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26 Mar, 6 tweets, 2 min read
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – MARCH 26

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,955,154 (+115,523)

- Cases: 73,230 (+11,036)

- Deaths: 1,405 (+84)

- Currently Hospitalized: 35,969 (+40)

- Currently in ICU: 6,936 (-47)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Big jump in cases from last Friday to this (and a fairly large jump in tests too). Today wraps up our first plateau/mini-rise week since we started down in late-ish January. The Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Great Lakes have generally led the rise, with Michigan on a rocket ship.
Take a look at how regional the improvement has been over the course of March. If the H-S folks are right—and it certainly seems to be a solid predictor—then we should have much brighter days ahead, and soon. Let’s see what next week brings.
Also, I think J&J is going to start bringing the heat a bit more, and I’m hoping to see consistent 3M-dose days across all vaccines starting very soon. We’re already at 2.62M on the 7-day average:
No regionals tonight. It’s Friday, and I’m already a couple glasses of wine in…

Have a nice weekend, all.

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More from @TheLawyerCraig

Craig Profile picture
26 Mar
The regional trends in #COVID19 metrics seem to pretty clearly have a geographical or climatological tie. The states in RED have the largest recent percentage increase in positive testing %. The states in GREEN have the largest percentage decrease.
Here's the same map, but for improvement in current hospitalizations (as a % increase/decrease). Again, RED is least improvement (or in some cases, increasing numbers). GREEN is most improvement.
One positive note: only 4 states showed current hospitalizations higher as of yesterday's data than they did on March 5, so most of the RED states above are still showing declines.
Read 4 tweets
Craig Profile picture
26 Mar
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – MARCH 25

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,649,982 (-98,511)

- Cases: 62,633 (+276)

- Deaths: 1,259 (+57)

- Currently Hospitalized: 35,929 (-179)

- Currently in ICU: 6,983 (+32)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Fairly low movement today in the national numbers, though that masks what continues to be varied regional trends. I’m already looking forward to next week though—curious as to whether our plateau/mini-rise starts to bend back downwards or hangs around a while longer.
Read 16 tweets
Craig Profile picture
24 Mar
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – MARCH 24

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES Image
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,405,259 (-171,296)

- Cases: 63,206 (+5,273)

- Deaths: 1269 (+96)

- Currently Hospitalized: 36,108 (+274)

- Currently in ICU: 6,951 (+95)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Recent trends seem to be continuing—better news generally in the southern states, especially TX/SW/CA; varying degrees of plateaus and rises in much of the rest of the US. We’re still massively down from fall/winter peaks, of course.
Read 8 tweets
Craig Profile picture
15 Mar
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – MARCH 14

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,209,792 (-34,995)

- Cases: 35,488 (-4,435)

- Deaths: 536 (-303)

- Currently Hospitalized: 36,470 (-375)

- Currently in ICU: 7,369 (-114)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
The first thing you might notice is the lower positive testing percentage, including in the historical data. This is due my backdating (mostly) testing data for about 35-40% of states to include antigen tests where we report a state’s antigen-positive cases.
Read 10 tweets
Craig Profile picture
13 Mar
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – MARCH 13

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,459,570 (+48,238)

- Cases: 50,782 (-8,576)

- Deaths: 1,059 (-612)

- Currently Hospitalized: 36,845 (-690)

- Currently in ICU: 7,483 (-86)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Trend lines still looking good overall. We’re still seeing some acceleration in the percentage decrease in deaths. And while hospitalizations and ICU declines have slowed a bit, they’re maintaining double-digit drops week-over-week for several weeks now.
Read 6 tweets
Craig Profile picture
13 Mar
Did you reply similarly to JHU as you did me here, or to the many (very prominent) accounts who linked to JHU’s data, when JHU put out its daily % positive for every single state by using CTP’s “totalTestsResults” while including antigen positives in case counts?
I'm sure you cannot have missed the ubiquitous use of the two columns in CTP's CSV/API (which CTP used for its topline daily data updates) to calculate and blast state-by-state positivity—including by media and policymakers—despite admonitions from CTP.
In GA, and FL, and AR, and TN, and TX, and LA, and MS, and others…this results in a massive error. Just saying, “We warned you against comparing states” while venerated institutions are doing just that and putting it out into the world like a shockwave is willful blindness.
Read 6 tweets

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