1/
 
It is quite profitable to sell put #options for income. It is fairly passive, and if done correctly, there is actually very low risk. Here is how I do it.

#NotInvestmentAdvice

$TSLA $MSFT $SE $CRWD $BABA $FB
2/
 
Rule #1: Only do this for the companies I want to own, at a price I am willing to pay, and without blowing up the position size if assigned.

So I continuously do this on highest conviction #stocks, eg: $TSLA, $MSFT, $SE, $CRWD

Or the stocks at great value: $BABA, $FB
3/

Strike price: Informed by valuation. Try to sell ATM for maximum time value if price is great. Otherwise 10% OTM. Do nothing if the stock price is rising.

Expiration: On average 4 weeks out. Longer expiry during market correction, shorter when the stock is consolidating.
4/

Frequency: Never sell puts on the same stock more than once in two weeks. Avoid “doubling down”.
5/

The trade moves in my favor: Close the position if the gain is >80%. Use the freed up capital to sell some other puts.

The trade moves against me: I’m OK with taking assignment to begin with. But will typically try to roll out by 4 weeks on the expiration day.
6/

This is fairly passive. I rarely take assignment. And I comfortably earn 30%-50% annually (I made up a term and call this the “Premium Yield”.)

For $TSLA in particular, the premium from continuously selling puts alone has reduced my cost basis to below $0.
 
/END

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More from @supercimomo

7 Apr
1/
 
What should the “intrinsic P/E ratio” be for an “average US company” in today’s market?

Is it possible to find this out?
 
Yes, it is roughly 16.92.

Let’s do some math.

#stocks #investing #ValueInvesting
2/
 
First, let’s define what is an “average US company”?

We assume this is a US company that is mature.
 
Its cash flows grow at a steady rate.
 
It has market average risk: beta = 1.
 
And it earns no excess returns: Return on Equity (ROE) = Cost of Equity.
3/
 
For such a company, we can use the Gordon Growth Model to compute its intrinsic value:

P = FCFE1 / (r – g)

where FCFE1 is next year’s cash flow available to equity owners (or potential dividend), r is the cost of equity, and g is the steady growth rate.
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