BOJ's focus on inflation targeting and management of the FX market both have a context, and that context, as we have explained before, is the ongoing economic reform programme supported by both political parties and built on the sacrifice of the Jamaican people: 🧵 #BOJSpeaks
2. It is the existence of that economic reform programme - fiscal discipline, a flexible exchange rate, inflation targeting, and all - that provides the economic resilience to ensure that the pain of 1 year of COVID-19 and counting is not a hundred times worse. #FinanceTwitterJA
3. The first and most important thing on the list was a radical shift away from debt-dependence and fiscal dominance towards fiscal responsibility and returning to a private-sector fuelled economy. Without this step first, nothing else on the list would have been possible.
4. When fiscal "crowding out" of the private sector finally became "crowding in," and BOJ then had the space to stimulate investment by slashing interest rates, the economy started earning more FX, which in turn enabled - for the first time - a real FX market and normal FX rate.
5. Yes, believe it or not, an FX rate that moves in both directions in reaction to current market conditions is exactly what happens in other market economies and is desired and very normal, just like the price movement of tomatoes or thyme in Coronation Market. #shocker
6. Obviously, the FX has to come from somewhere, and that somewhere is from PRIVATE SECTOR EARNINGS. So whenever you want to see more FX in the market, what you need to do is earn it yourself or help the private sector to earn more. It's that simple.
7. The journey continues, with much more work to do, and more focus on more private-sector earnings and implementing more reforms is what will get us further faster.
8. Getting there in the end, while navigating the challenges like COVID-19 and without finding ways to derail ourselves, is what the hard work and sacrifice to date has been all about.
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2. Yes, it’s been a minute since our last inflation thread, there’s a lot to catch up on, and we’re sorry it’s been so long, but oh, boy…what can we say? It’s been a strange and hectic year, and like our friends at @rocketshipja would tell you, it’s been a case of:
3. We’ve heard the vicious rumours, too - that we’ve forgotten our fans and followers who read these inflation threads, because we’ve graduated to an inflation TV show and that we “get rich an’ switch.”
Presenting....the ultimate lowdown on inflation, via a Western movie-themed yarn featuring Croc. O. Doyle in his debut acting role as the new Sheriff in town...enjoy! #BOJSpeaks#FinanceTwitterJA
2. Artistically, the story borrows from and pays parody homage to the spaghetti western film genre, which partially inspired Jamaica’s own global cult classic film, The Harder They Come, and spaghetti western-inspired video games like the Red Dead series.
3. Inflation targeting is rather complex, and not to be compared with the simplicity of shooting at a target, as it’s not really about precisely hitting a static target every single time. Economics in general, and monetary policy in particular, is hardly ever that simple.
2. Yes, COVID-19 stalled STATIN for a bit, delaying the inflation data, but in any case, we also thought it would be in poor taste to keep going on about inflation in the early throes of a pandemic. But now STATIN is back and we’re in economic recovery mode, so here we are.
3. It’s great to have the inflation data to examine again, since inflation is about expectations, and growing pessimism during a crisis is normal, especially without data. It becomes easy for us to fear that all indicators including inflation will run off in the wrong direction.
BOJ invites comments on its recently published discussion paper on Macroprudential Policy Tools. The paper discusses macroprudential policy and effective implementation. This thread highlights the paper; for full details, read it here: bit.ly/39ux0JY #BOJSpeaks 🧵
2. Macroprudential policy entails the use of prudential actions to contain systemic risks, that if realized, would cause widespread implications for the overall financial system and the real economy. #FinanceTwitter
3. Effective macroprudential policy requires the ability to detect risk to financial system stability, the formulation and application of appropriate instruments, and the communication of such actions to relevant stakeholders and the public at large.
On Thursday May 7, 2020, BOJ held a virtual press conference to update local and some regional journalists on the recently announced FINTECH Regulatory Sandbox. #BOJSpeaks#FinanceTwitterJA 🧵
2. The press conference was addressed by Governor Byles, Deputy Governor in charge of Banking and Currency Operations and Financial Markets Infrastructure, Mrs. Natalie Haynes, and also the Director-General of Jamaica’s Office of Utilities Regulation (OUR), Mr. Ansord Hewitt.
3. The Fintech Regulatory Sandbox became effective on 16 March 2020.