JPR007 Profile picture
1 Apr, 12 tweets, 2 min read
AND SO IT GOES

Volkswagen to buy environmental credits from Tesla in China

The deal is the first of its kind to be reported between the two companies in China and highlights the scale of the task Volkswagen faces in transforming its huge ICEV business
reuters.com/article/us-vol…
China is the world’s biggest auto market where over 25 million vehicles were sold last year, and it runs a credit system that encourages automakers to work towards a cleaner future by, for example, improving fuel efficiency or making more electric cars
Manufacturers are awarded green credits that can be offset against negative credits for producing more polluting vehicles

They can also buy green credits to ensure compliance with overall targets

This trade is usually between affiliated companies that share a major stakeholder
To help meet increasingly tough targets, Volkswagen’s joint venture with state-owned Chinese automaker FAW, or FAW-Volkswagen, has agreed to buy credits from Tesla, the sources said, declining to be named as the talks were private

Volkswagen declined to comment on the deal
VW said in a statement it was “strategically targeting to be self-compliant” with rules in China, but that if required it would buy credits

Tesla did not respond to requests for comment

FAW-Volkswagen sold 2.16 million cars last year
The business and another Volkswagen venture in China with SAIC Motor were among the most negative credit-generating automakers in the country in 2019, according to data from China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology
The ventures’ gasoline sedans and SUVs have so far proved far more popular in China than their electric vehicles
It is unclear how many green credits FAW-Volkswagen will buy from Tesla, but FAW-Volkswagen’s offer was around 3,000 yuan per credit, which is higher than the prices of previous years, the sources said
The deal effectively sees Volkswagen, the biggest foreign carmaker in China, subsidising a rival while the German group ramps up production of electric vehicles

Its ventures in China plan to roll out five electric ID series models this year
In the United States, where regulators also set environmental requirements, Tesla has sold regulatory credits to rivals such as Fiat Chrysler, now part of Stellantis, but it has not so far reported any deals in China, where it started making cars in late 2019
Tesla’s revenue from selling regulatory credits totalled $1.58 billion in 2020, according to a regulatory filing

Shares in Volkswagen, the world’s second-biggest automaker, have soared this year as investors warm to its plans to go electric
But in China, and elsewhere, the German company is still heavily reliant on traditional combustion-engine vehicles

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with JPR007

JPR007 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @jpr007

4 Apr
REFERENCE BENCHMARK

Once we have a clear understanding of our Valuation Methodology, it is useful to make a couple of important observations

1. We have never seen a case before like Tesla where the broad direction of the future can be predicted with such confidence
It is quite remarkable and it is a consequence of three things

- one is that it comes from a fundamental disruption of a very large and important industry sector and consumer sector, the sort of thing that happens only once in a lifetime or once in 100 years for that sector
- the second is that this company is being led by a remarkable set of human talents and appears to be accumulating and building even more talent internally
Read 7 tweets
4 Apr
HOW TO INVEST IN STOCKS

1. Let us start with the principle that a stock will ultimately be valued based on its earnings, regardless of how it is priced today

So Future Value = Future Net Income x Future P/E Multiple / Future Number of Shares

It is that simple
2. For a stock to deliver you a 15% return based on its fundamentals, it has to grow its earnings at 15% or more over the investment period

- once its earnings growth slows below 15% per year its discounted present value will naturally decline
3. Normally its Net Income growth must be driven by its Revenue growth

- so this means that you must look for stocks whose Revenues are growing more than +15% per year and which are expected to continue to do so for as many years as possible
Read 17 tweets
3 Apr
WHAT DOES "BETA" REALLY MEAN ?

"Wall Street Analysts" and other commentators like to talk about "Beta" :

“Tesla has to have a higher return because it has a higher risk”

“It has a higher risk because it has a higher beta”

This is not the most useful way to think of "beta"
Beta is a measure of past volatility of an indidual stock relative to the past volatility of the broader market

Now consider this :

1. An investor’s investment risk is not in the past

2. An investor’s investment risk is not in the present
3. An investor’s investment risk is in the future

- once they own the stock, the only uncertainty that matters is "what will be the stock price at the end of my investment time horizon ?"

4.. An investor’s investment risk has nothing to do with present stock price volatility
Read 7 tweets
3 Apr
WHAT SHOULD BE YOUR EQUITY DISCOUNT RATE ?

Answer : it should be the rate that you want your portfolio grow by over the years

So first ask yourself "what result do you want to achieve over your investment time horizon ?"
- if you want to double or 2x the value of your portfolio over 5 years, you should use at least 15% per year

- if you want to quadruple or 4x the value of your portfolio over 10 years, you should use at least 15% per year
- if you want to increase the value of your portfolio by 16x over 20 years, you should use at least 15% per year

You may notice a pattern here . . .

It is that simple
Read 5 tweets
2 Apr
THE GLOBAL SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY

- in 2016 Image
SEMICONDUCTOR TOP 10 - 2020 Q1 Image
SEMICONDUCTOR TOP 10 - 2020 Q2 Image
Read 6 tweets
1 Apr
A PRIMER ON UNDERSTANDING CAPACITY IN THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR

When a company builds a manufacturing facility there are a lot of considerations that go into determining its capacity, and even more considerations that go into determining its output
Let us take a look at the case of Tesla

This is the most recent communication from the company on their Installed Annual Capacity

But what does it mean ? Image
To understand that it is helpful to lay out a more detailed Capacity Map

First, there are currently four relevant locations

- Fremont, California, USA

- Shanghai, China

- Brandenburg, Germany

- Austin, Texas, USA

Tesla also has other manufacturing facilities Image
Read 12 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!