LPT vs HPT
One thing commonly I see in new commers they focus a lot on high probability of trade, for that they try to be prefer big range for trading from start. As static edge of most occurance of winning with you no doubt.
Even I go sometimes HPT strategy but after learning a lot found this is also kind of myth to pick big range. So let's start and sharing my experience about it.
Both hv own pros and cons. Both good as well.
1. Low probability of trade: generally hv low probability of profit (POP), but as per risk reward (RR) very good trade but also enough credit to manage with various scenarios easily. Here edge is not statics but your trade management skills.
2. High Probability of trade: hv high winning range but as per RR I always found bad. But sure winning edge is high as per static and sure about 80-90% times u win as well without issues. Only issue I found when if one big loss occur then wiped out all good months profit.
Even with correct management and correct position size we can managed and come out with less risk/loss. As per adjustment few still extend breakeven but notional loss can be hit even before breakeven.
So choosing which type of strategy or system for me depends on situation. Normally when I found good premium and high iv environment; personally start from wide and keep moving towards middle. When no much premium on OTM side I prefer to go LPT.
POP only show range cover as per SD where u r profitable. In example u will understand for small credit how POP can be small or big. Attached snap. If I able to sell few bucks in short then my POP goes from 35 to 85, even both position very high POP.
Decide first wat is ur objective, lookout. Always respect position size and one and only Risk.

Thanks!
One thing I noticed after some comments so adding. As I hv written according my experience and monthly Option. Not considered short term trades- as we go short term our edge of HPT also will be less and more destroyer and less room for management.

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More from @sanjufunda

19 Dec 20
If you are intraday trader or swing trader then there are some location where you should focus, these area price action most important as it's give high probability trades and good risk reward.
Most of Intraday system works around them even simple to complex.
You should always mark these zone in your chart.
1. Previous day High, Low and Close (PDH, PDL & PDC).
2. High and Low formation of current Day.
3. Major Swing High and Low.
4. Vwap Closing (or HVN high volume node of yesterday).
5. Big Round Number.
6. First hour Range
7. VWAP
1. Always stay sideways 2 bullish above PDC, if script sustain above PDH then Bullish. Basic Trend following system if price not stuck in Range. U can adopt simple system.
2. Current Day high/low mostly keep testing & form double top/bottom which either break with vol. Or fail.
Read 8 tweets
20 Nov 20
Setup and roll written already in first pic bottom.
Simple math 2x0.75 delta - 0.5delta = approx 1delta which is future delta. Payoff diagram posting below. ImageImage
For adjustment:
In profit side: Once in Profit u can lock profit of one long leg and position will convert risk free projection or sell otm call like covered call when view changing.
In loss side: if view unchanged roll down position or sell additional atm so its become spread.
Read 6 tweets
29 Sep 20
I hv seen ppl telling subjective about firsy 15 days buy Option last 15 days sell option etc.
This is actually not a proper way of doing.
Implied Volatility (IV)
Historical volatility (HV).

When IV less than HV go for buying option
When IV greater than HV go for selling
For iv observation keep tracking any Option related websites.

But my simple suggestions dont do it complex simply use spread. Its reduced theta and iv issues almost and also easy to adjust.
For adjustment see Long call repair article tree.
Now spread also hv 2 types either credit or debit one. If ur view sideways to Directional better go credit one. If u r looking purely directional then debit is best.
Note: otm credit hv big risk than Reward but otm debit spread hv low risk setup in Option Strategy.
#option
Read 6 tweets
28 Sep 20
Sometimes 40 can be low PE or sometimes it can be high PE. You cant say buy low PE and sell high PE. Some sector PE trade above 100 and few 20. Whenever u read without comparision actually u r doing incorrect.
IF PE high it means it will outperforming sector than costly Valuation
Mostly good companies keep trading in premium than actual valuation.

#investment
PE = Share price/EPS.
EPS is earning per share.
EPS should not negative otherwise company is loss making company.
If u filtering good stock then EPS should be positive and higher high of atleast last 5 yrs.
Read 7 tweets
28 Sep 20
Best timing again. @SarangSood straddle rocked in trendy day as well.
aur ye humara plain land karte hue with 30pts. lazy day for me. nothing directional
Read 4 tweets
26 Sep 20
Mostly i hv seen people do calendar incorrect by doing both call put sell at atm and buying long straddle next expiry.
There is no need to place 4 leg which can happen only by 2 leg either by call calendar or put calendar.
If u see both example exact same payoff. ImageImage
But i prefer put calendar due to its less sensitive to delta and more effective on vega as we know put side more premium mostly available and they decay slow and near to end of day/near to expiry.
Calendar is neutral payoff but its harsh move resistance power.
So if ur view sideways to bearish then only use it.
Its normally give 1sd breakeven but with time n vega payoff keep changing.
Even in sharp correction like march its useful and profitable if u follow proper guidelines.
Read 10 tweets

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