Mira Christanto Profile picture
May 10, 2021 15 tweets 8 min read Read on X
Dfinity's $ICP is the most well-funded project you've never heard of. Mostly because it's technically complex and the vision is abstract. The token will be freely traded today and its code base was just released

Let me ELI5 $ICP and @dfinity
1/
messari.io/article/an-int…
Dfinity is building the “Internet Computer”. It's not going after $ETH or $DOT. It's going for a "new internet" -- an open Facebook, Tiktok, AWS.

Why? Becaue big-tech platforms are gated and slow entrepreneurship.

With big dreams, @dfinity is one of the most well funded:
2/
There have been 3 main funding rounds ($160 million) and 1 airdrop. Funding is dominated by @polychaincap and @a16z.

Check out our spreadsheet for more details here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
3/
Total token supply is 469 million with 26% circulating.
Investors are locked for 1-3 years.

But most of the other unlock schedules is unknown:
4/
$ICP could have high inflation due to low circulating supply at Genesis.
But the eventual circulating and unlocked supply depends on its tokenomics.
5/
Tokenomics: $ICP tokens can do three major functions -- the first 2 are inflationary while the 3rd is deflationary
1. Facilitate network governance and give rewards for governance participation. Similar to @CurveFinance
2. Reward network participation (to nodes / validators)

6/
and
3. $ICP Produce $CYCLES to fuel computation. $CYCLES is a SDR-pegged stablecoin, stabilized by computation demand.

This also helps keep gas fees low and independent of the price of $ICP
7/
So how does @dfinity do this? Compared to other protocols, they're hardware-first.

Data centers around the world host nodes -- which are combined to create subnets (aka blockchains).
8/15
Subnets host canisters (a bundle of code that can hold data) to form programs. They can talk to each other and are replicated in all of the nodes (equivalent to a validator).

So an "open Facebook" would be hosted on millions of canisters. Data is both on-chain & sharded:
9/15
The Network Nervous System oversees all this. For details on the tech -- Noninteractive Distributed Key Generation and Chain Key Technology -- see our free (non-technical) report here:
10/15

messari.io/article/an-int…
The IOU $ICP token price was up ~30x at the peak this year. Indicating prices rank @DfinityICP in 6th place by Fully Diluted market cap. Is this justified?

It's early days but let's take a look at their ecosystem:
11/15
@DfinityICP has a growing infra, DeFi, DApps and social ecosytem. In total, they have raised ~$10 million.

12/15
If size of ecosystem is any justification of Layer-1 valuations, then Dfinity is on the high end of valuations. $LUNA is on the low-end.

Perhaps this is because $ICP is going after a larger addressable market -- the entire legacy IT system

13/15
Dfinity has big goals to remake traditional internet. Like @solana $SOL it relies on data centers for processing. Like $ETH, it wants to be a "world computer". Like @Polkadot it can be a meta-protocol.

14/15
Competition among programmable Layer 1s is intense. @DfinityICP has luckily launched during a bull market. But creating the ultimate world computer is still at play.

15/15
messari.io/article/an-int…

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More from @asiahodl

Dec 10, 2022
Su-Kyle saying they’re arb traders in a black-swan event, hunted by FTX, is the same as SBF saying there was a bank run.

Lest we forget, here’s a recap of what 3AC did 👇🏼
🔫3AC didn’t arb. They were levered long, even post $LUNA crash. No short positions
🔫They commingled and lost third party funds, including project treasuries
🔫Su and Kyle’s wife claimed $71m as creditors *based on self-attestations*
🔫Wrote a 1-liner note, lying about how they had $2.387B
🔫Promised the same collateral to multiple lenders, and offered up collateral that wasn’t fully theirs
🔫They ghosted creditors and liquidators
Read 6 tweets
Sep 19, 2021
Evergrande FUD: What the China property market really looks like, what the CCP does and how it impacts #crypto. Let's deal with facts.

1st we look at the sector and how leverage compares among the top 30 stocks. #Evergrande isn't even at the top
There are ~30 *major* China property companies. Guangzhou R&F has the most leverage. Actually, of the China government's 3 "red lines", G R&F is the worst off.

These are the CCP's policies. Evergrande can *still* increase debt by +5%
How did Evergrande get into this position? Due to my former life as a equities PM, I've been investing in China property for 13 years.

Evergrande diversified into non-core businesses, like healthcare, water, sports, tech. They've had the among the higest debt for *many* years.
Read 13 tweets
Jun 11, 2021
What metrics are the most valuable as a price catalyst?
As DeFi hits bearish times, memes are giving way to fundamental analysis. Some data points are useless as a price signal (like TVL).

But below are the ones you want to look out for:
Thread 👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻
messari.io/article/defi-m…
1/ Protocol Ranked by Total Value Locked: No Correlation to Pri
First, why is TVL useless as a price signal?
+ TVL tracks capital -- which is mercenary and temporary
+ Not all capital is equal -- @Uniswap V3 is more efficient than V2
+ It's the max extractable value. In a selldown, investors care about downside protection, not max values
2/6
How do we know a metric matters as a price signal?

Correlation will be high and price impact is orderly. We can deduce that "Active Users" is a relevant data point to track
3/6 Ranked by Active User Growth April-May 2021. Active User gro
Read 6 tweets
Jun 10, 2021
MEV (Miner Extractable Value) seems like such a complex attack that traders ignore it. But there's too much at stake though. Let me ELI5:
1. What is MEV?
2. How big of a deal is it?
3. How can you avoid it or profit?
h/t @defin00b @bertcmiller

Full read👇🏻 messari.io/article/unders…
1. What is MEV? It's the additional profit a miner can get by re-ordering, including or excluding transactions from the blocks they are in charge of producing.

While winning a block is fair, the winning producer gets to play God for 1 block... and reap excess profits
2. Is it a big deal? They've made $235 million in the past month. For example, when you set a 0.5% slippage tolerance on @Uniswap, bots are likely creaming off the top Flashbots Explorer: MEV total value extracted
Read 6 tweets
Jun 10, 2021
$KSM is up +25% today. How do you follow the Crowdloan race for #Kusama?
$150 million was raised in 1 day. Polkadot forces projects to generate a community from Day 0, instead of relying just on VCs.

1) "Leases 13-20": 8 slots x 6 weeks = 48 weeks parachain duration

👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻 Image
2) "Ending": There are 5 consecutive one-week auctions, 1 per week. If the project doesn't win in 43 days, then the $KSM is return to the community automatically. There will be a pause to stablized the network or even start @Polkadot's auctions
3) "Cap": Needs to be high enough to attract a sizeable community and provide sufficient rewards. For example, @AcalaNetwork is setting aside 20% of their tokens for the crowdloan @ 1.5M $KSM cap.
Read 5 tweets
May 27, 2021
Macro Update: The crypto selldown of the past couple weeks has seen the most amount of value wiped out. Crypto investors underrated the Fed's statements because we've largely been dancing to our own tune the past 10 years. This formula doesn't work anymore
1/
But with institutional adoption, we now need to pay attention to cross-asset flows. #Bitcoin is viewed as a risk-on, growth asset, at the extreme end of the risk spectrum.

What happens when inflation prints much higher than expected?
2/
messari.io/article/macro-…
The Fed said that it was only thinking-about, thinking-about tapering. #Bitcoin and risk-assets love quantitative easing and egregious money printing. It hates quant tapering and tightening belts.
3/
Read 15 tweets

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