#Israelex4 major update: 1,873,416 votes tallied (42.13% of the vote).
Results so far:
Likud 32
Yesh Atid 16
Shas 10
UTJ 9
Yamina 8
Lieberman 8
RZP 7
Blue & White 7
New Hope 6
Labor 6
Joint List 6
Meretz 5
Ra'am has fallen below the threshold!
Results so far:
Likud 32
Yesh Atid 16
Shas 10
UTJ 9
Yamina 8
Lieberman 8
RZP 7
Blue & White 7
New Hope 6
Labor 6
Joint List 6
Meretz 5
Ra'am has fallen below the threshold!
Ra'am is at 3.24% of the vote, less than 300 votes below the threshold (which stands at 60525 votes).
elections24.dicta.org.il is now no longer predicting that Ra'am will be in the Knesset.
elections24.dicta.org.il is now no longer predicting that Ra'am will be in the Knesset.
Right now Ra'am's lost seats go to the Likud (2), Yamina, and Sa'ar (1 each).
If we stopped counting votes now, this would be the most damaging fall below the threshold in Israel's history. ALL FOUR SEATS went to right-wing parties. We have never seen a bloc lose more than two.
If we stopped counting votes now, this would be the most damaging fall below the threshold in Israel's history. ALL FOUR SEATS went to right-wing parties. We have never seen a bloc lose more than two.
Of course it won't stay that way. Even if Ra'am doesn't cross the threshold, every update of votes will select new beneficiaries of Ra'am's lost seats. The chances that they all go to right-wing parties are ~1/16.
CORRECTION: Ra'am's four seats went to Likud (2), Yamina (1), and Lieberman (1). Not Sa'ar.
I misread my spreadsheet. Thanks to @MoCGruber for catching the error.
I misread my spreadsheet. Thanks to @MoCGruber for catching the error.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
