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There's 2 different types of vaccine export bans being discussed in Brussels: targeting a company, or targeting a country.
The 1st can be done using existing export transparency mechanism. The 2nd would need a new mechanism agreed by EU leaders at Thursday's summit
There's 2 different types of vaccine export bans being discussed in Brussels: targeting a company, or targeting a country.
The 1st can be done using existing export transparency mechanism. The 2nd would need a new mechanism agreed by EU leaders at Thursday's summit
If AstraZeneca tries to send doses from its EU plants to the UK, to make up for the India delivery shortfall, the existing mechanism can be used on the basis of AZ falling short of its dosage delivery promises to the EU.
Such a block is almost guaranteed to happen if AZ tries it
Such a block is almost guaranteed to happen if AZ tries it
But to block exports of Pfizer, which is meeting its delivery promises to EU, a new mechanism would be needed.
That mechanism would target countries rather than companies, saying doses can't go to vaccine-producing countries that don't reciprocate, perhaps using Article 122.
That mechanism would target countries rather than companies, saying doses can't go to vaccine-producing countries that don't reciprocate, perhaps using Article 122.
The 10 million doses exported from EU to UK since 31 Jan were Pfizer, we understand.
A sudden loss of Pfizer delivery could cause UK's vaccination programme to collapse and endanger people getting their 2nd doses (which haven't been saved under the UK's 12-week-delay strategy).
A sudden loss of Pfizer delivery could cause UK's vaccination programme to collapse and endanger people getting their 2nd doses (which haven't been saved under the UK's 12-week-delay strategy).
IMHO I think it is unlikely EU leaders will decide to ban Pfizer exports at #EUCO on Thursday. The pain inflicted on the UK would be enormous, without a huge benefit to the EU vaccination campaign.
But I've heard some in Brussels saying it's a matter of principle.
But I've heard some in Brussels saying it's a matter of principle.
So: AZ export ban almost certain, Pfizer export ban unlikely.
EU would benefit more from the US ending its export ban and allowing companies to use US plants to supply countries like 🇨🇦🇲🇽🇯🇵.
Then those countries wouldn't be relying on EU plants, and more doses could stay in EU.
EU would benefit more from the US ending its export ban and allowing companies to use US plants to supply countries like 🇨🇦🇲🇽🇯🇵.
Then those countries wouldn't be relying on EU plants, and more doses could stay in EU.
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