist violence".
A Thread.
My column in @newslaundry criticised the RCT of Coronil done by Patanjali on, among other grounds, its small sample size. Many have asked me to say what sample size I would have recommended. So here is a #Tweetorial in RCTs and sample sizes. newslaundry.com/2021/02/22/pat…
Imagine a conversation between an Ayurvedic Researcher (R) and a Statistician(S) . It might go something like this:
R: "hey I need a sample size calculation. In my last trial I had 100 patients and the critics laughed, ‘it’s too small’, they said. "
S: Okay lemme help.
S: What is the outcome measure you seek to study?
R: Virus clearance at Day 3
S: I see. So, what is your best guess of the virus clearance rate at Day 3 in the absence of any treatment?