All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.
(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)
UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:
- Tests: 1,405,259 (-171,296)
- Cases: 63,206 (+5,273)
- Deaths: 1269 (+96)
- Currently Hospitalized: 36,108 (+274)
- Currently in ICU: 6,951 (+95)
(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Recent trends seem to be continuing—better news generally in the southern states, especially TX/SW/CA; varying degrees of plateaus and rises in much of the rest of the US. We’re still massively down from fall/winter peaks, of course.
In 2020, our first wave started to subside around the second week of April, though the initial data are messier, including limited testing and several states not yet reporting hospitalization or ICU numbers.
Hopefully we see our plateau/mini-rise start back down in ~1-2 weeks.
Busy again tonight, but I'll post Michigan and Texas to show 2 states trending different ways. Seems to indicate a geographical/seasonal/climatological component—especially given TX's ~50% B117 over a week ago, nearly equal to MI (& SW trending well vs. northern regions).
MICHIGAN
TEXAS
PS – New Jersey's been absolutely maddening lately. Just comically high volatility in reporting from one day to the next. Days of 0's to 140K test days.
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All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.
(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)
UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:
- Tests: 1,955,154 (+115,523)
- Cases: 73,230 (+11,036)
- Deaths: 1,405 (+84)
- Currently Hospitalized: 35,969 (+40)
- Currently in ICU: 6,936 (-47)
(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Big jump in cases from last Friday to this (and a fairly large jump in tests too). Today wraps up our first plateau/mini-rise week since we started down in late-ish January. The Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Great Lakes have generally led the rise, with Michigan on a rocket ship.
The regional trends in #COVID19 metrics seem to pretty clearly have a geographical or climatological tie. The states in RED have the largest recent percentage increase in positive testing %. The states in GREEN have the largest percentage decrease.
Here's the same map, but for improvement in current hospitalizations (as a % increase/decrease). Again, RED is least improvement (or in some cases, increasing numbers). GREEN is most improvement.
One positive note: only 4 states showed current hospitalizations higher as of yesterday's data than they did on March 5, so most of the RED states above are still showing declines.
All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.
(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)
UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:
- Tests: 1,649,982 (-98,511)
- Cases: 62,633 (+276)
- Deaths: 1,259 (+57)
- Currently Hospitalized: 35,929 (-179)
- Currently in ICU: 6,983 (+32)
(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Fairly low movement today in the national numbers, though that masks what continues to be varied regional trends. I’m already looking forward to next week though—curious as to whether our plateau/mini-rise starts to bend back downwards or hangs around a while longer.
All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.
(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)
UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:
- Tests: 1,209,792 (-34,995)
- Cases: 35,488 (-4,435)
- Deaths: 536 (-303)
- Currently Hospitalized: 36,470 (-375)
- Currently in ICU: 7,369 (-114)
(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
The first thing you might notice is the lower positive testing percentage, including in the historical data. This is due my backdating (mostly) testing data for about 35-40% of states to include antigen tests where we report a state’s antigen-positive cases.
All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.
(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)
UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:
- Tests: 1,459,570 (+48,238)
- Cases: 50,782 (-8,576)
- Deaths: 1,059 (-612)
- Currently Hospitalized: 36,845 (-690)
- Currently in ICU: 7,483 (-86)
(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Trend lines still looking good overall. We’re still seeing some acceleration in the percentage decrease in deaths. And while hospitalizations and ICU declines have slowed a bit, they’re maintaining double-digit drops week-over-week for several weeks now.
Did you reply similarly to JHU as you did me here, or to the many (very prominent) accounts who linked to JHU’s data, when JHU put out its daily % positive for every single state by using CTP’s “totalTestsResults” while including antigen positives in case counts?
I'm sure you cannot have missed the ubiquitous use of the two columns in CTP's CSV/API (which CTP used for its topline daily data updates) to calculate and blast state-by-state positivity—including by media and policymakers—despite admonitions from CTP.
In GA, and FL, and AR, and TN, and TX, and LA, and MS, and others…this results in a massive error. Just saying, “We warned you against comparing states” while venerated institutions are doing just that and putting it out into the world like a shockwave is willful blindness.