Thread: On the 5th May 2021, according to reports the #IDF conducted a rare airstrike in the vicinity of Latakia and Hama, #Syria. Due to the heavy Russian presence in Latakia and since the downing of the IL-20 in 2018 the IDF appear to have avoided this region.
video's from the airstrikes began to circulate. The video included is from the reported "Plastics Factory", NE of Latakia.
Early geolocation confirmed the strike. It was wildy reported that this is a civilian establishment and has no military connection in Syria, however reports elsewhere of course contradict this (i'll come back to this later)
An additional target in Latakia was also identified in the SW of the city near in an industrial estate. Images released during the morning of the 5th (one included) helped geolocate the area with the reports circulating. Reportedly civilian too.
Additionally a 2nd site from the evening was circulating, a video from East of Jableh, showing extensive secondary explosions amidst a large fire. The location was noticeably different to the video at the beginning of the thread due to the hilly landscapes.
Mutliple social media reports alluded to the video being in the vicinity of Ras Al-Ain, Jableh Countryside, "near a dam", satellite imagery confirms the explosion at a warehouse stationed in a complex. Reports also suggested that the warehouse to the SW was also damaged however
this can't be observed on this sat imagery, so it's unclear as to now if it's the case, it remains to be investigated with higher resolution.
Next, we have an obscure target, a Cow Farm (yes) videos circulating social media show heavily sustained damage at a cow Farm, SE of Masyaf.
Satellite imagery confirms the complex appears to be targeted as reported.
Finally we have the SSRC Branch located north of Masyaf. This is still unclear on the 3m/px imagery what/if it was targeted, however changes in the surroundings are noticeable, assessment will be continued with higher res.
The array of reported targets are interesting, and appear to be slightly random in some respect, the mix of civilian and a military base. It has long been reported that the IRGC supply chain is embedded within Syria and several civilian infrastructures, this could be one answer?
It is also important to note that the IDF are in a constant campaign with the SAA for aiding #Hezbollah. According to some interesting social media posts on Facebook, the farm has some potential connections this way.
Is this part of the message to the SAA personnel and connections? and/or a message to IRGC/Hezbollah that connections are known? the strikes from the IDF point of view were required and needed, taking the risk of venturing into "Russia Land" imo, is only done when necessary.
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Israel announced that it was 181 ballistic missiles launched. Iranian media had a range from 200 to 400, but let’s go with 200 for argument as it’s closed to the 181 that Israel said and I doubt 200 odd missiles broke up mid air.
200 - 181 =19 did 19 fail? Not sure, or was it actually 181 launched. Something to consider, but for this exercise I’ll use 181 and then you can add 19 on if you want.
181 - 32 = 149 left.
Taking into account I have not time synced any videos at all and checked if they are the same on any location (don’t have time) this is going to work on a 1 to 1 ratio.
Footage showed at least 5 impacts at Tel Nof, and another 6 in different location
Initial low resolution satellite imagery from Nevatim Airbase this morning appears to show some damage around 31°12'15.7"N 35°02'19.7"E, which aligns with reports of a building being damaged. Not seeing anything else obvious, currently. Couple of annoying cloud shadows.
Another potential impact on the runway, and just south of it. Can't make up my mind on the one south of it, could be the change in light which can be observed on the larger structures.
Higher resolution required for this.
for those who want to gander themselves, here;
I am not seeing anything overly obvious would contradict the reports of it being hit and sustaining small damage, there are a few markers per se, but it's minimal, if that.browser.dataspace.copernicus.eu/?zoom=14&lat=3…
After following the rhetorics and post event details of these drones for years in the Middle East seeing them now “in the wild” is truly something. The illusive Shahed’s doing their thing, in the public eye.