⚡️4/8 Connecticut #SARSCoV2 variant surveillance report
@CovidCT | @jacksonlab | @CTDPH | @YaleSPH

Primary news is that B.1.1.7 📈, and we now predict it to be the dominant lineage in CT based on TaqPath SGTF data from Yale + JAX

Short 🧵 | Report 👇
covidtrackerct.com/variant-survei…
2/6 This news follows @CDCDirector Rochelle Walensky saying that B.1.1.7 is "now the most common lineage circulating in the United States".

npr.org/sections/coron…
3/6 We predicted that B.1.1.7 would become dominant in CT in our recent paper led by @tdalpert, @AndersonBrito_, & co. However, we thought that this would have happened earlier in March. The slowdown of B.1.1.7 was likely due to the rapid rise of B.1.526.

cell.com/cell/fulltext/…
4/6 This figure by @MaryPetrone10 shows how B.1.1.7 and B.1.526 (including B.1.526.1 & B.1.526.2) are increasing at similar rates, displacing most other lineages in CT. Based on our most recent sequencing data, these together make up ~80% of the cases in CT.
5/6 The co-rise of B.1.1.7 and B.1.526 is leaving little room for other variants - like B.1.351 & P.1 - to emerge and spread. Perhaps this is a good thing, as P.1 + Brazil is a terrible situation, but that really depends on the impacts that B.1.526 will have on public health.
6/6 This week I'd like to highlight the work by @aewatkins6 who manages a lot of our PCR and lineage reports data. She also has helped to lead many of our NBA/NFL projects prior to this. Here she is with @XtinaHarden and our first delivery of saliva samples from the NBA last June

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More from @NathanGrubaugh

1 Apr
🧬4/1 Connecticut #SARSCoV2 variant surveillance report @CovidCT | @jacksonlab | @CTDPH | @YaleSPH

- B.1.1.7 *may* be leveling off
- B.1.526 continues to 📈
- More B.1.351, P.1, & E484K cases

Short 🧵 | Report 👇
covidtrackerct.com/variant-survei…
2/8 We didn't see an increase in the % of B.1.1.7 from the sequencing data last week, and the TaqPAth SGTF data also suggests that the expansion of B.1.1.7 *might* be slowing down in CT.

While this is good news, I think that it points to something else...
3/8 That something else is B.1.526.

It made up 32% of the sequenced cases analyzed this week, a 9% increase from the week before.

Its proportion is higher in Fairfield county, which is close to NY - where B.1.526 is currently dominating.

Data 👇 since 2/1
Read 8 tweets
25 Mar
3/25 Connecticut #SARSCoV2 variant surveillance report
@CovidCT | @jacksonlab | @CTDPH | @YaleSPH

- B.1.1.7 continues to 📈
- B.1.526 continues to 📈
- First detection of B.1.1.7 + E484K ⚡️ in CT.

Short 🧵 | Report 👇
covidtrackerct.com/variant-survei…
2/5 TaqPath SGTF data from YNHH (mostly New Haven County) and JAX (New Haven, Hartford, and some other counties) shows that the frequency of B.1.1.7 keeps 📈. Thankfully, the B.1.1.7 cases and total cases are still way down. Lets work to keep it that way.
3/5 We detected a B.1.1.7 sequence with the E484K mutation from a sample collected from New Haven County (CT). The genome is very closely related to others sequenced in CT so its likely acquired this mutation independently. This is potentially concerning for vaccines.
Read 5 tweets
18 Mar
New (3/18) Connecticut #SARSCoV2 variant surveillance report @CovidCT | @jacksonlab | @CTDPH | @YaleSPH

- First case of P.1 (first detected in Brazil) in CT
- B.1.1.7 continues to 📈
- B.1.526 📈
- B.1.427/9 added to the VOC list

Short 🧵 | Report 👇
covidtrackerct.com/variant-survei…
2/3 TaqPath SGTF data from YNHH (mostly New Haven County) and JAX (New Haven, Hartford, and some other counties) shows that probable B.1.1.7 cases keep 📈 as non-B.1.1.7 cases slowly 📉.

B.1.1.7 is now ~35% of the total cases (~40% from YNHH and ~26% from JAX).
3/3 (YNHH TaqPath data only)

Our earlier projections of B.1.1.7 frequency growth are still pretty close. We expect the YNHH B.1.1.7 numbers to cross 50% this week, and the combined (YNHH and JAX) to cross 50% next week.
Read 4 tweets
4 Mar
1/3 New Connecticut #SARSCoV2 variant surveillance report - @CovidCT

B.1.1.7 is rising rapidly, now close to 25% of positives in the New Haven area (based on SGTF results, purple). I'm worried that a rebound in cases will follow.

report here 👇
covidtrackerct.com/connecticut-sa…
2/3 Most of the *confirmed* B.1.1.7 cases have been found in New Haven County because that is were we do most of our sequencing (primary catchment area of Yale diagnostic labs). We are working to increase sequencing from across the state.
3/3 In addition to the variants of concern - B.1.1.7 and B.1.351 - we've detected several *variants of interest*.

B.1.429, first reported in CA, may be increasing in frequency.

B.1.525 and B.1.526 (first reported from NY) are of interest because they have the E484K mutation.
Read 4 tweets
25 Feb
1/n Weekly #SARSCoV2 variant report from Connecticut - data from @YaleSPH, @jacksonlab, and @CTDPH.

- B.1.1.7 = 63 cases
- B.1.351 = 1 case
- P.1 = 0 cases

B.1.1.7 cases by county 👇. Most in New Haven due to surveillance biases.

Report:
covidtrackerct.com/variant-survei…
2/n
Temporal distribution of B.1.1.7 cases doesn't accurately reflect the growth of B.1.1.7 in CT as the sequence reporting is still lagging. Next week we'll have temporal est of frequency based on SGTF. B.1.1.7 is currently associated with 5-10% of the COVID-19 cases in CT.
3/n Phylogenetics of B.1.1.7 cases show many different clusters, some associated with NY.
Read 7 tweets
17 Feb
New SARS-CoV-2 variant update for Connecticut.
- 42 cases of B.1.1.7
- 1 case of B.1.351
- 5 cases of B.1.525 (not of concern yet, but we are monitoring)

Partnership with @jacksonlab, @CTDPH, and diagnostic labs

Follow the 🧵(1/10)

Or read the report 👇
covidtrackerct.com/variant-survei…
2/10
B.1.1.7 cases in Connecticut by county.
- New Haven County: 33
- Fairfield County: 3
- Litchfield County: 3
- Hartford County: 2
- Windham County: 1

We do most of our surveillance from New Haven County, hence the higher numbers. We'll have a map next week.
3/10
B.1.1.7 cases in Connecticut are on the rise, but we don't yet know its frequency in the community. Its likely still <3% based on the PCR data.
Read 11 tweets

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