Supporting #Myanmar’s generals has a long tradition for Germany and its companies since the dictatorship of Gen Ne Win. The most immediate relic of this is the wide-spread use of German-designed G3 rifles by Myanmar’s security forces
Some thoughts 🧵 1/6 #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar
While more modern Chinese MA rifles have gradually become the Tatmadaw’s murder tool of choice, the G3 has long been the standard rifle of Myanmar’s security forces, be it in their wars against EAOs, the genocide against Rohingya or massacres of civilian protestors then & now 2/6
This is not least because Germany’s Heckler and Koch did not only sell thousands of G3 rifles (& MG42 machine guns) to Myanmar since 1960s. Germany also helped the Tatmadaw to establish weapon factories in order to produce these murder tools itself. This started in 1953 ... 3/6
... and expanded significantly after Ne Win took power in a military coup. Lead company was the Fritz Werner GMBH, which was owned by the German state at the time. Factories construction was supervised by engineers of German’s foreign aid agency (GTZ now GIZ)! 4/6
A displaced Karen man once explained the German G3 to me: when you are hit by an AK, you have a chance of survival as the bullet goes straight through. But there is no chance to survive a G3 hit because the bullet expands upon impact and rips your body apart. German quality! 5/6
For more details I can recommend Andrew Selth's Burma's Secret Military Partners (available here: tinyurl.com/Selth) and the following Irrawaddy article irrawaddy.com/from-the-archi… 6/6

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More from @DavBrenner

17 Feb
Great thread by @ZweLwinMyanmar: urging people not to panic over fake news about Chinese soldiers in #Myanmar, to consider evidence carefully & to question how fake news only help the Tatmadaw. In his words: "Keep calm & analyse!"

Some more thoughts: 1/8
#WhatsHappeningInMyanmar
.@ZweLwinMyanmar makes excellent points about photos being used out of context & the lacking credibility of Burmese police shouting in Chinese. Please read his thread.

I could not agree more, even though we all appreciate how frightening the situation is.

2/8
I also doubt the authenticity of this viral video in which one can hear Burmese police shouting 1, 2, 3 in Chinese. The sound bits seems superimposed on the original sound that continues underneath. This is the age of fake news and anyone with a computer can do this easily. 3/8
Read 8 tweets
16 Feb
We need to seriously stop fabricating baseless rumours that Chinese soldiers are in #Myanmar. They are not and they will not be. Outside observers claiming anything else is senseless, irresponsible and dangerous.

#WhatsHappeningInMyanmar #myanmarcoup
Some thoughts - thread 1/10 Image
I understand that people in Myanmar are afraid and that media restriction and secrecy on side of the Tatmadaw is aiding this kind of fake news. There's a reason why "rumour" has such a prominent place in Myanmar politics after decades of dictatorship. I can't blame them. 2/10
However, these fears are not only baseless but dangerous: The Tatmadaw has enough soldiers to brutally suppress protests. No need for a few Chinese foot soldiers. More importantly the Tatmadaw is the most anti-Chinese institution in the country and would never agree to that 3/10
Read 10 tweets
3 Feb
This is actually big news and devastating for the KNU. It is also very illustrative of the state of the peace process under ASSK as well as what might come for EAOs and peace in #Myanmar more generally. #MyanmarCoup

Apologies, short thread again 1/5

karennews.org/2021/02/burma-…
Mahn Nyein Maung (MNM) has also been called Burma's Papillon for his "miraculous" escape from the high security prison on Coco Island aka “Burma's Devil's Island” He was then imprisoned again in Insein and released with the KNU ceasefire in 2012 after which he returned to KNU 2/5
I interviewed MNM in 2013 when he insisted that then semi-military administration of U Thein Sein (former Tatmadaw General) was a peace-loving government that the KNU should trust. Needless to say not everyone in the KNU agreed, especially with rampaging ceasefire capitalism 3/5
Read 5 tweets
3 Feb
As there is increasing talk about the need to rethink Western donor engagement with #Myanmar, get up to speed with the following open-access article by @schulmanic & me, in which we urged exactly this two years ago:

Some takeaways - 1/6

#MyanmarCoup

bulletin.ids.ac.uk/index.php/idsb…
The article historicises Myanmar's transition of 2011, which demonstrates that Western donors' understanding of the country's transition primarily through the lens of "democratisation" was not only analytically wrong but also politically problematic. 2/6
Operating on this assumption of democratisation, Western donors shifted funds from grassroots networks to militarised state bureaucracies that co-opted peacebuilding and development projects for the purposes of ethnocratic and authoritarian state-building & counterinsurgency. 3/6
Read 6 tweets
1 Feb
Some good reflections here on why it's not nitpicking to highlight that the coup happened largely within the confines of 2008 constitution. Re the question what the NLD has done to challenge the military’s practical hegemony over #Myanmar politics from within those constraints:
One of the biggest practical challenges the NLD mustered to Tatmadaw's power from within these constraints was removing the General Administration Department (Myanmar's bureaucratic backbone) from military-controlled Ministry of Home Affairs, placing it under civilian controlled.
But that was two years ago, and obviously cannot be the sole explanation for today's escalation. Yet, it comes to show that the NLD has found some clever loopholes (including UEC) over the years, which all together apparently seem increasingly threatening to Tatmadaw interests.
Read 5 tweets

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