Rubbish. You are no military professional. You don't even know basics of map reading, tactics forget operational art and strategy. We can break Pak spine while holding China.
1. We have 25-26 Divs positioned against Pak's 24. Pak is like a banana split East West
by Indus. It is also split North West in Pakjab by the 5 Punjab rivers.
2. 14 of Pak's divs are in Pakjab. Min 02 are needed against Iran and 02 for pacifying Balochistan and 01 for NWFP. That leaves just 4-5 South Punjab and further southwards
3. We can destroy all
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bridges on all rivers making inter sector movement of Pak Army very difficult. We will also hit road and rail arteries which are all North South with key nodes at places like RYK. This will trap 14 Divs in North. We will hold these in Jammu, Punjab, with 10 Divs
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4. That gives us 15 Divs to launch against Pak in Cholistan and other areas. They will face only 5-6 Divs. We can and will break Pak spine
Pak has severe ammunition shortages and their generals are busy running Fauji Foundation businesses. Arent you a partner in some ?
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Armour and gun serviceability is less than 50%.
5. PAF has 78 F16s of which only 24 are Block 52. Rest of Paf is 50 yr old Mirage 3 and 5. Yes, they do have JF17 which are basically Chinese Mig 21 upgrades
Against this we have 420 4, 4.5 Gen fighters, 60 Bisons ,100 Jags
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We can keep 250 odd for Pak to achieve air dominance. And rest can be held to dissuade China. Of these 260 Su30s can handle both roles in the same sortie
6. Given topography we also have a radar advantage on Pak. No more here
7. Naval balance is heavily in our favour
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Don't forget 36 Mig 29 Ks of the Navy.
8. Re China, we have more than enough to hold them and also launch short, limited offensives. I have explained this in detail to you on previous occasions
Terrian is heavily in our favour, affords huge advantages on land ,in air
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8. So we can hold China and break Pak spine. Simple Military logic !
Our only problem is mindset. Games are played to weaken our minds so that we don't see our own strengths, enemy weaknesses and huge terrain advantages. You want enemy to win without fighting. Wont happen
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I have been critical of Modi govt's weakness and appeasement that is leading to Hindu Genocide. We will pay a heavy prize as a nation in the coming decades, perhaps even with our nationhood.
But his handling of #Covid has been ok. Let me explain
1. Covid Death rates :
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Even accounting for under reporting, India's death rates are 1/10 of UK. There are studies done by people who have no love for India that prove this. Covid death rates have been under reported across the world.
2. Second wave : was inevitable after ''farmer's protests''
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The fact that Punjab testing has shown overwhelming cases of the UK strain right from Feb shows us that. Modi govt erred in not loudly saying that Farmer's protests will bring 2nd Wave. They lost the information and narrative battle as they often do
Sharing what a senior serving bureaucrat told me today re #Bengalburning
1. Violence will calm down in 24/48 hrs. Ms have been given enough time to take out the anger against Hindus for saying Jai Shri Ram. Message has been sent- we can murder, rape you
at will and you are not allowed to fight back. Hindu resistance has been broken. DM/DC across country do the same thing- let Muslims attack but stop Hindu self defence. PM has being doing the same for a long time.
Maybe BJP assesses that it will not hurt them electorally
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But it has set a very bad precedent and reinforced the resolve of M's to assert their strength. As there will be no consequences either from the state or from Hindus.This will increase attacks on Hindus across the board as we have been seeing for some time
PLAN has 60 odd subs of which 35 are modern and capable of blue water ops. We have 13 odd which are available for Ops
2. 🇨🇳 subs can come into our waters via the Mallaca Straits. Its a 2700 nautical mile one way journey and the channel very narrow and just 25 mt deep
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So PLAN subs will to surface while transiting the channel. They will be picked up by ISR assets very easily and tracked till they dive. Yes we are very short of ASW heptrs and can barely manage 08 but we do have 9 P8I a/c and can certainly hunt them at Mallaca straits.
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Understand and respect your citizen concern but this is Chinese psychological ops. Let me to set your mind at ease
1. No one has caught us by our jugular vein. If they could, they would have launched sustained shutdowns during Corps Cdr negotiations. You threaten before or
2. Why did Chinese demolish all their structures and literally run back? Because they did not want to fight as they knew they would loose badly. If they could shut electric grids down they would have done it then
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3. Yes, they are certainly going to try to launch cyber attacks. Its part of their openly states 3 warfares doctrine. But its not very effective till now because most of our grids are offline
4. The threat will grow and we must focus on countering it. But by no stretch is
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I have not come across anyone who knows so little about military matters as @PravinSawhney. He regularly makes very basic mistakes in his military assessments. Let me show his big errors wrt #Disengagement
1. North Bank - China had a big advantage on North Bank because of
the road from Srijap fort to F4 (chinese claim line). After F4, further access to East ie F3, F2 and so on is via a narrow foot track. Vehicles could not go there. So when we wanted to patrol from F4 to F8 (our claim line) we would have to come from F3 on foot and walk to F8
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Chinese could react very quickly and come in vehicles and block our patrols
Chinese have also built strong defences, habitat along the north bank since last June when #indiachinastandoff started. In fact they even took positions on the heights of the fingers
Main factor was that Chinese did not have the military advantage that they thought they did. They did not understand the terrain and operational art. Battles are determined by what forces you bring to bear in theatre and how you use them. Chinese could bring to bear
barely 200 odd 4/4.5 gen a/c due to paucity of air fields close to theatre. Heights of their airfileds and lack of logistics on those airfields hampered their optimal use
They brought 2 Divs (4th and 6th) and we countered with atleast 2 (3 and 39). Given the terrain even
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if they brought 10 Divs, which they don't have, they can still only deploy them sequentially because of terrain. And if we dominate the passes like Spangur then we can pick off their armour easily
Most importantly they have no stomach for a fight. They were trying to win
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