1/ the future of $ETH / #Ethereum

- 99% of user tx's will be on L2 within 3 years (paid to rollup providers with ETH and other currencies)
- L1 gas prices soar as L2 rollups increase tx density and thus raise gas prices
- incredible amounts of ETH are burned daily w/ EIP-1559
2/ in this world for most users, $ETH's primary use is as a programmable store of value / reserve asset in the Ethereum digital economy

if users transact with it, more often than not, they will replace it

it will see significant reserve demand and increase its monetary premium
3/ this is based mostly just on the inherent properties of $ETH as i see them, which are still not well-understood by the market

over time, the value proposition of using #Ethereum versus some other L1 will be censorship-resistant, non-custodial access to ETH as a money / SoV
4/ a lot of people aren't ready for this world,

but if you think about the incentives of public blockchains, the unique positioning of $ETH vesus other L1s, and the realized utility of #Ethereum,

i believe these things are inevitable

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More from @iamDCinvestor

9 Mar
1/ OK, so what's going to happen on #Ethereum as L2 starts to take off?

in this thread, i'll make some guesses on what the next year might look like

no, i'm not an engineer, but what happens next is mostly a question of human behavior & response to an evolving system

👇
2/ first, let's assume @optimismPBC launches this month

a few pioneering apps will be ready to deploy on it from day one, assuming porting apps onto it is as easy as the team claims

the apps everyone will be looking to use first will undoubtedly be DEXes
3/ a big question on everyone's mind is "where will @Uniswap deploy?"

imo, it's going to be on Optimism. the question is when?

if they wait too long (and i mean even a few weeks), @SushiSwap et al will come and eat their lunch

they need to be willing and able to move quickly
Read 22 tweets
1 Mar
1/ we have new participants entering #Ethereum, first from #DeFi, but increasingly from #NFTs

many highlight concerns on energy consumption from Proof of Work blockchains like #Ethereum & #Bitcoin

let's talk about it, and how we'll move past it in #Ethereum Proof of Stake 🌳👇
2/ first, it takes a tremendous amount of energy to secure a Proof of Work (PoW) blockchain

PoW blockchains are secured by computers (mostly graphics cards and specialized hardware known as "ASICS") from "miners," solving a work-intensive math problem for every block produced
3/ the total "miner" contribution of this energy/computational power is known as "hashrate"

the "winning" miner who solves each new math problem first gets to produce the next block, and receives a block reward (in ETH, BTC, etc.) and any fees paid by users within that block
Read 13 tweets
1 Mar
1/ yes, the celeb #NFT thing will be a huge bubble, and at some point, people may start to *hate* new releases and become jaded by them

the near-term benefit for the adoption of #Ethereum is many of their fans may be compelled to buy $ETH and use Ethereum for the first time ever
2/ but some celebs won't be able to resist the low-effort cash grab

some firms are making it easy for them- doing all of the work for them and just sending them a check for their licensed work

would you buy a SouljaBoy lunch box? no?

but some would buy the NFT apparently
3/ this will be free money for these folks while it lasts, and in truth, it could last for a while

but keep in mind that if the creator is too prolific with low quality work, then expect all pieces from that creator to plummet in value one day (esp if B-list celeb)
Read 7 tweets
28 Feb
1/ the top 2 new #Ethereum L2s to watch for March / April are @optimism and @Immutable X

both of these will scale Ethereum in crucial ways which the market is hungry for

there are also other promising solutions, some already live, but let's explore these two

thread below 👇
2/ first, @optimismPBC is expected to launch on mainnet, with arbitrary contract deployment, IN MARCH 🥳

still TBD on how much work app devs would need to do to make apps work on Optimism, but this could be huge

medium.com/ethereum-optim…
3/ if it's as simple as "copy-paste" for apps, i believe we'll see many widely used apps establish instances on Optimism in the near-term

this would effectively create a parallel, very high throughput Ethereum ecosystem

this may take real pressure off of L1 tx demand too
Read 13 tweets
28 Feb
1/ i'll always offer a counterpoint for false narratives, b/c it's important to be honest

rampant gaslighting aside, the economic utility of Ethereum is unfortunately too strong. demand is too high

and it may KEEP growing faster than our scaling efforts can deliver for a while
2/ e.g., even now, every economic tx in the world where $35 is an acceptable fee *could* try to use Ethereum

we can't stop them from coming

then, fees go up b/c $100 acceptable fee txs arrive en masse. they get pissed

what if the cycle keeps ebbing & flowing?
3/ part of me wonders if it does go on forever, even after L2

but the reality is no chain has solved these issues while maintaining the value prop of blockchains (true decentralization)

they work now, b/c they aren't used under load, maybe b/c value prop isn't clear
Read 5 tweets
27 Feb
1/ here's a system which could work (you prob won't like it):

users bid up to the amount they are paying for a game/art drop, after viewing generated samples

the highest bidders (numbered up to the series count) are able to mint (could be at lowest bid if desired)
2/ first, some might view this as being "too greedy" and detracting from the art or game

imo, this could be mitigated with an agreement to donate some proceeds to charity

i'd still rather the artists or a charity get it than flippers, some paying 0.5 ETH to make many multiples
3/ second, pricing in this way upfront would likely hurt secondary market liquidity, velocity and perhaps "hype"

though a "benefit" is that people who paid to mint might actually be more inclined to keep their art, rather than flip it immediately for profit
Read 5 tweets

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