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Jean Fisch Profile picture
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27 Mar, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Covid in πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§: GPs are told to get ready to give a booster jab to the over 70s as of Sep to ensure protection against the variants

Question to πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί and πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺ: Who is responsible for securing availability and EU-based production of these booster jabs as of Sep?

@FranceDammel @MamerEric
Je poke aussi @catherinefonck car c'est tout simplement trop important (en espΓ©rant que c'est ok pour vous)
For those interested, here an overview of the current estimated efficacies of the vaccines for the different known variants:

Interestingly enough, the topic of variants even makes it into the Daily Mail!

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More from @Jean__Fisch

Jean Fisch Profile picture
28 Mar
Could a different vaccination strategy by πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺ have a had an impact on the current 3rd wave hitting the country?

Answer: "A little bit, but not structurally. AZ delivering according to its initial planning would have though”

⬇️⬇️⬇️
1/ Is BEL slow at vaccinating? Actually not really: It has put roughly as many jabs into arms as other EU countries

A few countries are ahead but they have structurally more doses (e.g. Denmark, Malta, etc.) Image
2/ Could πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺ have better focused its efforts on the vulnerable (>80s)? Clearly, other countries have achieved this better Image
Read 14 tweets
Jean Fisch Profile picture
27 Mar
Preparing for the variants: The reaction of some of the experts / responsibles in this report are really worrysome.

Let me explain why with the approach here, we will do the same risk management error again

1/N
There is a serious risk that variants are evading the vaccines. We don't know, but the if they do, we may need to return to social distancing, lock downs etc.

2/N
We know that we need up to 6 months to plan such a campaign (get the manufacturing right, prepare the logistics, etc.)

3/N
Read 8 tweets
Jean Fisch Profile picture
14 Mar
Vaccination in πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺ: How are is the country doing?

Let me walk through this as not all is what it seems

⬇️⬇️⬇️
1/ As I explained yesterday:

βž‘οΈπŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺ will get less doses than other πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί countries
➑️πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί does not get the vaccines it expected

2/ There is simply nothing πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺ can do about this now. The maximal doses the country will received will allow to vaccinate

➑️13% by end of Mar
➑️38% by end of Jun

Read 11 tweets
Jean Fisch Profile picture
14 Mar
Covid in πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺ: The situation is going in the wrong direction

⬇️⬇️⬇️
1/ The incidence rate in πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺ is not on the up in all regions
2/ The increase in incidence is not an effect from increased testing

Testing is essentially stable yet cases are increasing (cf. the red line which gives the difference between the two)
Read 6 tweets
Jean Fisch Profile picture
12 Mar
Vaccination in πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺ: More delays were announced and there is real confusion about what Belgian really ordered. So here a thread on

/ Supply and deliveries
/ Likely vaccination plan
/ Immunization plan

The result is not cheerful but a reset requires facing the harsh reality⬇️⬇️⬇️
First things first: πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺ ordered less than others for 2021

We took
- 50% of 1st Moderna Contract (2m not 4m)
- 50% of 2nd Moderna Contract (3.8 not 7.8m) of which 50% is delivered in S2 2021 (rest in 2022)
- 50% of Curevac (2.9m not 5.8m)

1/N Image
Let's reuse the graph for some side comments

/ πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ invested boldly in AZ and this pays off at the moment

/ πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ got the surplus of other EU countries (NB: there is still an element of estimation: actual could be slightly lower in the end)

/ πŸ‡³πŸ‡± puts more emphasis on J&J

2/N Image
Read 10 tweets

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