Schalk Louw | Mr Louwcal 🇿🇦 Profile picture
May 2, 2021 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
UPDATE ON MARKETS: The FTSE/JSE All Share (JSE) improved by 0.97% during April, bringing the 12-month returns to 36.4%. SA Property stocks (SAPY) saw a MASSIVE recovery during April by gaining 11.68%, while the SA All Bond Index decreased by 1.9% for the period.
2/9

The FTSE/ JSE All Share (+2.84%) had a slower month than the MSCI All Country World Index (+4.37%) in USD terms. It did however managed to outperform the MSCI EM (2.49%). The 12-month performance for the JSE in USD terms still leads the MSCI ACWI’s performance by nearly 30%.
3/9

South African Small Caps again dominated during April, growing by 5.58%. Large Caps and Mid-Caps grew by 0.62% and 2.41%, respectively.
4/9

Foreigners were again net buyers of South African Equities in April. They were however net sellers of local bonds.
5/9

From a sectoral point of view, April saw Resources dominating other sectors. With Naspers/Prosus being the biggest loser in terms of attribution (compared to Capped Swix), saw Industrials lose more than 1% during April.
6/9

The Rand’s value AGAIN strengthened by 1.9% against the USD. It did however weaken against the Euro over the same period. The Rand again had another great performance month against the other BRICS currency movements. Only Brazil performed better.
7/9

The US M2 Money Supply YoY growth rate reached a new all-time high for the eleventh time since early 2020.
8/9

The US Dollar Index again weakened in April and broke below both its 200-day and 50-day Moving Averages. Will still be monitoring a possible Golden-cross in May, which could be positive for the USD technically.

$DXY
9/9 & Final

Most commodities enjoyed a great month during April. Palladium was the biggest winner, gaining 13.56% to all-time new highs. Copper wasn’t too far off by gaining 11.85% over the same period

“Sell in May and go Away” - with all the good news, one would be VERY brave!

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More from @SchalkLouw

Aug 1, 2023
UPDATE ON MARKETS: FTSE/JSE All Share demonstrated another impressive performance in July, outperforming the MSCI All Country World Index. JSE recorded a 4.01% increase, while South African bonds (ALBI) & the local property market improved by 2.29% and 2.3%, respectively in July. Image
2/15

The JSE experienced a significant surge in July, gaining 9.7% in USD value. Comparatively, the MSCI All Country Index had a more modest growth of 3.66%, while the MSCI Emerging Markets Index witnessed a 6.22% increase. Image
3/15

The SA Fear & Greed Index recovered and moved closer to EXTREME GREED territory during July. Image
Read 15 tweets
Nov 6, 2022
THREAD: A picture is worth a thousand words. Let's look at a few of the globe's largest #ETF's & their graphs & see if we can make some sense of the current market environment.

What a year it's been for #Oil & #Energy! Only positive YTD #MSCI #Sector.

$IXC
2/19

#Global #CleanEnergy #ETF relative to Global #Energy shows an interesting picture.

$ICLN vs $IXC
3/19

#EmergingMarkets #ETF seriously lagging #DevelopedMarkets ETF, mostly due to disinvestment from #China.

#SouthAfrica might be down over 1YR, but $EZA performance in USD (-15.9%) is still way ahead of both $URTH (DM -22.2%) & $EEM (EM -28.9%) over the same period.
Read 19 tweets
Jan 29, 2022
THREAD: A picture is worth a thousand words. Let's look at a few #ETF graphs & see if we can make some sense of the current market environment.

What a year it's been for #Oil & #Energy! Sharing only positive YTD #MSCI #Sector performance with #Financials.

$IXC $IXG
2/15

#EmergingMarkets #ETF seriously lagging #DevelopedMarkets ETF, mostly due to disinvestment from #China.

#SouthAfrica might need a lot of catch up, but $EZA 1YR performance in USD (+9.9%) is still ahead of $EEM (-11.3%)

$URTH
3/15

#Global #Value #stocks (#ETF) recently enjoyed short-term recovery, but still got some serious catch-up to do over the longer term.

$IWVL
Read 16 tweets
Jan 1, 2022
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Happy New Year, everyone. The South African market ended 2021 with its best performance in 12 years. FTSE/JSE All Share increased by 4.8% during December, SA Property stocks increased by 7.88% in December, while SA All Bond Index improved 2.69% for the period.
2/10

FTSE/ JSE All Share (+4.03%) in USD, performed in line with MSCI All Country World Index (+4.00%), while MSCI Emerging Markets Index (+1.88%) again lagged both these indices. The 12-month performance for JSE in USD terms was also in line with the MSCI ACWI’s performance.
3/10

South African Small-Caps again dominated during December, improving by 7.33%. Both Large- and Mid-Caps also enjoyed solid returns over the same period with increase of 4.8% and 4.3%, irrespectively.
Read 11 tweets
Aug 27, 2021
#Global #ETF (thread): 26 Aug 2021

- 2020 worst perf #sectors making still leading in 2021 $IXG $IXC

- This is helping #oil producing countries with #SaudiArabia & #UAE in top5 #Country ETF YTD performers in USD $KSA $UAE

- #SouthAfrica $EZA still in top30 YTD performers
2/12

#EmergingMarkets #ETF seriously lagging #DevelopedMarkets ETF, mostly due to disinvestment from #China.

#SouthAfrica might need a lot of catch up, but $EZA YTD performance in USD (+8.2%) is still ahead of $EEM (-0.95%)
3/12

#Global #Value #stocks enjoyed short-term recovery to the end of April, but since then, $IWVL #ETF really struggled against #Quality & #Momentum. Over 1yr period it is however still the best-performing #factor, very much in its recovery phase.
Read 13 tweets
Jul 1, 2021
UPDATE ON MARKETS: BIG breather from all things SA. FTSE/JSE All Share retracted by 2.4% during June, bringing year-to-date returns to 13.2%. SA Property stocks had a great recovery, increasing 3.4%. Despite having net foreign selling pressure, SA All Bond Index increased by 1.1%
2/9

Massive underperformance by the FTSE/ JSE All Share (-6.2%) versus the MSCI All Country World Index (+1.32%) in USD-terms. The 12-month performance for the JSE in USD terms still leads the MSCI ACWI’s performance by nearly 13%.
3/9

South African Small-Caps were less affected during June, declining by only 1%. Large Caps and Mid-Caps both declined by 2.6% respectively.
Read 10 tweets

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