1/ COVID-19 has "anisotropic" infection:

Despite 100 times LOWER dose, monkeys infected by SARS-CoV-2 thru aerosols developed MORE SEVERE respiratory disease and lung pathology (vs. nose/trachea)

Preprint from US Army Infectious Diseases Research Inst: biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
2/ This further argues for the importance of aerosols over large droplets, adding an 11th reason to the 10 that we summarized in our recent @TheLancet paper (thelancet.com/journals/lance…)

A step-by-step explanation in this thread:
3/ Note that this has been demonstrated for other diseases such as the flu, for which the intranasal dose needs to be 100000 (one hundred thousand) times larger to lead to the same symptoms, compared to aerosol infection. See:
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.318…
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.100…
4/ Smallpox was also an anisotropic infection.

@Don_Milton (in paper below): "Smallpox appears to have been most effectively and virulently transmitted by fine particle aerosols"

frontiersin.org/articles/10.33…
6/ Update: it turns out that there are 2 other papers that support anisotropic infection for COVID, favoring aerosols:

"Importantly, fever, which represents a prominent human disease sign and which was consistently noted for CM [monkeys] on the present study, was not noted...
7/ "... for any CMs on these prior studies. In addition, many of the other clinical signs of disease observed in the present study for CM were not reported for the prior studies [using intranasal inoculation - similar to droplets]. Therefore, using an airborne transmission..."
8/ "...route, we were able to generate a model of COVID-19 in CM that was more representative of human disease compared to prior work utilizing this species."

From this preprint: biorxiv.org/content/10.110…

HT Prof. Raymond Tellier of McGill Univ.
9/ And another preprint w/ hamsters:

"Despite a 10-fold lower inoculation dose, exposing Syrian hamsters to aerosolized SARS-CoV-2 resulted in more rapid virus replication in the lung and weight loss compared to I.N. [intranasal, similar to large droplets] inoculation..."
10/ "In contrast, fomite inoculation displayed a delayed disease manifestation with a prolonged time between exposure and viral replication in the lung leading to reduced disease severity. "

biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
11/ Summary: aerosols strongly favored bc

- Droplets: 1 shot at impact / Aerosols: float w/ many chances for inhalation: sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
- Pathogens quantified always more concentrated in aerosols: thelancet.com/journals/lanre…
- Aerosols infective at lower dose (this thread)

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More from @jljcolorado

30 Apr
1/ Dental office visit

Small room, windows closed, no ventilation system. CO2 got to 1350 ppm. Probably ~3 ACH, given rise time

Both me and provider vaccinated. Provider wearing well-fit KN-95 and eye protection. I wore surgical mask over nose, breathed from there + eye prot. Image
2/ They had small air purifiers by Medify (relative size as in pic; medifyair.com/products/medif…).

Reception area: set at 1 of 3, could not feel any air. Turned to 3, made more noise, started to feel air.

Procedure room: set to 2, I asked to turn to 3, noisier Image
3/ Not impressed, despite some precautions. I was not too concerned due to vaccination. But there ar other respiratory diseases, they need to do better, I'll let them know.

Repeated problem: HEPA filters viewed as "talisman" by being there. Even if too small and at low setting!
Read 4 tweets
22 Apr
1/ BUENAS NOTICIAS: DONACION DE 46 NEVOS MEDIDORES DE CO2 A LATINOAMERICA (Y COMUNIDAD HISPANA EN USA / CANADA)

Hasta ahora hemos donado 80, ~45 a Latinoamérica y ~35 a España.

Esos los hemos pagado con donaciones vuestras, de @AlejandroC_IQ, @citlanx, @EspanaAranet y mías
2/ @SAFTehnika, fabricante de los Aranet4, se ha enterado de nuestra campaña, y contribuye donando 51 Aranet4 más!

46 están en EEUU y pueden ir a Latinoamérica y comunidades hispanas (o de bajos recursos en Canadá y EEUU).

