In Britain right now 38,376,564 have had 1 dose of vaccine, 23,618,498 have had 2 doses. Assuming 90% efficacy of 2 doses in stopping spread, 50% of 1 dose, and THE ORIGINAL STRAIN of Covid with a published R0 of 5.7 this is where we would be 
The Kent strain is between 30% and 70% more infectious. Here's what it looks like with our current rate of vaccination assuming the mid point of that (55%)
Or, in other words, we're still not able to fully unlock because we didn't work hard enough to avoid variants emerging, we allowed infection to spread and create this problem. This is directly and absolutely a failing in government policy in the UK. How about the Indian strain?
Well the BBC says its 50% more infectious than the Kent strain. Thats terrifying. Assuming the vaccines are as effective (thats a big assumption) this is where we are if the Indian strain becomes dominant (this is increasingly likely)
That last one I had to put on a log scale because its off the chart otherwise and, yes, I know, it rapidly takes you way into impossible numbers. What does this mean? It means that we'd be out of this by now had we locked down earlier and effectively first time...
...it means new strains emerged, calling vaccine efficacy into question and being much more infectious. That means we're still in a pickle. And it is -absolutely- and -without any question- Boris Johnson, Matt Hancock, Priti Patel, Gove, Cummings, Sunak, et al. to blame...
We could have, should have, and would have been out of this not just here but globally without the despotic populists such as Trump, Modhi, Bolsonaro and Johnson. Globally, as a result of them, millions more are going to die.
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