26 crore doses = 13 crore people.
Of which 11 crore doses will come over next few months.

Estimated population of 45+ and front line workers etc is 28-30 crore.
So far Bharat Biotech has been small % of supply.
Not for a moment suggesting the producers are to blame.

Just looking at the data.
The blue is Covishield. Their capacity is much larger. Image
These are some depictions of where we stand. ImageImage
We collated the data here in a story some days ago.

Will give you a good idea of how long it will take to vaccinate India.

(The vaccine prices were revised after this was published.)

bloombergquint.com/coronavirus-ou…

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More from @menakadoshi

27 Apr
By the time I'm out of observation it'll have been over 4 hours to get vaccinated.

Some tips

Carry a small umbrella. If a hospital has supplies there will be long lines. Mostly on the road or in unsheltered compounds. It's hot. I reached before 9 and stood in line till noon.
Carry a water bottle. Maybe even a sandwich or some dry fruit if you have senior citizens with you.

Many hospitals are providing wheelchairs for the aged but obviously in limited quantity.

Light clothing, face wipes, hand sanitizer will help you keep your sanity in the sun.
I had to visit two hospitals before a family friend alerted that the hospital she was in had vaccine supplies.
So network with friends and family as the supply situation is very fluid.
Read 9 tweets
24 Apr
The centre's phase 3 vaccine policy allows participation of states and private sector in procurement and delivery of vaccines.

Will this lead to an acceleration of the vaccination programme?

Or does it pass the buck to states, private entities and citizens?

Quick thread...
Former health secretary @sujakrao
says this centre-buys-some- states-buy-some approach will cause more chaos.

It's "preposterous", she says.

bloombergquint.com/coronavirus-ou…
The new policy raises these questions

- Who will vaccinate whom?
- Who will supply vaccines?
- What about the costs?
- And how long will it take to vaccinate India?

bloombergquint.com/coronavirus-ou…
Read 15 tweets
15 Apr
Serum Institute needs Rs 3,000 crore to add vaccine capacity.

There's an easy fix to this if the govt won't help (though why it won't is baffling)

Just allow companies to donate to new vaccine facilities under CSR.

Can be held via separate subsidiary, run on non profit basis?
This is what the Top 10 company spends on CSR were in FY20.

Let's assume numbers are smaller for FY21.

Yet, 3,000 crore is not an inconceivable amount.

Give them a special tax deduction for it if needed. A one time thing.
Why just Serum? Let a few more capacities be identified, based on company track record and approvals.

It cannot be that India can't come up with a few thousand crores to overcome this pandemic.

If govt won't (I have no idea what PM Cares does) then allow private sector to fund.
Read 12 tweets
13 Apr
Maharashtra tightens restrictions but with more exceptions than last time.

Public transport will function for all essential services.

Hotels/restaurants/street vendors can function only for home delivery.

All grocery and food stores can stay open from 7am to 8pm. ImageImageImageImage
Public transport will function in Maharashtra but with restrictions. Image
Restrictions on manufacturing sector in Maharashtra ... With several relaxations versus last year. ImageImage
Read 7 tweets
13 Oct 20
After two years of hearing the case...nearing a verdict...the judge says this court has no jurisdiction.

Priya Ramani must now defend herself all over again against a defamation charge brought by MJ Akbar.

This is how India's judicial system breaks you.
Priya recently began writing a weekly column for BQ.

This is her most recent one.

bloombergquint.com/opinion/speaki…
So here's what I know so far.

Today the judge at the special court hearing the MJ Akbar Vs Priya Ramani case issued an order saying...

▪️Due a 2018 Supreme Court decision, the court can no longer try the case.

▪️It must be transferred.
Read 4 tweets
28 Aug 20
The Rs 97,000 crore twist in #GST Compensation Cess Case

The constitutional amendment states that compensation shall be provided to the States

"...for loss of revenue on account of implementation of the goods and services tax..."

The centre has interpreted this narrowly...
The centre estimates Rs 3 lakh crore payable to the states as compensation this fiscal.

Due to low tax revenue collection it expects to face a compensation cess shortfall of Rs 2.35 lakh crore.
But it attributes most of this to Covid and claims the loss due "implementation of GST" (see constitutional amendment in first tweet) is only Rs 97,000 crore.

It computed this based on previous shortfall data.
Read 11 tweets

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