Always a great study when tweeted out by Dr. Noakes - let's dive in.

✅2 cases of transmission from bus drivers to passengers up to more than 9 feet/ 3 meters.
✅Genomic confirmation
✅Airflow traced - please see Dr. Noakes original thread for commentary on the method used.
Limitations:
📌Facemask compliance unsure
📌Fomite possible. Not likely
📌Community transmission possible - but not likely
Two trips and two separate van drivers involved.

Both trips - windows closed, ventilation NOT on recirculate, heaters on medium fan.

First trip - 4 patients on 2-hour trips to and from the hospital on December 2, 2020. Driver tested +positive on December 3, 2020.

Van below.
Driver had a high viral burden: 15.9

Driver and all passengers wore cloth facemasks and only interacted during boarding and transportation.
Second trip - The second driver transported 3 patients on the same 2-hour trip in the same van on
January 23, 2021, the day his symptoms began.

Van below.
Driver viral load was high - 24.

Driver was not in a mask, but the passengers were.
What everyone is most interested in - airflow tracing.

Heater on? Smoke released from the driver seat at headrest height rose and flowed toward the back of the van.

When heater and fans were off, no "microspheres" were recovered from the seats or air.

Next tweet method...
I don't remember seeing this exact technique before in any of the studies I've read. Not saying it's not valid at all. Just haven't seen it.
Contact Tracing Method
Genomic Method.
Our take-aways?

👉 #CoVidIsAirborne.
👉 #BetterMasks are necessary.
👉 If you open diagonal windows, you can create an air curtain. Like in this case, passenger and the window directly behind the driver.

In this case, that last bullet point was not possible due to passenger
windows not being able to be opened.

H/T @linseymarr for the air curtain suggestion about 1 million pandemic years ago!

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More from @LazarusLong13

29 Apr
This. This is why I push ever harder on #CoVidIsAirborne, and against Conly and Heneghan.

If we let impossible standards to be ramrodded down our throat by a @WHO who has hired an antimasker to run an airborne transmission, then we are lost.
Heneghan is clearly antimask. The corollary to that is to think that CoVid is NOT airborne.

Conly is clearly conflicted without EVER declaring that he's getting paid to push handwashing.
That little nugget is not in any of the competing interest statements on any of the studies he is working with Heneghan on.

He also didn't list it in the debate.

Read 4 tweets
29 Apr
The man getting paid by @WHO leading the transmission reviews of CoVid, folks.

Tweeting out an article that argues that Kulldorff, Heneghan, and Jefferson are being censored because their views are not allowed to course freely on Twitter or Facebook.
Such silliness. These are private companies.

We all agree to their terms and conditions when we sign up.

BTW - here's his article - you'll noticed it's published?

Literally, one google away.
spectator.co.uk/article/do-mas…
It's not like there aren't a million other places like Parler or AIER for Heneghan to voice his opinion.

Here's Paul Alexander, The Not Nice Canadian, who urged herd immunity upon us through Trump, citing Heneghan's study in a typical antimasker piece.

aier.org/article/maskin…
Read 7 tweets
29 Apr
The logic that aerosols produced by a nebullizer aren't indicative of aerosol transmission was also used by Dr. Conly, the @WHO's lead on the transmission committee during the discussion of #CovidIsAirborne.



The study being referenced is a preprint, but
after reviewing it, I see no obvious gotchas on why it won't go forward.

Title "Aerosol Exposure of Cynomolgus Macaques to SARS-CoV-2 Results in More Severe Pathology than Existing Models"

While ferrets are typically the gold standard for respiratory studies, macaques are good
because their lungs and respiratory system are up and down, as opposed to horizontal like a ferret's.

Relevant section - using a Collison Nebulizer
Read 6 tweets
29 Apr
Dr. Conly getting to be more famous for his anti-masker stance than all of his good work in the past?

Is he heading down the sad road of Michael Levitt?

I hope not.

But - even Dubai is calling him out.

gulfnews.com/special-report…
Maybe calling him out is not the right phrase. "Taking him to the woodshed" is a phrase that's more applicable.

Here Conly is trotting out the classic antimasker arguments: acne, CO2, etc. And the article calls him out for being absurd.

Which it is - I've pointed these
out personally.


The article actually started to address that question as well - but is missing that the question and answer.

In the process of reaching out to them to get it corrected and gathering resources for them, I discovered THE Paul Alexander of
Read 5 tweets
29 Apr
Must read study on the 6 feet rule and the 5 microns - some eye candy to get you to read it.

(Come for the candy, stay for the healthy veggies).

Nodes in peach are 3 foot rule
Nodes in blue are 6 feet.
Nodes in red are variable.
Arrows show older cited in newer.
Full explanation.
Dark purple outline - mention of 5 micron cut-off
Purple - airborne = particles that remain suspended in the air.
Light Green - "particles that can be inhaled"
Dark Green - "particles that are infectious".
A dotted line indicates the older source is cited in order to disagree.
Read 7 tweets
28 Apr
Pandata Scientific Advisory Board - How it started on October 6, 2020!

Jay Bhattacharya!
Sunetra Gupta!
Martin Kulldorff!
Michael Levitt!

URL to board (now defunct):
pandata.org/scientific-adv…

Press Release:
web.archive.org/web/2021012620… Image
Then, 3 became 8! Bonus -Scott Atlas joined on January 1, 2021! What a way to start the new year!



Backed up (no games now, Abir...)
Image
January 14th! 9 members?! What!?

Would you believe that Karol Sikora joined?! So excited to be there with a Nobel winner!

Is his buddy, Carl Heneghan next!?

web.archive.org/web/2021011413… Image
Read 9 tweets

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