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Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
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21 May, 4 tweets, 1 min read
The consequences of bad risk management
Fitting update to this:
Lessons:
- Take into account second-order effects
- When you do a cost-benefit analysis, don't just look at cost or benefit
(Yes, correlation is not causation, and saturation was getting closer due to vaccine hesitance, etc. But THAT type of peak is not natural).

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More from @tomaspueyo

Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
20 May
Body enhancements: from new thumbs, to wings, to anything we can imagine.

For example, what if we had another thumb?
What's that thing?
How do people learn to use it?
Over 5 days of training. Apparently it's super intuitive
Read 6 tweets
Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
18 May
How to Make Your Conversations Hyperproductive?
3D Conversations

Most conversations are one-dimensional. A few are two-dimensional. But the most productive are three-dimensional.
Thread 🧵
Most conversations are one-dimensional (1D): ppl just react to what is being said. At any intervention, the conversation can go in one direction or another, but it ends up flowing wherever ppl take it.
Example:
Which you can picture like this, with every severed outbranch representing a potential path to the conversation that was never taken.
Read 12 tweets
Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
13 May
Here are the Top 25 mistakes from COVID management, from least to most important: Thread 🧵

25. Infection parties
Before vaccines, we should have left people who wanted to be free to get infected in a safe environment.
24. Immunity Passports
Passed an infection? Vaccinated? Can't get one? No more restrictions for you.

Any argument against it I've heard so far is either properly worried about details that can be fixed, or has some high-level concern that is not rooted in reality.
23. Not Knowing Who to Trust
Credentialed experts and non-expert nobodies: both groups have people who got it extremely right and extremely wrong. That meant ppl (and politicians) didn't know who to pay attention to
Read 24 tweets
Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
12 May
As vaccination ⬆️, we will go out again and see ppl we haven't seen in a long time

Those conversations can be awkward. And many ppl hate small talk. How can we avoid that? With questions that get you close fast. Here are a few, backed by science & adapted to a post-COVID world🧵
Light starters:
1. Given the choice of anyone in the pandemic world, whom would you want as a dinner guest?

2. Would you have wanted to become famous during the pandemic? How?

3. What was a “perfect” lockdown day for you?

4. When did you last sing to yourself? To someone else?
5. For what in your life do you feel most grateful?

6. If you could change anything about the way you were raised, what would it be?

7. If you could wake up tomorrow having gained any one quality or ability, what would it be?
Read 12 tweets
Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
11 May
Geography is the chessboard of History, new article out!

We think we’re taught History. But we’re really taught Propaganda. We underestimate how deep the impact is of geography.

Take this:
Do you see it?
The light nights show where there's more development & wealth. It's consistently in the green areas (plains), especially close to rivers

No wonder the Po Valley in the North is so rich

Remember this next time you hear somebody say Northern Italians work harder than Southerners
Ok now look at this intently.
Now try to answer: Where was the historic Hungary / Austro-Hungarian empire?
Read 14 tweets
Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
10 May
Can Smart Contracts solve Global Warming?

Climate Change is a coordination issue: Many of us want to do something about it, but it's hard to coordinate to put pressure on those who can actually have an impact.

Here's how it could work: 🧵
EG, GOVERNMENTS
1. Vote
- Ppl publicly commit on the blockchain to vote the most climate-friendly candidate
- Candidates for president of national governments are independently rated on their climate stance
- That rating is fed into the chain
- Ppl receive a notification 2 days before elections on who to vote & how many others committed
- Incumbents are independently rated on how much they abide by their climate electoral promises
- That influences the recommendation of whom to vote for in other elections
Read 9 tweets

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