+UPDATE+

The Jersey fishing dispute calms down as the EU admits that UK “broke legal obligations” and the Jersey govt met representatives of the French fishing industry to iron out any problems.

A forum is to be established to ensure their continued fishing in the waters.
2/

Representatives of the French fishing protest now believe they’ve won back their fishing rights and have committed to end protest so long as this remains the case.

French naval vessels pulling back & UK naval boats returning to Portsmouth.
3/

Interesting to see how this reported on in the serious press versus the...
4/

...How the more simple British tabloids reported on the issue:

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More from @nicktolhurst

5 May
18 months ago I wrote a thread on “the inconvenient truth” of the election.

▶️ That age is now the determinant factor in British politics.

Northerners & the “left behinds”contrary to the media myth, didn’t vote for Brexit - home owning older voters did.

2/

So many people who fell for the “northerners voted Brexit” myth are now confused as to why these supposed “left behinds” vote Tory.

But it’s only once you deconstruct this myth can you see what’s really happening.

This also explains why London....

3/

Many London remainers even themselves but into the myth that the capital is thus (say it quietly) morally better: we at least voted remain & don’t vote Tory - but this is part of the same myth..

..and here why.
Read 8 tweets
4 May
Since Hartlepool constituency was founded in 1974 the combined votes of:

The Conservatives
UKIP/Brexit
& far right parties

...has ALWAYS been higher than 33% at election time.

The only exceptions were 1997, 2001 & 2005...

...when Tony Blair was leader of the Labour Party.
2/

Indeed for half the elections since 1974, the right + far right in Hartlepool got 40-60% of the vote.

The idea that Labour is suddenly struggling here because “it’s moved away from the left” or because “the red-wall has suddenly fallen for the right” simply doesn’t hold up.
3/

The idea that places like Hartlepool are moving away from Labour because “it’s not left wing enough”...

...is ahistorical nonsense promoted by people who are trying to shoehorn in a narrative that simply isn’t true and/or don’t know the area.
Read 9 tweets
2 May
+UPDATE+

Rumours circulating there may be more to UK & Norway’s failure to reach a deal than at 1st seems.

Original reporting stressed misunderstanding...

...it now looks like UK govt tried to force Norway to renegotiate Pre 1970s access - legal action cannot be ruled out now.
2/

From reports doing the rounds it seems UK overestimated Norway’s readiness to stick with PRE-EU fishing agreements.

IOW:
UK was geared for discussion on “status quo plus” - while Norway felt no legal obligation to even respect the existing status quo with post Brexit UK.
3/

Problem for UK negotiators is that Norway’s
1. Very rich
2. Part of the EEA
3. Fishing lobby is strong

Given this it’s unclear what UK could offer 🇳🇴.

In effect 🇳🇴 could simply tell 🇬🇧 “If you don’t like it - take us to court”.
Read 5 tweets
29 Apr
I’ve stopped making fun of those English immigrants in Spain who live in an old fashioned British time bubble in english pubs with English TV, because in a weird way...

...as a liberal & remainer I’m actually becoming...like them.

- A small thread on a strange phenomenon -
2/

We’re familiar with that immigrant cliche. The, for example, Turk who moves to Germany becomes more & more German and yet retains, cherishes a Turkish idea of himself & the land of his youth even as Turkey becomes modern...& then when returning “home” doesn’t recognize it..
3/

I’ve noticed a strange thing happening with me & Britain.
I’m British. I’m English.
I never even bothered to think about.

But the referendum.
& more importantly the post brexit tragedy following it, didn’t challenge my European identity - it, for the 1st time, confirmed it.
Read 7 tweets
28 Apr
+UPDATE+

"Boris Johnson will himself judge if he broke any rules over Downing Street flat refurbishment"

A committee will be set up to look into the matter, but it is understood Boris Johnson to make final decision on his behaviour.
2/

Number of newspapers and media sources now reporting this.

mirror.co.uk/news/politics/…
3/

Boris Johnson has appointed Lord Christopher Geidt to head the committee. Lord Geidt has been a member of the Royal Household and in intelligence Service for much of his career.
Read 5 tweets
28 Apr
I’m always intrigued when British people who are (supposedly) self-declared friends of Ireland call for #Irexit.

- A short thread on what would immediately happen -
2/

#Irexit would have all the problems of Brexit multiplied because of its smaller size, but that isn’t even the worst of it.

The worst thing would be everyone would assume Ireland would leave the EURO. Because how & why would you stay inside EURO but outside the EU?

& then..
3/

So if everyone assumes Ireland would leave the EURO why would anyone keep any savings or cash in Irish banks?

To protect the EURO value of your savings you would simply transfer these to other EU state accounts before your money was converted into as yet unknown currency.
Read 10 tweets

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