“If [deaths] continues like this, in 4-5 days, we will have to cremate bodies on the road.”

India needs to vaccinate 10 million per day to flatten the curve (India not even close).

I’m now worried India will vastly exceed 1 mil deaths by August. #COVID19
2) India is not vaccinating fast enough. If you squint, you can see India 🇮🇳 is at just 1.6% vaccinated fully. Horribly slow pace.
3) Here is hope—US is sending India urgent supplies.
4) If we don’t vaccinate India 🇮🇳 fast enough, India faces upwards of 1 million deaths by August 2021 — a conservative estimate by @IHME_UW.

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More from @DrEricDing

27 Apr
CRACKDOWN—Chief minister Yogi Adityanath sent a harsh message to his UP🇮🇳 state hospitals: keep your mouth shut about oxygen #COVID19 crisis or face action—tells police heads to crack down on hospitals that cite any oxygen shortage or complains to media.🧵
telegraphindia.com/india/coronavi… Image
2) For people who don’t know, “chief minister” is governor of an entire state in India. And how big is the Uttar Pradesh state that CM Yogi oversees? It’s the largest state with over 231 million people!!! Its population is ~size of Brazil🇧🇷! O2 crisis gag!
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uttar_Pra…
3) senior health department official said.
“The chief minister said that action must be initiated against hospitals that put up notices saying they had no oxygen. He said there should be a probe to establish whether they deliberately tried to create panic”
Read 10 tweets
27 Apr
13.5 million new India #COVID19 cases per day? New model by @IHME_UW says so despite only 233k official confirmed daily cases—implies a 58x underdiagnosis in India 🇮🇳. @IHME_UW models also project deaths will continue to rise until mid May—and likely 1 mil deaths by August. 🧵 Image
2) This model is real—@IHME_UW is a famous epidemiology institute in @UW. Their modeling head Dr @AliHMokdad thinks there are 14 million a day now. But hopefully to decline soon.
3) let this sink in - 1,000,000 deaths or more in India 🇮🇳 by August 2021. And this is base on conservative modeling.

Pray 🙏 for India.
Read 4 tweets
26 Apr
BREAKING—US to begin sharing up to 60M AstraZeneca #COVID19 vaccine doses with world after federal safety review, according to ⁦@AP⁩’s ⁦@ZekeJMiller⁩. #covidvaccine apnews.com/article/26fa41…
2) the White House said, with as many as 60 million doses expected to be available for export in the coming months.
The move greatly expands on the Biden administration’s action last month to share about 4 million doses of the vaccine with Mexico and Canada.
3) The move comes as the White House is increasingly assured about the supply of the three vaccines being administered in the U.S., particularly following the restart of the single-dose Johnson & Johnson shot over the weekend.
Read 12 tweets
26 Apr
Live tweeting a good webinar on India 🇮🇳 #COVID19:

📍”one million people in India are getting infected everyday and 12,000-15,000 deaths/day” says @ashishkjha in event with @BDUTT.

Thread 🧵 Image
2) “This is not going to turn around in the next few days. This is going to take many, days of things getting worse before it gets better. Next 4-6 weeks are going to be calamitous for India. The question is what we’re going to do now that helps us get out of it in 4-6 weeks.”
3) “Targeting vaccines is a good policy idea. The challenge now is where to put that energy? Bengal seems like a good place but a 50% positivity in Kolkata means that you’re missing 90% of cases.”

Jesus.
Read 5 tweets
26 Apr
Twitter has removed several tweets about Covid-19 at the request of the Indian government, including some that were critical of Prime Minister Narendra Modi's handling of a brutal second wave of the #COVID19 pandemic.
cnn.com/2021/04/26/tec…
2) “In a statement Sunday, India's Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology said it had asked Twitter (TWTR), Facebook (FB) and others to remove around 100 posts "in view of the misuse of social media platforms by certain users to spread fake or misleading information."
3) “It accused those users of creating "panic" about the latest Covid-19 wave by "using unrelated, old and out of the context images or visuals, communally sensitive posts and misinformation about Covid-19 protocols."

➡️Misinfo is easy BS to accuse.
Read 4 tweets
26 Apr
Horrible—India 🇮🇳 government **will not import #COVID19 vaccines** itself, but expects states and companies to acquire them on their own—a “recipe for disaster”.

Having spoken to J&J, Moderna, Pfizer—my India source says “there is no way this will work”!
sg.news.yahoo.com/news/exclusive… Image
2) But the sources said New Delhi was now leaving it up to India's states and companies to sign deals with foreign drugmakers
3) The worst-hit state, Maharashtra, has said it will float a global tender to import vaccines. It is the richest state in India but many poorer ones may fall behind without financial support from the federal government to buy doses from abroad.
Read 11 tweets

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