Twitter is full of wrong takes on Labour's Hartlepool loss

Was Labour too left/not left enough? 🤷‍♂️
Would Corbyn have done better than Starmer? 🤷‍♂️
Should Labour have been more/less pro-Brexit? 🤷‍♂️
Wrong candidate, chosen the wrong way? 🤷‍♂️

I don't care about any of them

Quick 🧵
Labour needs to start with the questions @rafaelbehr poses in this thought provoking column
theguardian.com/commentisfree/…

And it needs to take account of the changes in voter behaviour documented by @robfordmancs in Brexitland
It also ought to look at what is happening elsewhere in Europe (sorry, but despite Brexit, what's happening in Britain reminds me of so much from European politics!)

It's like Labour is the SPD 🇩🇪 or PS 🇫🇷
And the Tories Fidesz 🇭🇺 or PiS 🇵🇱
(The parallels don't fit exactly, not least in the UK as there's a third force - the we-want-nothing-of-this of SNP 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 and Plaid Cymru 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 - but let's leave that out for now, and focus on 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿)
The crux in England is this: if an election is being fought along authoritarian-liberal or open-closed lines, rather than left-right lines, that's a massive headache for Labour

That's the question between the lines of Behr's column
Labour under Starmer - with his solid backing of the Tories' Brexit for example - has instead tacked towards supposed "Red Wall" voters, trying to win them back for Labour. Efforts to dress Labour in the union flag are part of that too.
Hartlepool calls that into question.

Should Labour go *even further* in that direction? Or - as Jean-Marie Le Pen once said - when faced with a choice between the original and a copy, will go with the original?
Instead it seems to me there is an obvious - although hard - way back for Labour.

It is to relentlessly stick to the territory where its policies - on economic policy - are more in line with those of the English population than the Tories are.
In other words: it's the economy, stupid.

We, Labour, will get you more money in your pocket. Better food on your table. A more secure and better job for you and your family.
Make an election about jobs, equality, poverty. Schools, the NHS. Hammer on relentlessly about how England (and especially places like Hartlepool!) ought to be better places to live for people than they are.
This would also lead Labour towards partially solving the Brexit problem. Not to advocate rejoin (that is out), but for a closer economic relationship with the EU - because that's important for the future of the economy.
And then closer to a General Election try to seek some sort of Progressive Alliance with Lib Dems, Greens, and even SNP and Plaid Cymru with the promise of electoral reform - to finally allow British politics to have the sort of party political diversity the rest of Europe has.
Will all of this work? I don't know for sure. But it seems to me the only viable route - to stop Labour tearing itself apart internally, and to focus on where there *is* an overlap with what Labour wants and what the population says it wants.

/ends

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More from @jonworth

29 Apr
Let's try a little counterfactual thread

The critique from plenty of people in 🇪🇺 and 🇬🇧 has been 🇪🇺 got its vaccines strategy *wrong*

So if it were wrong, what should it have done better?
First BioNTech/Pfizer orders and approval

🇬🇧 approved 3 weeks before 🇪🇺, and received a solid early order (shipped from Puurs 🇧🇪)

🇬🇧 signed contract with Pfizer/BioNTech 4 months before 🇪🇺, but EIB and 🇩🇪 provided funding, 🇬🇧 govt did not
BioNTech has also stated that more public funding would have not helped it scale up faster

Also looking forward, with Marburg 🇩🇪, Frankfurt 🇩🇪 due on stream in a couple of months, and lipids from Hanau 🇩🇪 (Evonik) to complete the 🇪🇺-based supply chain, this looks solid now
Read 16 tweets
28 Apr
This 🧵 is a summary of my article for @metropole_vie about 💉 supply in 🇪🇺

You can read the whole piece here:
metropole.at/eu-covid-vacci…

tl;dr: the worst of 🇪🇺's supply woes are behind it now...

1/11
22-29 January was really the low point

22 Jan: AZ scaled back its delivery forecast to the EU for Q1 from 100m to 31m

29 Jan: von der Leyen caused all the controversy by including reference to Art 16 NI Protocol in the transparency mechanism

2/11
But that transparency mechanism was when it all began to turn. For it allowed the EU to explain what vaccines were going where - and also highlight how much of UK's early vaccine success was based on exports from the EU

3/11
Read 11 tweets
26 Apr
Something really does not add up with the Johnson & Johnson 💉 supply numbers EU-US

But where is the error?

A 🧵 to get to the bottom of it - comments and stats in the replies very welcome!
Here are the CDC's numbers for the USA

8m doses administered
17.6m doses delivered (so 9.6m delivered and not administered)

Source: covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra… Image
On 28 February this NY Times piece by @SharonLNYT:
"The initial 3.9 million [J&J] doses were manufactured at its factory in the Netherlands; officials have said the rest of the doses were expected to come from its Baltimore plant." (that's Emergent)

nytimes.com/2021/02/28/wor…
Read 13 tweets
26 Apr
Agggghhh

@jwildeboer sent me this Spiegel 💉 story by @ClausHecking, abut J&J delivery problems in Germany

I will translate and take this one apart piece by piece

spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unt…
"Benachteiligt der Konzern die EU?"

"Is the company disadvantaging the EU?"

No, as we will see
"»Die zweite Lieferung wird nicht den ursprünglich prognostizierten Umfang haben«, schreibt das Bundesgesundheitsministerium"

"The second delivery will not have the originally forecast volume," writes the Federal Ministry of Health

That's correct. But let's get to *why*
Read 17 tweets
26 Apr
So now the European Commission *is* taking AstraZeneca to court, I presume all the EU-sceptics who said the Commission will never dare will eat their words?

People like this:
Read 9 tweets
25 Apr
"Have you seen that Express is rebroadcasting one of your Euronews interviews?" @RobHarrison_EU asked me earlier

"What?" I replied

And so they are... here I am saying there is "fear in Brussels at the moment" in a clip on the Daily Express site

A 🧵 on fake news
The story is titled "Brussels chaos: UK tells EU it's all set for WTO rules as Australia deal gives huge boost" and is dated yesterday, Saturday 24 April

I have never even spoken to Euronews about the EU-Australia trade deal

The story by @DavidPBMaddox
express.co.uk/news/politics/…
I have also looked at the code - the clip is not an embed of video from somewhere else. The file is hosted by The Express

Perhaps one for @euronews to follow up there...

But there's more...
Read 9 tweets

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