SMALLER DISTRICTS NEED MORE ATTENTION & RESOURCES:

Current actions are inadequate in smaller districts.

-100% surge in over 50+ Districts in 30 days

Monthly Growth rate

-TAPI (GJ): 180%
-Kodagu (KA): 204%,
-Mansa (PJ) 211%

Adequate & Timely Testing is the ONLY solution
1/n
Cost of Poor Testing

In Kodagu, there is 100% increase in mortality. It had 73 deaths on 14th April.

Mahendragarh had only 22 death, in a matter of 4 weeks, it has gone up 78. 3.5 fold increase.

2 of N
In 1 month, COVID cases has surged by 70%, last week it has grown by Kodagu, 80% of India's Coffee is grown here.

It has less population of 7 Lakh.

It had active cases of 164 last month, today it has 5178.

3 of N
Positivity is directly related to testing. When the testing is inadequate, positive cases will increase in higher proportion to the testing. India witnessed this scenario during Apr – Sept 2020. Image
Data analysis from @jeevanrakshaa
During Sep – Dec, India’s average tests / day was >1 Mn.
Average number of COVID cases/ day declined from 87,000 to 26,000.
- Speed of testing faster than spread of virus in given period
-In subsequent period, sharp decline in active cases. Image
Goa & Delhi has weakest Containment: Highest infected people per million population.
Goa it is 76K people / Mn
Delhi 71414 people / Mn
EAG States: Chattisgarh, Uttarakhand, Rajasthan have challenges to contain
North-Eastern States: Mizoram, Arunachal Pradesh, & Nagaland
6/N Image
States with Incremental New Deaths Per Million Population (11 Apr - 10 May)

Maharashtra had highest increase.

It is a function of better reporting and sudden surge resulting in lower access to healthcare. HP, PJ, CG, UK, JH are seeing increased death per million.

7 of N Image
Active Cases: have shot-up in 30 days in many districts beyond the state capitals.

Sharing these brilliant analysis done by @Mysore_Sanjeev @jeevanrakshaa is to step up resources and ensure that we can save as many lives as possible in these areas.



8/N

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More from @epigiri

4 May
Each mohalla clinic, UPHC or any building belonging to the urban local bodies can be turned into Jeevavayu centres to provide oxygen for the needy. People should be able to undergo triage here; those with distress can receive O2 till they get admission or get well & return home.
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Fix it, take oxygen nearer to homes and communities.
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1 of N
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What is needed now?
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1ofN
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2 of N
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reuters.com/world/asia-pac…
1 of N
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There’s no external validity without internal validity. 2 of N
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