Public feeling towards labor unions is more positive than in any year on record back over half a century, @electionstudies.

Public feeling towards big business is more negative than in any year on record.

The gap is bigger than any year on record.
The representation gap -- the difference between the share of workers who want a union & share who have one -- has been growing. Best evidence @TomKochan @_elkelly @ILRReview.

More than half of all workers want to belong to a union but less than 11% do.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00…
Read @zackbeauchamp on the PRO Act, which passed the House, designed to rebalance bargaining power in the labor market.
vox.com/policy-and-pol…
What's at stake if workers form stronger unions? @JohnWBudd, Brigham Frandsen & I did a summary of the evidence @EconoFactOrg.
econofact.org/what-is-at-sta…
Originally I looked at average ratings on 0-100 feelings thermometer scale. @KevinReuning suggested looking at strong feelings.

Since 2012, share of Americans with strong positive feelings toward unions ⬆️ & big biz keeps ⬇️.

Record Union-BigBiz gap, tho neither record alone.
Record high share with strong negative feelings toward big business, but share strongly negative toward labor unions is low.

2020 has biggest BB-LU value. In the 1980s & 1990s, big gaps went the other way.
Here's the Stata code for this and my analysis of views of the minimum wage among jobseekers.
github.com/aaronsojourner…
Thread from 2 days ago on how jobseekers view the minimum wage. Critics of minimum wage increases grant that minimum wages will help workers who keep minimum wage jobs but express concern about jobseekers' well-being. What do jobseekers say?
Q: If more than half of Americans want to belong to a union, why are only 11% in them?

A:
How has sentiment evolved by party id? This looks at the within-person (Labor Union - Big Business) gap in feelings & shows trends in gap's average by party id.
In contests between unions & big biz,

1. political swing groups seem quite positive to unions

2. every group more positive than before. All at record highs except Ind-LeanR & they're close to 1974 high. Ds & Ind-LeanD moved up a lot.

3. 2012 dip was among right only.
If your instincts about the politics of organized labor versus organized capital were forged in the 1960s-2000s, it's time to update them.

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More from @aaronsojourner

25 Mar
898K Americans filed new regular state + PUA claims for unemployment insurance in the week ending 3/20, down 13% from prior week.

Tho this is still a very high level historically, it's the lowest since 51 weeks ago when we experienced a record-smashing claims spike to 3.3m.
The share of adults employed is lifting off & workers' expectations about the labor market continues its rapid improvement, per new evidence @uscensusbureau #householdpulsesurvey.
The rise in employed share over the last month is corroborated in Bick & Blandin's quasi-CPS.
Read 10 tweets
25 Mar
When @amazon's official news account is talking about peeing in bottles, that's workers winning.

The ratio!
We all deserve dignity on the job. This ain't it, @amazon.
Read 4 tweets
25 Mar
Share of adults employed lifting off, up 0.5 pp in last 4 weeks& across #JobsDay ref wks. Most in 3 months.

% of adults reporting being employed

56.9 : Mar3-15
56.5 : Feb17-Mar1
56.4 : Feb3-15
55.4 : Jan20-Feb1
56.3 : Jan6-18
56.8 : Dec9-21
56.3 : Nov25-Dec7
58.1 : Nov11-23
Workers' labor market expectations continue very rapid improvement. May foreshadow real gains.

Millions expecting employment income loss in next 4 weeks : period
47.5 : Mar3-15
51.0 : Feb17-Mar1
57.8 : Feb3-15
61.6 : Jan20-Feb1
66.1 : Jan6-18
76.5 : Dec9-21
76.7 : Nov25-Dec7
Read 4 tweets
5 Mar
Happy #JobsReport.

Forecasts’ center:
+210K jobs, up from 49K last month
6.3% unemployment

8:30 ET @BLS_gov delivers the most-important signals abt how economy is changing. Hope you’re staying healthy.
The incomplete recovery stalled this fall as the virus surged again.

Since April, Americans' have had more lost jobs than the maximum job loss during the Great Recession.
The economy added 379,000 jobs in January and revisions to the prior two months added another 38,000 to the tally. That's the biggest gain since Oct.
Read 14 tweets
4 Dec 20
Happy #JobsDay. 8:30 ET @BLS_gov delivers the most-important signals abt how economy is changing.

Forecasts' center:
+432,000 jobs
6.8% unemployment, tick down from 6.9%

But lots of reason to expect weaker jobs growth.
+245K jobs gained last month (mid-Oct to mid-Nov).

Small +11K revisions of last 2 months.

This continues the deceleration of job growth we seen steadily for months.
We are down 9.8 million jobs since Feb and growth is decelerating, likely to turn negative over the current month.

For comparison, during the Great Recession, we lost fewer than 9 million jobs.
Read 19 tweets
4 Dec 20
A whole-of-America may get COVID approach.
A whole-of-government may get COVID approach too.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_Hou…
Read 4 tweets

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