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Eric Profile picture
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19 May, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Hey @KCStar this piece is just awful. Unvaccinated kids are at about the same risk of COVID as a vaccinated 30 year old. Unmasked schools had about the same or *better* case rates than masked schools. This article, of course, mentions none of this. amp.kansascity.com/opinion/editor…
There is literally nothing of substance in this piece except a brief mention of community vaccination rates. It mentions nothing of the relative risk of kids compared to adults, or how masks don’t appear to make any difference at all in schools. Just the ramblings of a fanatic.
Really - data show masks don’t make a difference in schools.
Why in the world do kids still need to wear masks when a vaccinated person that’s my age does not, despite them having roughly the same risk?

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More from @IAmTheActualET

Eric Profile picture
7 May
1/ 3 months ago today, Iowa ended all COVID restrictions. As you can see, it turned out to be a complete disaster, as all the replies in the thread below predicted.
2/ Compared to its neighbors, Iowa's 7 day average of daily cases has actually diverted and become lower than the Midwest average, and was spared a large spring wave seen in stricter states like Michigan.
3/ "But what if they're not testing enough?" I'm sure some would say. Seems like the other side of the same coin of the Trump "you don't find cases if you don't test" argument, but here are hospitalizations instead, compared to the midwest and national average. Still better.
Read 16 tweets
Eric Profile picture
6 May
I took population-normalized COVID hospitalizations for the 25 most stringent states on COVID policy in the US (red line), and compared them to the 25 least stringent states (blue line). Trajectory is nearly identical. Both had the same average inpatients per day - 23 per 100k.
Hospitalizations peaked for the less-stringent states January 6th, and for the more-stringent states January 7th. Pretty remarkable.
Thanks @a_rozmajzl for the suggestion.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Profile picture
16 Mar
In September 2019, Johns Hopkins in partnership with WHO published a detailed report on "high-impact respiratory pathogens" that is prophetic. For example, they warned NPI policies could be abused by overreaching governments for political/social purposes, not because of evidence.
They say widespread quarantine is likely the least effective NPI to do anything, especially if the pathogen is a) airborne, b) highly transmissible. Sound familiar? They mention how the Ebola experience highlights how difficult quarantine policies can be to maintain.
They urge that every NPI that is considered must also consider any potential harms that could come from the intervention - seeing that it's well-documented that lockdowns essentially do nothing, we are left with assessing the harms of them, which will be seen for decades to come.
Read 6 tweets
Eric Profile picture
1 Mar
Thanks to an FOIA request from a determined friend here in KC, we now know the number of #COVID19 cases the Kansas City Health Department could trace from restaurants and bars between November 1st and January 31st.

The answer is 11.
2/ In addition to the extraordinarily weak contact tracing data from KCHD, the timeline and mobility data does not align at all with their narrative that these businesses have a meaningful impact on community spread. ericjusteric.medium.com/in-support-of-…
3/ Despite this, they credit "contact tracing 20-29 year olds" as well as 10 PM stoppage of indoor dining/drinking for the decrease in cases in KC, although once again the data does not align with these claims at all.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Profile picture
17 Feb
Narrative: "COVID cases are going down because more people are staying home!"

Reality: According to the USC Dornsife "Understanding America" study, the percentage of people in the US staying home except for essential activities/exercise has remained around 40-45% since June
Narrative: "COVID cases are going down because less people are gathering at each others' homes!"

Reality: The percentage of people in the US that have had visitors at their residence has remained between roughly 40 and 50% since May
Narrative: "COVID cases are going down because more people are wearing masks!"

Reality: The percentage of people in the US that have worn masks has remained around 90-93% since July
Read 4 tweets
Eric Profile picture
18 Jan
Trisha is really going double down on this? Let’s see the mental gymnastics required to argue joggers and cyclists are a real problem with the spread of COVID
“Risk of transmitting outdoors is an order of magnitude less than indoors”

“When jogging or cycling contacts tend to be rare and fleeting”

“Exercising outdoors is one of the few freedoms people in England still have”

Off to a good start making her case so far Image
“The WHO is adamant that people should NOT wear masks when exercising...but there are strong arguments that challenge the WHO’s advice such as NHS hospitals are overwhelmed.” Huh? Image
Read 7 tweets

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