1/7 - Nous sommes à nouveau à une croisée des chemins dans cette pandémie, sans savoir si l’émergence du variant B.1.167.2, identifié en Inde, va créer ou non une nouvelle vague de contaminations dans le monde et notamment en Europe, dans les prochains mois...
2/7 -Les Européens en plein déconfinement sont en situation de vulnérabilité, il leur faut d’urgence:
- atteindre une très faible circulation du virus,
- savoir rechercher toutes les chaînes de contaminations,
- empêcher le virus d’entrer sur le territoire,
- vacciner massivement
3/7 - A ce jour, Britanniques, Portugais, Finlandais et Islandais ont déjà atteints un très faible niveau de circulation du virus. Français, Allemands, Suisse, Italiens et Espagnols pourraient les rejoindre fin juin.
4/7 - Mais le Danemark et la Norvège connaissent actuellement un rebond alors qu’ils faisaient la course dans le peloton de tête ces dernières semaines. La Belgique et les Pays-Bas sont aussi en plateau trop élevé pour être sereins.
5/7 - Jusqu’à présent, dans cette pandémie, les rebonds étaient “contagieux” et gagnaient à partir d’une région l’ensemble du sous-continent européen à chaque fois qu’ils se produisaient. Le vaccin suffira-t-il à contrer le rebond apparent d’Europe du Nord aujourd’hui?
6/7 - 5 mesures d’urgence s’imposent partout en Europe :
1. Contrôle sanitaire strict aux frontières de Schengen;
2. Recherche rétrospective systématique des contacts;
3. Isolement efficace et séquençage de tous les positifs;
4. Ventilation vérifiable (norme CO2) des espaces clos
7/7 - La dernière mesure est une mesure de santé et de sécurité globale. Il s’agit d’organiser la production et la dispensation des vaccins efficaces et sûrs partout dans le monde (pas seulement dans les pays riches), pour terrasser ce virus le plus rapidement possible.

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More from @FLAHAULT

15 May
1/13 - “Many of the scientists and campaigners who helped persuade Joe Biden to back an intellectual property waiver for #COVID19 vaccines are urging the US president to go further and force vaccine makers to hand over their technology.”
ft.com/content/940822…
2/13 - “If the [US] administration wants to end the pandemic within the next 12 months, it must persuade or compel companies to share their knowhow with potential rivals in the developing world.”
3/13 - “The waiver was a huge step, but technology transfer needs to be next,” said Zain Rizvi, from one of the groups which led the campaign in favour of an IP waiver for vaccines. “The president needs to deploy all the authority and force of his position to make this happen.”
Read 13 tweets
15 May
1/22. May 15 to May 21 -
"Around the #COVID19 World in Eighty Seconds"!

Daily epidemic 7-day forecasting for 192 countries/ territories.

Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…

Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu
& ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/22- European champions -
Norway (and Denmark) plateauing (rising) again in their #COVID19 epidemic activity, R-eff=1.03, (1.10), at medium levels, with still no expected mortality, for 7 more days.

Finland (and Iceland) remain safe 0.95 (0.75), with very low mortality.
3/22. The United-Kingdom faces epidemic pressure (R-eff=1.0), while still in its #COVID19 safety zone, with very low levels of mortality, for 7 more d.

Portugal and Malta in their safety zone (0.96 and 0.41), very low mortality.

UK 52%, Port 30%, Malta 61% pop received 1 dose.
Read 24 tweets
15 May
1/8 - Switzerland - May 15 to May 21 -
#COVID19 is green in Glarus and Grisons; orange in 8 cantons incl. Geneva, Basel, Zürich; plateauing (red, R>0.9) in 12 other cantons.

Data: zh.ch/de/politik-sta…
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/8 - Valais is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.83), from medium levels of activity, with no expected mortality, for 7 more days.
3/8 - Geneva is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.83), from medium levels of activity, with no expected mortality, for 7 more days.
Read 10 tweets
15 May
1/7 - “There is not a single documented #COVID19 infection anywhere in the world from casual outdoor interactions, such as walking past someone on a street or eating at a nearby table.”
nytimes.com/2021/05/11/bri…
2/7 - “In one study, 95 of 10,926 worldwide instances of transmission are classified as outdoors; all 95 are from Singapore construction sites. In another study, four of 103 instances are classified as outdoors; again, all four are from Singapore construction sites.”
3/7 - “The Singapore data originally [did] not categorize the construction-site cases as outdoor transmission. It could have been workplace transmission where it happens outdoors at the site, or it could also have happened indoors within the construction site.”
Read 7 tweets
15 May
1/11 - France - May 15 to May 21 -
#COVID19 is green in Mayotte, Martinique, Charente-Maritime, Gers, and Corse-du-Sud; improving (orange) in 12 Régions; red (R-eff>0.9) in 17+2 Départements (=1+2 overseas Régions).
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/11 - Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.81), from medium levels, decreasing from medium level of mortality, for 7 more days.

Bourgogne-et-Franche-Comté are landing towards their safety zone (R-eff=0.83), from med. levels, high mortality.
3/11 - Corsica has landed in its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.64), and will be remaining in it, with potential for increase in mortality, in the 7 upcoming days.
Read 13 tweets
14 May
1/6 - “The theory that #COVID19 was accidentally released from a lab in Wuhan “remains viable” and should be investigated further, a group of scientists has said.”
ft.com/content/818fc5…
2/6 - “An investigation into the origin of the pandemic carried out last year by the WHO and China found that infect via an intermediate animal host was “likely to very likely”. But that investig failed to properly examine if the virus leaked from a lab.”
science.sciencemag.org/content/372/65…
3/6 - “Only 4 of the 313 pages of the WHO report and its annexes addressed the likelihood of a laboratory accident. WHO director-general Tedros Ghebreyesus subsequently admitted that this was insufficient.”
Read 6 tweets

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