5 van a Europa, tratando de llegar a nuevos países
3/ Muchísimas gracias a @SAFTehnika por esta generosa contribución.

Y muchas gracias a @citlanx, distribuidor de Aranet 4 (naltic.com/aranet4-co2.ht…), que hace todo el trabajo de logística y los envíos voluntariamente sin coste.
Read 12 tweets
17 Apr
1/ TEN SCIENTIFIC REASONS IN SUPPORT OF AIRBORNE TRANSMISSION OF SARS-CoV-2

Peer-reviewed publication in @TheLancet

An honor to have collaborated in multidisciplinary team across medicine, infectious diseases, epidemiology, aerosol science, sociology

thelancet.com/journals/lance…
2/ The authors are:

- @trishgreenhalgh, Prof. of Medicine at Oxford Univ., pioneer of evidence-based medicine (EBM)
- @DFisman, Prof. at Univ. of Toronto, epidemiologist
- @chipatucsd, Prof. of Medicine at UC-San Diego, Chief Editor of journal "Clinical Infectious Diseases"
3/ The rest of the authors:

- @kprather, Prof. UC-San Diego, member of US National Academies of Science and of Engineering, aerosol scientist
- @zeynep, Prof. Univ. of North Carolina, sociologist
- Yours truly, Prof. Univ. of Colorado, Highly Cited Scientist, aerosol scientist
Read 46 tweets
17 Apr
1/ JOHN SNOW Y EL COLERA, Y LOS PARALELOS CON COVID Y LOS AEROSOLES

Traducción del hilo del epidemiólogo canadiense @DFisman (coautor de nuestro paper del Lancet)

2/ Brevemente:

- Hay epidemia de cólera en Londres
- Se piensa que se transmite por el aire
- John Snow investiga y se da cuenta que los casos se concentran alrededor de una bomba de agua
- Quita el asa de bomba de agua, y la epidemia de cólera se para

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Snow
3/ @DFisman: "Es bueno recordar q prácticamente todos los expertos de salud pública pensaban q John Snow estaba equivocado cuando dijo q el cólera se transmitía por partículas en el agua demasiado pequeñas para verlas

Modelo dominante era q se transmitía por un gas, una miasma"
Read 27 tweets
16 Apr
1/ DONACIÓN de 5 MEDIDORES MÁS de CO2 a LATINOAMÉRICA

Gracias a donaciones adicionales por GoFundMe y de @citlanx, podemos enviar 5 analizadores más. Muchísimas gracias a todos.
2/ Estos 5 van a:
- Alexandra Sandoval, Quito, Ecuador @ALeXiTa25A
- Luis Silva, San Miguel, El Salvador @luizao_89
- Nazly Sánchez, Popayán, Colombia
- @lvarez_blanco en Nicaragua (el primero a ese país)
- Rosario Torres, Puerto Rico (el primero allí)
3/ Ya llevamos 52 en la campaña anterior y 28 en esta, total de 80!

Si alguien se anima a donar más, enviaremos más, lo puede hacer aquí:

gofundme.com/f/medidores-co…
Read 4 tweets
15 Apr
1/ DIEZ RAZONES CIENTIFICAS QUE APOYAN LA TRANSMISION AEREA DE COVID-19

Artículo revisado por pares en @TheLancet

Un honor haber colaborado en un equipo multidisciplinar liderado por @trishgreenhalgh, con @kprather88 @DFisman @zeynep @chipatucsd

thelancet.com/journals/lance…
2/ Primera: muchísimos brotes de superpropagación, q no se pueden explicar por superficies o gotas grandes ("de la OMS"), pero se explican fácilmente por transmisión por el aire

Como p. ej. el caso del coro que estudiamos nosotros (líder @ShellyMBoulder)

doi.org/10.1111/ina.12…
3/ Y recordemos que los casos de superpropagación son muy importantes para propagar la pandemia, como nos dice @nature aquí:

nature.com/articles/d4158…
Read 37 tweets

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