Brumby Profile picture
29 Mar, 33 tweets, 9 min read
THE PANDEMIC TIMELINE IN TOP GUN GIFS

I know I have gathered my modest following here doing substantive tweets/threads. This one is fun and cathartic.

(1 of a quick 33)

1. A respiratory virus of unknown origin is detected in China
2. It seems to be spreading rapidly and is detected in other locales.
3. What should we do? We have a well-established plan: basically, keep your cool, don't panic, and try to keep a normal functioning society.
4. No, screw that. Let's everybody totally panic instead and implement never-before heard of, contemplated, or advised mass lockdowns of an entire healthy population.
5. Wait, do these lockdowns cause any harms?
6. Whatever, we're going to do them anyway. We promise it'll just be for two weeks.
7. You can't just shut down the economy!! It keeps society afloat.
8. It turns out, while appearing fierce, lockdowns don't actually accomplish anything. Much like an infamous locker-room jawsnap.
9. Ok, its time for something self-indulgent and kinda fun but ultimately useless. Like Fauci's 1 trillionth media appearance ... or the volleyball scene
10. Let's assemble a team of "experts" to pretend we know nothing & make endless doomsday predictions and embarrass themselves at every briefing, denying age-based risk gradients, heterogeneity, prior immunity, school closure harms, seasonality, lockdown inefficacy, lab leak, etc
11. Certain Stanford/Harvard/Oxford doctors (and select others) to everyone else as lockdowns continue to destroy all of society and humanity
12. Meanwhile, 90% of bluechecks on twitter to anyone suggesting maybe, just maybe, past a certain point its not possible to "control" a respiratory virus that spreads via people breathing and we need to move forward
13. We will never go back to normal, they say; only some horrible dystopian "new normal"
14. What is the false positive rate of these PCR tests anyway?
15. People are desperate for human contact. Me to anyone who wants to get together in person maskless
16. Literally everyone to E Feigl-Ding despite him being on twitter's promoted "experts" list
17. Ok, but masks don't work, until they do, and then they don't again, unless maybe, so we're going to wear two (preferably with a hosiery sleeve)
18. Ok good news...we have multiple effective vaccines!!
19. Schools ask permission to reopen since everyone knows it is safe; teachers unions:
20. Biden to teachers unions as public pressure mounts:
21. Certain actions by Governors early in the pandemic begin coming to light
22. Ok, but even though we have vaccines, we are going to keep all the restrictions going indefinitely. And we get to at least keep the masks, right? Sorry...its time to let go.
23. Me, looking at Gov. Ron DeSantis opening businesses and schools, restoring civil liberties. "Every Floridian has the right to earn a living. Florida is open, and we've got your back"
24. Blue states still: now is NOT a good time to reopen. We may need to extract a few more trillion, perform a few more rain dances, and sacrifice a few more virgins into the volcano
25. Meanwhile in California...do you think we might ever be able to, like, eat outside again? I mean, as long as we wear masks in between bites of course?
26. A new Surgeon General is appointed that literally wrote a book on the importance of human connection but still has to support lockdowns for political reasons
27. Europe enters yet another lockdown; how did the first one go?
28. Continuing lockdown advocates in private to Sweden/Florida/etc:
29. Everyone begins coming around to lockdowns being the worst idea ever and promises never to do them again. [you are here now]
30. All of us at our first bar after the great reopening
31. Team Apocalypse and Team Reality at the same bar when this is all over and we can finally meet in person again instead of arguing online
32. Ding after everyone has moved on
33. Thanks for reading

