Revolt Profile picture
24 May, 8 tweets, 5 min read
#bitcoin update May 24th

1/ Alright, looking good so far, long position from 32.5K is doing well and I believe there's a high probability BTC will first move towards 48K vs. making another move lower

#Bitcoin $BTC
2/ Lots of stuff still happening in the background, the China situation seems to be more real than previous FUD but there's a good probability that's already priced in and it looks like China is (potentially) buying the dip



#Bitcoin $BTC
3/ With regard to the China situation, @DoveyWan is hosting a live stream with a few people that know more about this situation at 10am EST today, could be worth checking out

#Bitcoin $BTC
4/ How does the chart look?

- Large 4hr bull div has been confirmed
- Even a bull div on the daily in oversold territory is building, will be confirmed if we close today with an uptick in RSI

#Bitcoin $BTC
5/ Bull divs on the daily can take long to build and can take longer to play out, but this is starting to look promising for at least a good relief rally towards 48-53K in the coming weeks

#Bitcoin $BTC
6/ After that things are getting more uncertain, I'm still leaning towards a longer consolidation period, could be 5 could be 10 months before a new ATH

I will be taking some risk off the table between 48-53K

#Bitcoin $BTC
7/ I'm happy to be wrong and it would be great if this turns out to be the mother of all shakeouts and BTC prints a new ATH within 2 months

However, I give it a low probability.

#Bitcoin $BTC
8/ BUT, all in all, I believe somewhere the coming 12 months ATH will be breached and the 2nd half of this bull run will take off

Be patient, have good risk management and before you'll know it, it's party time again

#Bitcoin $BTC

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More from @RevoltCap

24 May
My thoughts on if we get a bull trap and what would invalidate it

1/ I believe that after a crash like we just had and the following relief rally, at a certain moment there's not enough buy pressure (trust) to push #Bitcoin over 55-60k
2/ Around that level (or earlier) I expect the market to become uncertain and price eventually to drop for a retest

This could then become a longer (multiple month) consolidation

#Bitcoin
3/ Strong #Bitcoin newsflow is what could invalidate this view, as in, large entities (corporates or financial institutions) that put #Bitcoin on their balance sheet or start big crypto services (with serious inflow that soon hit the market)
Read 4 tweets
23 May
1/ Briefly my take on what's happening right now and why for at least in the short term this could be a good BTD moment (as a short term trade)

Currently, the whole market is tanking even further. Many low cap altcoins are already at -80% from their ATH

#bitcoin $BTC $ETH
2/ I believe we're currently witnessing another form of bear market PTSD

Just like most expected a smooth bull run, now many look to be worried about a potential Q1 2018 bear market meltdown, resulting in heavy profit-taking (or even selling for a loss)

#bitcoin $BTC
3/ It's becoming clearer with the day to me that the market is going to (mostly) do the opposite of the 2017 bull run

#bitcoin $BTC $ETH
Read 8 tweets
21 May
1/ How would I prepare for such a scenario? (no advice) :)

Take profit on a potential bull trap towards 45-53K.

If BTC reclaims 60K this scenario probably will not happen and the bull continues in 2021: you enter back in

#Bitcoin $BTC
2/ If this scenario does happen I expect alts to eventually bleed a lot which means: shopping time when BTC hits around 30K eventually on a potential retest

This scenario is basically what happened after the 2019 mini bull run (but without the COVID crash)

#Bitcoin $BTC
3/ It could very well be that we've broken with the past and that this market has outgrown the regular 4-year cycles

#Bitcoin $BTC
Read 5 tweets
21 May
I recommend watching this video, this is history in the making

1/ It feels like yesterday when I watched the 2018 WEB3 summit sessions. Polkadot has been the no.1 project I kept following between 2017 and 2020



@Polkadot $DOT $KSM
2/ It's inspiring to see how far the team has come

In crypto, we often forget how challenging and complex it is to build groundbreaking technology

@Polkadot $DOT $KSM
3/ I still believe @Polkadot has a good shot of becoming one of the leading blockchains in the decades to come

$DOT truly has an innovative design that could potentially leapfrog everything out there and become the layer 0 on which the entire WEB3 stack will be built
Read 4 tweets
20 May
1/ This piece of @AlamedaTrabucco got me thinking and resulted in an important conclusion that changes my view on the market and the framework I use, the puzzle is now coming together.

A thread on why we can't compare 2017 with 2021 and why this is BULLISH 🔥

#Bitcoin $BTC
2/ Yesterdays crash and the same goes for the March 2020 crash, are a new phenomena in crypto.

The driver: a highly leveraged trader market in combination with systemic failure of centralized exchanges

#Bitcoin $BTC
3/ Leveraged crypto trading volume has exploded over the past 3 years, currently accounting for 40-60% of all crypto volume.

#Bitcoin $BTC
Read 24 tweets
19 May
#Bitcoin update May 19th, 2021

1/ The market is going fast, we're at the make or break it level IMO. Exiting stuff 🔥

-4hr bull div still intact
-200 MA touched
-38K $BTC make or break level
-Many inflow and outflow signals
-Lots of fear in the market
-Large hash rate drop
2/ $BTC touched the 200 MA which could function as a support level and at the same time provides a compelling level to go long for institutional players

#Bitcoin $BTC
3/ 4hr bull div is still intact after that 4hr hammer close

#Bitcoin $BTC
Read 12 tweets

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