Taiwan, which has had very few community cases throughout the past year, has recently loosened its border restrictions and is now seeing its largest community spread since the beginning of the pandemic.

1/
Previously, nearly all of Taiwan's cases were caught at the border via mandatory quarantines. This allowed the rest of the country to remain fully open for most of the year.

2/
The current outbreak, however, has caused community transmission, with cases spreading to those with no travel history. Multiple clusters have been found and 132 of today's 180 cases were without a known source.

3/

theguardian.com/world/2021/may…
Despite transmission across the country, only Taipei increased restrictions to "level 3". This requires mask-wearing in public, limited gathering sizes, and closure of all businesses except essential services, law enforcement, government and health services.

4/
Residents in neighborhoods with community transmission are being required to stay within defined perimeters and comply with testing, while schools and gatherings are suspended in those neighborhoods.

5/
The strategy of "snap" lockdowns refined and shown to be effective by New Zealand and Australia would be the best strategy for Taiwan. A short strong lockdown would enable contact tracing to get ahead of the transmission chains./

Mass testing would help shorten the lockdown.

6/
Taiwan's health minister announced that alert level 4 (one tier higher than what is presently in place) would not be triggered unless there were 100 or more daily cases for seven consecutive days.

Going first to higher restrictions would reduce impact on health and economy.

7/
Regardless, restrictions or incentives ought to be put in place such that the country returns to 0 cases in a short time. It is a mistake to tolerate community transmission for extended periods of time.

8/
Meanwhile, the B1.617.2 variant, first found in India, has begun spreading widely in the UK, rising from 520 cases last week to 1313 cases this week.



9/
(Presumably these are under-counts, as only a small portion of cases are typically sequenced to determine which variant is responsible.)

10/
This variant has also caused a cluster of vaccine-evading infections in Singapore airport staff.

This is particularly surprising as Singapore has extensive experience in careful prevention during the last year. Revisiting precautions seems essential



11/
[Thanks to @geekblake for preparing today's update]
The relaxation of border control that was done applied only to pilots. That was enough.

taipeitimes.com/News/front/arc…

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More from @yaneerbaryam

15 May
COVID returns to Vietnam. 29 new domestic cases on Friday

1/
e.vnexpress.net/news/news/viet…
Malaysia’s cases grew to 4,112 local cases Friday triggering a third lockdown.

The government is warning that it may reach 8,000 cases in June if regulations are not followed.

2/

channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/covi…
Philippines has extended or imposed new travel bans from countries with high infection rates, like India and Oman. Philippines’ COVID-19 cases have been declining since April 14th.

3/
khaleejtimes.com/coronavirus-pa…
Read 5 tweets
14 May
US CDC repeated its original mistake that only people who are sick should wear masks. Now they say only people who are unvaccinated should wear masks. Who would put on a mask to tell everyone they are unvaccinated? This endangers those who are unvaccinated directly and indirectly
Read 5 tweets
9 May
Japan's cases and deaths are approaching record highs.

1/ Image
Plotted on the same axes (see vertical scales on both sides) we can see the time delay between cases and deaths clearly. The delay is due to progression of the disease and to reporting delays.

2/ Image
UK's cases and deaths continue to improve as vaccinations help to stop transmission, but slowly due to partial reopening

A more rapid decline would both prevent cases and allow more complete reopening. Optimizing a dynamic process is different from optimizing static level

3/ Image
Read 4 tweets
8 May
Young healthy adults after COVID: "strikingly lower vascular function and a higher arterial stiffness compared with healthy controls"

Vascular alterations among young adults with SARS-CoV-2 American Journal of Physiology-Heart and Circulatory Physiology journals.physiology.org/doi/full/10.11…
Image
Read 4 tweets
8 May
Israel's reported infections decreased by 50% in the last week, with 55% of Israelis fully vaccinated. Today they had just 30 new infections -- will they soon reach (and remain) at 0?

1/ Image
The UK has classified the Indian variant as a "Variant of Concern," saying it is "at least as transmissible" as the UK variant.

2/
Saudia Arabia has announced that all public and private sector workers will be required to take a COVID-19 vaccine.

3/

reuters.com/world/middle-e…
Read 6 tweets
7 May
I just had a chance to read this book review, and the description of societal/institutional failure is spot on. One modification I would make is inserted below

1/

Michael Lewis' 'The Premonition' Is A Sweeping Indictment Of The CDC npr.org/2021/05/03/991…
"Much has been written about how the pandemic came to be, but not so well known are the details about how it was able to spread so quickly in the United States.

"Author Michael Lewis has written a new book, The Premonition, that fills in those blanks.

2/
"And it is a sweeping indictment of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention(CDC)

"Lewis, also author of Liar's Poker, Moneyball, The Blind Side and The Big Short, says a public health doctor in California named Charity Dean is one of the people who saw the real danger

3/
Read 13 tweets

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