$UPST Pt-2: Analysis on Future Growth Drivers.

I took some extensive time to write a comprehensive report on their FY 2020 Financial report and What to expect in 2021.📙

Many people might ask if they have missed out? No, there's more L-T!

Here is why in my article Preview:📩👇 Image
1/ Brief Overview:

I start the article with a very brief overview of Upstart for those new to the story.

However, if you want a shorter form – read my thread below or if you know everything - you can skip it.

2/ $UPST - I provided a breakdown of the 2020 Earnings R. –

Couple of things made the earnings report stunning! I explain:

• The driver of the 40% Growth
• The Operating margins and profitability
• The important customer metrics that 'Wow'd'
• How the business is scaling
3/ $UPST What Investors Can Expect in 2021: Growth drivers

• Is Revenue Growth of 115% sustainable in 2021? [I break it down]

• Prodigy Acquisition & Auto Loans: Does it contribute to revenue?

• $UPST 's new target market with the launch of their Spanish App
4/ Here is the $UPST Article:

I concluded by stating key risks to observe.

My price target of $185 on my 2021 $550M Revenue estimates and why $UPST is a good reopening play!

This is the analysis and hope it helps everyone!😃
investianalystnewsletter.substack.com/p/upstart-hold…

Next is optional...
5/ $UPST Charts:

Historically, if a company ends an earnings report, with 'extremely' large volume (since its IPO) for 2-consecutive days.

Its a strong signal of institutional funds significantly buying shares & is a catalyst for a BIG market leader (stocks that outperform) a/. Image
5b/...Cont'd - The definition of Earnings Gap-Up/ Big Stock Winning Characteristics

Some TA Experts:
Would I be correct in the way I stated that Earnings Gap-Up definition? - @RichardMoglen @RayTL_ @PatternProfits @duckman1717 [Let me know if I'm wrong]
6/ Finally, I'm bullish on $UPST b'cos its Founder-Led company disrupting the Lending-Fintech Ecosystem.

I wanted to share this with fellow shareholders or those interested in this story. Hope it helps 🙏

@JonahLupton @RamBhupatiraju @saxena_puru @BackpackerFI @GetBenchmarkCo
* $UPST Sources:

It's a comprehensive article based off all information available from Jonah's Interview & Other CEO Interviews, SEC Filings, Earnings Call Transcripts and Analysts note.

Thanks so much! 🙏

investianalystnewsletter.substack.com/p/upstart-hold…

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More from @InvestiAnalyst

17 Mar
$UPST FULL Thread on Upstart Holdings - Up 47%!😯

Why I've been bullish on this leader in AI disrupting the Trillion-dollar Consumer Lending Market!

✅What is so special?
✅What are the Competitive advantages?
✅ $LMND of Lending?

Let's explore in this deep thread👇👇
1/ Thread Overview:

2- Company Overview
4-Competitive advantages & Emerging Moats
5 -Financials & Customer Growth
7 - Market Opportunity
8 - Management Team
9- The bear thesis & Risks
2/ $UPST Overview:

A lending platform that applies AI & machine learning to improve the consumer lending and underwriting process for making effective credit assessments.

They help their bank partners by referring loans, creating a seamless and simple consumer facing app.
Read 21 tweets
16 Mar
$FUTU vs $TIGR - MEGA THREAD Summary:

• What are the differences vs similarities btw both companies?
• 🚨Revenue Growth rates over 281% & 152% respectively
• What are the risks of Investing? Can we trust both?
• $FUTU Earnings Recap
• Are they worth it?

Biz Thread below👇
0/ Thread Overview [Skim to your sections]

1: Financials Overview
2-3: $FUTU vs $TIGR Competitive advantages
4-5: Financial Analysis Summary
5-6: Management Teams
8: The Risks to Weigh
10: Industry and market Opportunity
1/ Company Overview: Super easy, nothing much.

$FUTU & $TIGR - Platforms that enables buying & selling of equities.

* Additionally provide margin financing, ESOP management, IPO Services, Investment Banking.

* $FUTU has more of a growing Wealth Management biz
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26 Feb
$ETSY - 🔥

Announced Phenomenal 2020 FY Results

- 10% big beat on revenue!
- 520% EPS Growth!

There were 50 slides but here are my Top 10/10 Key Takeaways from the Conference Call if you missed it and key expectations going forward into 2021.

10 Quick Thread Insights below👇:
1/10: $ETSY Consistent Triple digit Revenue Growth:

Q1: $228M - 35% YoY
Q2: $428M - 137% YoY
Q3: $451M - 128% YoY
Q4: $617M - 129% YoY

2020 Avg: $1.7B -> 111% YoY 🔥

Q1 2021 Guide: - $536M - 135% YoY

Driven by payments, e-commerce & GMS.
2/
$ETSY's brand is improving massively and getting recognition both in North America and Internationally.

41% International growth in sales (111% YoY)

GMS Growth in UK was over 189% and they are becoming a top e-Commerce platform in the UK & Germany.

This is underrated!
Read 11 tweets
22 Feb
BIG beat for $ZI - 10% AH

Key Highlights:
✔️Q4-2020 Revenue: Actual $139M vs. Est. $130M (53% YoY Growth) (7% Surprise)
✔️EPS: Act. $0.10 vs Est. $0.12
✔️Q4- GAAP Ops. Income Margin of 21% and Adjusted Margin of 45%
✔️FY 2020: 63% YoY Growth

This is a Top-class company-✅🔥
Part 2 - $ZI

- Cash flow from operations of $169.6 million, and Unlevered Free Cash Flow of $243.7 million.

- $ZI closed the year w. >20,000 customers, including more than 850 customers with $100,000 in annual contract value

- FY 2021 Guidance below
Part -3: - $ZI

* I may start another position again as I sold my position a few weeks ago.

- Top-line Revs growing >50% consistent
- High gross and ops margin
- Founder-Led with three awards for 2020 culture & placed No. 15 on for Best Company Culture
- Moat within sales teams
Read 4 tweets
22 Feb
Weekly Fundamentals✅: $VUZI Corp was 🆙 over 30% today.

I've been talking about $VUZI since it was $9 b'cos of the capability to solve key problems across multiple verticals.

So here below was my thesis (maybe its why $ARK Invest bought? or $AAPL is investing here)

Thread👇:
This $VUZI thread contains of the following

1-5: Overview & industry use-cases
7 - Financials
8 - Industry
10 - Competitive advantages I believe makes $VUZI maintain a good position in the AR Market

*There are risks, but you'll need to be open-minded & be big picture minded*
1/ $VUZI

They design, manufacture, market and sell Augmented Reality (AR) Smart-Glasses display, wearable computing, AR optics technologies, display engines and products for the consumer and enterprise markets.

*No, this is a real product being used today, not a story stock*
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$PLTR Investors should focus more on Foundry, the commercial business and leave behind the past $PLTR of US Gov’t

In this analysis, I utilize my experience as a Product Lead for AI projects to highlight factors I believe differentiates Palantir.

Below is a thread of the report- Image
1/ The best way to understand $PLTR software philosophy. Think of it as a funnel.

i) Data Integration to absorb data
ii) Knowledge & Data Management
iii) Advanced search and discovery
iv) Intuitive app to drive collaboration

It goes back to the early days with Peter Thiel.
2/ The Four Tenets that guide Foundry:

i) Ontology of data and wide-ranging use case templates
ii) Advanced AI Capabilities and simulation modelling from the ontology
iii) Modularization with a variety of software apps
iv) Interoperability with any data platform such as IBM’s Image
Read 10 tweets

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