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Brumby

Brumby Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @the_brumby

23 Mar
DOES BIG TECH LOVE BIG LOCKDOWN?

A bit about the lockdown economy & why it may appear that, despite many businesses being decimated, others (including the economy as a whole) seem in no hurry to exit. With public co’s having reported, we can now look back on 2020 in full.
1/13
For my non-finance followers, 1 thing to understand is the economy—like a stock index—is effectively capitalization-weighted. This means the biggest companies have the most impact & the smallest are mostly irrelevant, both w/r/t econ metrics & co’s influence on gov/policy
2/13
Below is a good visual of what I mean using the S&P500. The 5 biggest companies have a weighting equal to the bottom 350. So you can barely see a company like General Motors worth $75B, let alone a local shop that—pre-lockdown—made $75k/yr & might be worth $1m (if public).
3/13
Read 14 tweets
17 Mar
1 yr ago today, Dr. Ioannidis wrote the below. I read it that day, agreed with nearly every word, and still do. Worth revisiting in full, but I’ve captured a few key quotes below along with my own commentary

My favorite, which sums up the last yr:
1/8
statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-f…
“we dont know how long social distancing measures and lockdowns can be maintained without major consequences to the economy, society, and mental health. Unpredictable evolutions may ensue, including financial crisis, unrest, civil strife, war, and a meltdown of the social fabric”
“How long, though, should measures like these be continued if the pandemic churns across the globe unabated”

I’d love to know. We never should have implemented such devastating & unprecedented “temporary” measures without defined exit criteria.
3/8
Read 8 tweets
8 Mar
Short Lockdown Economic Update:

A revised look at who gets to work from home. Remember this the next time someone says "if only people would just listen"
Total US salaries & wages have surpassed pre-pandemic levels, except there are now 9.5 million fewer people w jobs.

How is that possible? Simple: the rich got richer while the poor got poorer. This is the inverse of what most lockdown supporters profess to desire in society.
Those earning >$85k were never impacted by job losses. Those earning <$30k on the other hand nearly hit 40% unemployment in April and are still ~15%. For comparison, unemployment hit 10% in the financial crisis. Note the rate for this group tanked again during winter lockdowns.
Read 5 tweets
2 Mar
Statements like this from Pfizer remind me of Warren Buffett's quip "Don't ask the barber whether you need a haircut."

(1/6)
Pfizer has said it expects $15 billion in 2021 revenue attributable to its COVID vax. For comparison, its total 2020 revenue was ~$42 billion, with its best-selling product Prevnar 13 (introduced 10 years ago) contributing just under $6 billion.

(2/6)
So the COVID vax will instantly become Pfizer's best selling product by 2.5 times and represent a ~35% increase in total company gross revenue. For a 170-year old stodgy $200B market cap company, that is other-worldly growth.

(3/6)
Read 6 tweets
24 Feb
The 10,000-Foot View: Forever Lockdown Unraveling?

A short (for me) thread on what I perceive as the current macro situation (warning: contains some optimism)

1) I believe many have overestimated the degree to which people “like” lockdown. Sure, there are some.

1/15
But rather, they might simply “support” it as they believe it to be a necessary part of our societal approach to the virus due to that claim having been repeated ad nauseum in MSM.

2/15
Further, they have merely been inconvenienced by lockdown (the Zoom class) rather than decimated (working class), so they lack any incentive to question the prevailing narrative and instead conform to what is perceived as the virtuous course of action.

3/15
Read 16 tweets
16 Feb
SCHOOL THREAD

So, R. Weingarten, President of the AFT and future recipient of TIME’s inaugural Worst Person of the Year award, is out gloating about how the new CDC school “reopening” guidelines are similar to what the AFT proposed in April 2020. Yes…one year ago. 1/20
First, it is obviously preposterous to look to guidelines (from a labor union) issued in the early stages of a pandemic (including raw case numbers despite 70x testing volume now) prior to much better data/science/studies being made available. But I’ll play along.
2/20
What did we know in April ‘20 about child/school transmission? Here are 15 studies/articles along w a key quote/synopsis from each.

Again, all of this has only been further solidified over the last 10 months. I’m just pretending we're stuck in April 2020 like the AFT-CDC.
3/20
Read 20 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!