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16 May, 5 tweets, 3 min read
@stephen_richer Ah, the mysteries of why Trump lost Arizona. I just can’t figure it out. I wonder if I need to call “Cyber Ninjas” in order to unravel this deep and profound question that is beyond our grasp.

Tomorrow’s question to ponder: my quarterback threw 7 interceptions. Why did we lose? ImageImageImageImage
@stephen_richer In addition, since Trump was elected in 2016, the Arizona GOP has lost:

2 US Senate seats
1 US House seat
AZ Secretary of State’s race
1 AZ State Senate seat
4 AZ State House seats
@stephen_richer And in that time, since 2016, the number of registered Republicans in Arizona has increased by 21.7%.

And the number of registered Dems in Arizona has increased by 26.3%.

The number of registered Dems in AZ in 2020 was 91.4% of registered Republicans.

It’s GOTTA be the bamboo!
@stephen_richer In the 2020 General Election in Arizona , the state’s registered voter population was:

32.2% Democratic
35.2% Republican
0.9% Libertarian
31.7% Other

The majority of Independents in Arizona voted for Biden. Image
@stephen_richer When you get finished working all that math out, take a minute and calculate how much Arizona taxpayer money is being spent to pay the Cyber Dudes for the “audit.”

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More from @TheValuesVoter

TheValuesVoter Profile picture
17 May
It's hard for me to explain the degree to which the voter suppression efforts and the attempts to overturn the 2020 Election anger me.

Yet I am never going to invade the Capitol, threaten "Civil War" or harm anyone or anything. See how that works, January 6th insurrectionists?
What I am going to do is to do my best to combat lies with verifiable data. To use my First Amendment rights as an American citizen to bring attention to injustices and provide data that anybody can check to support the point I'm trying to make.
And when things are being done that violate God's Law or US Constitutional Law, I'm going to bring up the appropriate references (the Bible, the Constitution and Federal and State Law) to show that they are being violated.
Read 4 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
15 May
The more whiny Trump cries, whines and lies about the election, the more I’ll show research that shows that he lost and exactly why he lost.

Note to Trump supporters asking “why do you keep bringing him up?” Easy answer: he won’t shut his lying pie hole.

This is HOW he lost.
And this is HOW he lost.

He lost a lot of the white voters, college educated voters and independents who supported him in 2016.
In 2016, Donald Trump won Independents in every one of the six states that he flipped from blue to red.

In 2020, Donald Trump lost Independents in every one of the five states that Joe Biden flipped from red to blue.
Read 18 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
15 May
So here, in charts and tables, are the exit polls for the five states that flipped in the 2020 election.

Arizona - the trend of the state (clearly trending toward the Dems after 2012) and the groups Trump improved/declined with between 2016, when he won and 2020, when he lost.
Arizona - exit poll comparisons between 2016 and 2020.
Georgia - the trend of the state (like Arizona, clearly trending toward the Dems after 2012) and the groups Trump improved/declined with between 2016, when he won and 2020, when he lost.
Read 10 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
14 May
So here is some expanded Exit Poll comparisons for Arizona between Trump's 2016 win in the state and Trump's 2020 loss in the state.

It's pretty self-explanatory. As is his loss.
And here is that trendline showing the GOP in AZ nosediving after the 2012 election with Exit Poll data added to show how the state went from light red in 2016 to faint blue in 2020.

It's. NOT. Hard.

No ballots were subjected to UV light during the making of these graphics.
One consistent theme from looking at some of the swing state polls: Hispanic voters kept Trump's loss from being much, much worse than it was.
Read 9 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
14 May
The saddest thing about the Surrender To Trump Party is that some of them think now that they acquitted him from his second impeachment and forced Liz Cheney out that he’s done with them. He’ll leave them alone now.

Hah!
You’ve just further proven something that he’s known for five years. He OWNS you. Your next job is to try to overturn the election that is already over. And to run interference for Trump in his multiple criminal liabilities. And, depending on his mood, go pick him up a Big Mac.
You may think that you’re his supporters. But you’re not. You’re his flunkies. He’s Biff Tannen. And you’re a couple hundred George McFlys.

You know and we know and you know that we know that you’re not done with him until he’s done with you.
Read 4 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
13 May
Trump’s margins among white voters fell 8 points in Arizona and 15 points in Georgia when you compare 2016 and 2020.

In 2016, he won white voters in Arizona 54-40 (+14). In 2020, he won them by only 52-6 (+6).

In 2016, he won white voters in Georgia 75-21 (+54). Now 69-39 (+39)
You know how some sports teams screw up the beginning of their seasons, going 1-6 and have to win 8 of their last 9 games if they want to have a chance of winning the playoffs?

That’s a metaphor for the GOO and the dynamics between it, white voters and voters of color.
Trump did slightly better nationally with black and latino voters than he did in 2016. But the GOP still loses both by a lot. That’s the start of their season.

So now they need not just win the rest of the season with white voters. They need to win an unrealistic % of them.
Read 5 tweets

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