In justifying its decision, the Mississippi Supreme Court writes, "It is wholly within the realm of possibility that the drafters foresaw or even hoped for a drop in congressional representation that would render the ballot-initiative process unworkable." courts.ms.gov/Images/Opinion…
Under this ruling, any MS ballot initiative passed since 2001 would have to be voided if challenged (it's unclear whether the ruling *automatically* does so for measures other than 2020's medical marijuana initiative). Ironically, this would include MS's 2011 voter-ID law.
It would presumably NOT include legislatively referred ballot measures (as opposed to signature-gathering petitions) such as the 2020 referenda banning MS's "state electoral college" and establishing a new state flag.
.@geoffreyvs points out that enabling legislation passed in 2012 may save voter ID in Mississippi even if it gets voided from the state constitution.

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More from @baseballot

29 Mar
Looks like this map is from just before the 2019 season: seatgeek.com/tba/articles/w…

Which of course means that @NateSilver538's definition of New England is probably just Suffolk and Middlesex counties now, post-Mookie trade.
On the other hand, this might legitimately be the most recent map of MLB fandom we have... That @UpshotNYT tour de force is somehow 7 years old now. nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Read 4 tweets
4 Mar
Because of the pandemic, I’ve been buying Girl Scout cookies online, which means I’ve finally been able to try both the ABC Bakers and Little Brownie Bakers cookies. This thread will serve as a taste test.
1. The biggest difference: S’mores. Both good in their own way. If you like creamy chocolate, you want ABC, but I lean slightly toward the higher graham-cracker-to-chocolate ratio of LBB.
2. Thin Mints. Very similar taste, but Little Brownie (left) is flakier while ABC is denser. ABC wins this one. Image
Read 4 tweets
3 Mar
Sure looks like white voters took advantage of approval voting in yesterday's #STLmayor election more than Black ones. cc @jrosenbaum docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
White wards in SW St. Louis, like 16, 24, 23, and 10 cast the most votes per ballot (as many as 1.79).

Black wards on the north side, like 1, 27, 21, and 4, cast the fewest (1.34 votes per ballot or lower).
Cara Spencer, the white progressive alderwoman, won a spot in the runoff by doing well in white wards, both conservative working-class ones and liberal gentrifying ones. She got very little support on the Black north side. docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Read 7 tweets
26 Feb
Seems the point is to sabotage the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact by preventing a popular vote calculation. Buuut unless the popular vote is super close, you'll still know who won it even without exact North Dakota results.
1. North Dakota is very small—only 565K eligible voters. Biden won the popular vote by 7 million.

2. If we know ND's percentages, you can apply those to even a rough turnout estimate and get a decent guess at the popular vote. Again, unless it's super close, you'll know.
Read 4 tweets
21 Jan
This deserves a thoughtful response. First, I don't think it's true that all reporters thought Georgia was Lean R. Many of us wrote of it as a pure tossup... fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-c…
That said, if you had asked me two years in advance who'd have won a GA runoff, yes, I'd have said Republicans. There was SOME evidence for this (i.e., GOP overperformance in runoffs). But obviously, 1/5 showed that could be overcome.
So can the evidence for a good GOP year in 2022 be overcome too? Sure. But also, there is a MUCH bigger sample size of evidence saying midterms are bad for the prez party than there were for GA runoffs being pro-GOP.
Read 4 tweets
8 Jan
Up to six state legislators I'm aware of who were in Wednesday's mob:
-MI state Rep. Matt Maddock
-MO state Rep. Justin Hill
-PA state Sen. Doug Mastriano
-TN state Rep. Terri Lynn Weaver
-VA state Sen. Amanda Chase
-WV state Del. Derrick Evans
I have to wonder if any of them will be removed from office. Chase is the only one in a D-controlled chamber, but the 14th Amendment may provide a legal path to disqualify them. law.cornell.edu/constitution/a…
Looks like I missed some (many of these people say they left when things got violent, though):
-AK state Rep. David Eastman
-AZ state Rep. Mark Finchem
-Incoming NV state Assemb. Annie Black
Read 7 tweets

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