Let's not forget that when the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement was finally sorted on 24 Dec, it was provisionally applied - allowing the EP to do its scrutiny this spring
2/25
Provisional application was extended from the initial end of February deadline until the end of April
That's 2️⃣2️⃣ days from now
3/25
On 4 March the EP decided to not set a date for the plenary vote for ratification of the TCA, but the end of April deadline still applies
And you'd think @CHansenEU as rapporteur for this from AFET - probably one of the most important dossiers you'll ever get, Christophe - you might have a little more to say than this?
Although that's more than INTA Committee Rapporteur @katipiri can do as she's left the EP altogether and has been elected to the Dutch national parliament 🤷♂️
INTA has a 14-15 April meeting scheduled, and there are 3 Brexit issues on the agenda - but they *all* concern GATT and Brexit, none of them concern the TCA
So - to recap - we have pretty much no recent comment in public from any of the relevant MEPs, no committee debates scheduled in the 2 main committees, and no confirmed plenary vote scheduled *either*
With 22 days to go
22/25
There are 3 options:
- approve the TCA by end of April, having not done any extra scrutiny
- ask to extend Provisional Application, having not used the extra time already granted
- not approve, and get No Deal
Yeah, because all of those are a *great* look for the EP! 🎉
23/25
And sure, Brexit is not number 1 issue for the EP right now. I get that
But this body to represent the citizens of the EU seems to care more about the norm values in widget manufacture than it does about the ratification of a major treaty with its nearest neighbour!
25/25
What the HELL is going on?
25/25
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The essential problem for Eurostar is UK Govt doesn't know what it *wants* from long distance international rail through the Channel Tunnel
The UK Government wants to minimise its costs, and doesn't want problems, but beyond that is *has no answers*
Does the UK believe in competition on the London-Paris/Brussels routes? And if so, what sort?
Is that people might fly instead competition enough? Or is on-rail competition also desirable?
Until COVID hit, Eurostar could afford to be more expensive than flights, because the time saved and better convenience meant people favoured the train
A fortnight ago I wanted to answer a question: would a 🇪🇺 vaccine export ban be justified?
I was somehow instinctively against any such ban, and still am
But digging into it revealed the worst of out politics, media and social media, and how badly we cope with complexity
1/22
The essence of the issue is that this is both an ideological/ethical matter, and a practical one - and the interplay between the two is complicated
No person's response to the question ban-or-not can be based either all on ethics or all on practicality
2/22
Or - putting it another way - export of a small number of vaccines might be easier to justify than export of a massive number that would slow down the exporting region's own vaccination drive
2 days ago I wrote about Janssen / Johnson & Johnson 💉, with the tentative conclusion that an 🇪🇺-based supply chain was solid enough to mean there would be no EU-US-J&J spat to mirror the EU-UK-AZ spat
OK, so next in the series of Jon looking at supply of each different COVID vaccine it's:
Novavax
This one is different to AZ, BioNTech, J&J etc., in that the EU has no APA with Novavax *yet*
Even that is somewhat confusing - Reuters reports that this is because Novavax is dragging its heels, citing production problems reuters.com/article/health…
* Very tentative conclusions on Janssen / Johnson & Johnson vaccine supply *
It looks like EU legitimately feared a UK/AstraZeneca situation with USA for J&J - that vaccine produce in NL and finished in USA would be prevented from leaving back to EU